ET Money Profile picture
Sep 26, 2020 12 tweets 3 min read Read on X
We all have certain biases when it comes to decision making. This holds true for personal finance as well. And it's important we understand them as at times they can endanger our hard-earned wealth. So here is a list of 5 biases that affect financial decision making
*A THREAD*
#1 Loss Aversion Bias
Loss aversion is the tendency to avoid loss over maximizing gains. Humans are wired in a way that a loss of say Rs. 100 gives us more pain than a profit of say Rs. 200. This behavior forces us to often invest in safer options even for our long-term goals.
How to overcome this bias? The easiest way to avoid this bias is to adopt an overall portfolio perspective and not look at investments individually. When focusing on an overall portfolio level, you generally do not see extreme losses or volatility.
#2 Herd Mentality Bias
It is a phenomenon where we follow what others are doing rather than charting our own path. This behavior is often driven by fear of missing out. For Ex: if the markets go up and everybody joins the race to make quick gains, we too feel the need to do so
How do we free ourselves from this bias? Two words - Asset Allocation. Asset classes move in cycles and no single asset class continues to outperform or underperform. So build a portfolio with an allocation to each asset class.
#3 Mental Accounting
This is one bias that doesn't get much attention. In simple words, it means that we treat money from one source as more important than another. And this behavior is also experienced while investing and can make you take illogical decisions.
So how can you keep this bias in check? The best way, which actually helps you use this bias to your advantage, is following a goal-based investment approach. Once you attach a goal to a particular investment, you mentally allocate that money to a particular purpose.
#4 Availability Bias
It is the human tendency to think of events that come readily to mind; thus making such events more representative than is actually the case. In investments, negative events that have led to severe market corrections are always at the top of investor’s minds
To deal with it, you need to look past all the noise and then act. Sure, market correction hurt. But after every fall comes rise and if you want to make the most when the markets bounce back, then look at the fall as an investment opportunity and not a reason to exit.
#5 Recency Bias
Recency Bias is our tendency to weigh recent events more heavily than earlier events. We often overemphasize on more recent events than those in the near or distant past and shift our focus towards the asset class in favor of today.
To overcome, the first thing you need to do is to understand that looking at the past track record of things to ascertain their future is not the right thing to do. An asset class performing well today might not do well tomorrow.
You can also watch our video to understand these biases in detail -

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with ET Money

ET Money Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @ETMONEY

Mar 29
Last 1-year returns:

Nifty Smallcap 250: 6.5%
Tata Small Cap: 15%

This outperformance isn’t a one-off.

The fund has consistently beaten the index as well as its category average.

Its biggest strength? It protects your returns when markets fall.

A 🧵 on its investment strategy.Image
1. Focus on minimising losses

Corrections in small caps can be brutal. But this fund has handled them effectively.

Since its inception, Nifty Smallcap 250 has had 29 negative months. Tata Small Cap outperformed in 26.

In 10 months, when the index fell more than 5%, it did better in 9.Image
This solid downside protection isn’t by chance.

In a recent interview, Fund Manager Chandraprakash Padiyar highlighted that they look for companies that are reasonably priced, can scale consistently, are debt-free, and generate strong free cash flow.
Read 11 tweets
Mar 26
A simple hack before Mar 31 can help you save tax on the gains you made from stocks and equity funds.

Here’s what you can do:

- Sell your investments
- Book profits & losses
- Repurchase immediately

This is called ‘Tax Harvesting’. Let’s see how it works.

A 🧵
A few basics before we jump to tax harvesting strategy

Your profits from equities are divided into two buckets:

1. Short term: If you sell within one year (of purchase)
2. Long-term: If you sell after one year Image
How to Reduce Taxes?

You pay LTCG tax only when your gains exceed ₹1.25 lakh.

So, the trick is not to let your gains go beyond this tax-free limit.

How to do it? Sell a part of your gains to book LTCG and reinvest it.

Let’s check an example. 👇
Read 12 tweets
Mar 21
How can you make the best returns, taking the least possible risk?

Nobel Prize winner Harry Markowitz spent his life researching this 👆.

His study led to Modern Portfolio Theory, which revolutionised investing.

Here’s a simplified version that every investor must know.

A 🧵
First, let’s understand Markowitz’s principles.

He showed you can earn better returns by taking lower risks if you diversify.

But is that possible?

Equity can grow at 12%-14%. Debt offers just 6%-8% returns.

Can a low-return asset make your portfolio more efficient?

IT’S POSSIBLE! 👇
Say your portfolio has ₹60 in equities & ₹40 in debt (earns 7%).

Your friend’s portfolio is 100% in equities.

Year 1: Markets go up by 12%

Year 2: Fall by 30%

Year 3: They rise 12% again

After three years, you end up with ₹102. Your friend has ₹88.
Read 24 tweets
Mar 20
Funds that usually fall less during corrections tend to do well over the long term.

Parag Parikh Flexi Cap is a good example of this.

But how do you pick funds like PPFAS Flexi Cap in other categories?

Here’s the framework and a list of 8 similar funds across categories.

A🧵
Before we share the names (it’s in tweet 10), let's quickly examine how we selected them.

We looked at 5 popular fund categories.

(1) Multi Cap, (2) Large & Mid Cap, (3) Flexi Cap, (4) Mid Cap and (5) Small Cap.

We filtered them in 3 simple steps.
STEP 1: FUNDS THAT FELL LESS DURING THE RECENT CORRECTION

First, we shortlisted funds that fell less than the benchmark between Sep 26, 2024 and Feb 28.

This is the period when the correction was steep.

The results were surprising. 👇
Read 14 tweets
Mar 18
Have you started an SIP recently and feel underwhelmed by the returns?

There’s something called the 8-4-3 SIP rule.

It explains how returns truly work over time.

Let’s understand this in detail. 👇 🧵
8-4-3 is a compounding rule.

First 8 years – Returns are usually modest. This period can test your patience.

Next 4 years – Your corpus nearly doubles.

Next 3 years – Compounding accelerates.

Let’s understand this with an example.
Say you start a monthly SIP of ₹25,000.

Assuming 12% annualized returns, here’s how your corpus will grow:

After 8 years: ₹39.25 lakh
In the next 4 years: ₹77.02 lakh
Next 3 years: ₹1.18 crore

This rule is based on linear growth - which doesn’t happen in equities.

BUT…
Read 8 tweets
Mar 13
Are markets still overvalued?

Sensex is down 13.6% since it hit an all-time high in Sep 2024.

The pain is worse in mid and small caps:
BSE Midcap: -21.4%
BSE Smallcap: -24.2%

Despite such a steep correction, markets are still not fairly valued, as per long-term data.

A🧵
To answer that, we'll analyse 4 key valuation metrics:

1. Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio
2. Cyclically Adjusted P/E (CAPE) Ratio
3. Market Cap to GDP Ratio
4. Bond Equity Earnings Yield (BEER) Ratio

Let’s start.
1. PRICE TO BOOK RATIO

The P/B ratio compares a company's (or index's) market cap to its book value (net assets).

The lower the P/B, the cheaper the market.

So how do large, mid, and small caps look now after the recent correction?
Read 17 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(