Xi's carbon neutrality announcement is a "power move", as @adamtooze rightly pointly out. But I don't think it's "wrong-footing" EU in any meaningful way. And US under Biden has much more leeway & credibility to politically neutralize this with own actions than piece claims.
Xi's 2060 pledge won't change anything about EU concerns about unfair economic practices, dependence & aggression in HK, Xinjiang, Taiwan. Xi breaking basic & intl law in HK made many in EU wary about trusting Beijing on commitments. No fundamental change in EU China debate
It's not that there is a large European constituency promoting radical decoupling from China that could have indeed been "wrong-footed" by Xi move. Most want productive cooperation on global public goods. And expected that type of commitment as basis for good cooperation.
And while points on US domestic turmoil & climate crisis deniers hobbling credibility of climate moves by a new administration well taken, I do think we shouldn't underestimate how much goodwill a Biden Green New Deal climate offensive could generate in European public opinion.
As an aside: isn't Xi's commitment taking wind out of sails left-wingers arguing we shouldn't confront Beijing on other strategic issues since this would wreck climate? Given Xi's solemn pledge stands (issued at time of great US-China tensions),we shouldn't worry that much no?
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The Nexperia effect.
Volkswagen prepares stopping production of Golf and Tiguan in Wolfsburg as of next week.
It will likely run out of chips by the end of the week.
Chinese export stop for Nexperia went into effect a good week ago it seems. It's telling that VW stockpiles for essential semiconductors barely seem to last for two weeks.
It's still the just in time not the just in case mindset at work. We are paying for it across the board.
„By the end of the first quarter, German industry employed 5.46 million people - 1.8 per cent or 101,000 fewer than a year earlier. Since 2019, the number of employees has fallen by a total of 217,000, a decline of 3.8 per cent“.
Merz: „Absolutely no illusions“ about Trump.
Goal needs to be step by step
independence from a US who „pretty much no longer cares about fate of 🇪🇺“.
„Unclear whether we will still speak of NATO in present shape“ by time of June summit or we need to come up with 🇪🇺alternative.
Likely new German chancellor Friedrich Merz tonight:
„Look at these recent interventions into 🇩🇪by a Mr Elon Musk. Interventions from DC no less dramatic, drastic & brazen than those from Moscow. We are massively under pressure from two sides“.
Merz: „Absolute priority needs to be European unity“ in the face of these challenges.
Says he had never thought he‘d have to say these things about the US.
Das fängt mit der Frage des Framing an. Was heißt es, dass “Russland gewinnt”.
Aus meiner Sicht ist es nicht unbedingt ein Sieg Russlands, wenn die Ukraine nicht alle von Russland völkerrechtswidrig besetzten Gebiete zurückerobert.
Sicherlich ist das Szenario wünschenswert, in dem die Ukraine die von Russland völkerrechtswidrig besetzen Gebieten vollumfänglich befreit. Aber wenn das nicht in nächster Zeit passiert, heißt es nicht, dass Russland gewonnen hat.
5 Jahre lang hat die Regierung es versäumt, kristallklare Ansagen an Netzbetreiber zu Hochrisikoanbietern Huawei & ZTE in kritischer Infrastruktur 5G zu machen.
5 Jahre haben Netzbetreiber Falschinformationen verbreitet & haben entgegen Warnungen immer mehr Huawei verbaut.
Vor 5 Jahren war kristallklar, dass man aufgrund der Risiken bei 5G-Infrastruktur nicht auf vom🇨🇳 Parteistaat kontrollierte Anbieter setzen sollte.
Alle Argumente waren klar.
Europäische Alternativen standen & stehen bereit.
Es wäre so einfach gewesen. zeit.de/politik/auslan…
Bis vor kurzem hatte die öffentliche Hand noch nicht einmal ein klares Lagebild, welche Komponenten chinesischer Anbieter in welchem Maße wo verbaut worden sind. Daß jetzt Handlungswillen besteht ist gut. Gleichzeitig müssen wir Lehren aus Versagen der letzten 5 Jahre ziehen.