We all have certain biases when it comes to decision making. This holds true for personal finance as well. And it's important we understand them as at times they can endanger our hard-earned wealth. So here is a list of 5 biases that affect financial decision making
*A THREAD*
#1 Loss Aversion Bias
Loss aversion is the tendency to avoid loss over maximizing gains. Humans are wired in a way that a loss of say Rs. 100 gives us more pain than a profit of say Rs. 200. This behavior forces us to often invest in safer options even for our long-term goals.
How to overcome this bias? The easiest way to avoid this bias is to adopt an overall portfolio perspective and not look at investments individually. When focusing on an overall portfolio level, you generally do not see extreme losses or volatility.
#2 Herd Mentality Bias
It is a phenomenon where we follow what others are doing rather than charting our own path. This behavior is often driven by fear of missing out. For Ex: if the markets go up and everybody joins the race to make quick gains, we too feel the need to do so
How do we free ourselves from this bias? Two words - Asset Allocation. Asset classes move in cycles and no single asset class continues to outperform or underperform. So build a portfolio with an allocation to each asset class.
#3 Mental Accounting
This is one bias that doesn't get much attention. In simple words, it means that we treat money from one source as more important than another. And this behavior is also experienced while investing and can make you take illogical decisions.
So how can you keep this bias in check? The best way, which actually helps you use this bias to your advantage, is following a goal-based investment approach. Once you attach a goal to a particular investment, you mentally allocate that money to a particular purpose.
#4 Availability Bias
It is the human tendency to think of events that come readily to mind; thus making such events more representative than is actually the case. In investments, negative events that have led to severe market corrections are always at the top of investor’s minds
To deal with it, you need to look past all the noise and then act. Sure, market correction hurt. But after every fall comes rise and if you want to make the most when the markets bounce back, then look at the fall as an investment opportunity and not a reason to exit.
#5 Recency Bias
Recency Bias is our tendency to weigh recent events more heavily than earlier events. We often overemphasize on more recent events than those in the near or distant past and shift our focus towards the asset class in favor of today.
To overcome, the first thing you need to do is to understand that looking at the past track record of things to ascertain their future is not the right thing to do. An asset class performing well today might not do well tomorrow.
You can also watch our video to understand these biases in detail -
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
A company barely made ₹42 cr in core profits. But it still reported ₹351 cr in net profit.
That’s an 8x jump. What’s going on?
This Zomato (Eternal) case teaches a crucial investing lesson:
Investors need to look at net profits and EBITDA differently.
Let’s break it down🧵
EBITDA = Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortisation.
It tells you how much a company earns from its core operations.
What are core operations?
These are business activities that generate revenues.
For Zomato, that includes food delivery, groceries, and more.
To get EBITDA, you subtract core expenses from revenue.
In our earlier example, core expenses for Zomato include delivery partner payouts, employee salaries, tech costs, and restaurant commissions, among others.
Check the image to see how you can calculate Zomato’s EBITDA.
But even after strong earnings, the stock price crashed.
What went wrong? The answer wasn’t in the income statement.
It was hiding in the cash flow statement.
Here’s a breakdown of how to read it the right way. A🧵
A company can post strong profits and still be short on cash.
Reason: The income statement is based on the accrual method. This means sales are recorded as soon as a deal is made, even if the customer hasn’t paid yet.
Check an example.
Let's say a company sold goods worth ₹1 lakh to a customer.
The customer paid ₹50,000 in cash and promised to pay the remaining later.
The income statement will reflect the complete ₹1 lakh.
The actual cash received will be reflected only in the cash flow statement.