Nathan Ruser Profile picture
Sep 26, 2020 10 tweets 5 min read Read on X
The last few days have seen a few people try to discredit our report of 380+ detention facilities in Xinjiang by finding one they don't agree with, this THREAD will collect my threads debunking each and every one of these 'debunks'. If you find more thow them my way.
This site was referred to by the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs to call our claims completely false. Of course, they're wrong.
Here's a thread claiming that a camp is actually a school with video footage to prove it, but the video footage isn't shot within 5km of the camp.
Here's another debunk of a claim that is apparently going around privately to people interested in China to discredit our whole dataset.
I'm only going to address these sorts of debunkings once, because they're simply to do with the fact that if you look at satellite imagery from 2013, you won't see things built in 2017. When you look at newer satellite imagery suddenly they appear.
Another one, it actually was a middle school in Nilqa, an activist group visited it and confirmed it, plus satellite imagery from the time shows pervasive internal fencing and channels to move detainees.
bitterwinter.org/school-convert…
@MyUKnumber4
Another one, the coordinates are wrong again. Maybe to do with the fact that coordinates dont easily translate into Google's China data (it's illegal to have accurate map data for China so they need to offset it).
@zhangxin9261
An Australian academic tried to find holes in our camps dataset. It boiled down to the fact that buildings used for other things were turned into camps in 2017/18.
(we also have evidence of retirement homes, schools, disease centers, hospitals and more)
Seeing a point on Baidu Maps and going hoitytoity these warmongers must be wrong, without doing literally any research (which seems to be a common thread) is the exact same energy as going wewwww the three gorges dam looks weird on google earth it must be about to collapse.
To illustrate some of the differences between schools and camps, see these three photos of a school in Peyziwat, from before (2016), after (2017) and annotated. This is basically the lowest security that detention facilities come, yet the ubiquitous security is clear.

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More from @Nrg8000

Feb 25
I've started reading Our Enemies Will Vanish, a masterful book on the Ukraine War by @yarotrof. Highly recommend it. It contains heaps of tidbits and insights that even someone who followed the invasion closely (i'll count myself) had no idea of.
I'll share some threaded here. Image
@yarotrof (get your hands on the book if you possible can, the tidbits here are just the tip of the iceberg, truly recommend reading the whole thing).
Firstly, this account of a meeting between Bill Burns and Putin months before the invasion where Putin cited US' impotence post Afghanistan Image
@yarotrof And that Ukraine's military preparations on the heel of US intel warnings were so secret that even Washington had no idea about them (to prevent info going from GUR > DC > Kyiv > Russian Fifth Column) Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 23, 2023
I was wanting to check if this IDF graphic was an approximation or a measured/to-scale diagram, so by tracing the various video walkthroughs, I was able to make my own NOT TO SCALE map, suggesting it was a pretty accurate representation but missing some 'branches' explored since.
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The most notable difference is a partially-blocked tunnel leading beyond where the walkthroughts turn left to go towards the spiral staircase. A seperate IDF video showed a 3rd entrance around 125m beyond that intersection, so I've assumed that's where it leads. Image
I've done my best geolocating that entrance by looking for a wide-ish street (with no road markings), that curves slightly to the right & goes downhill, and that has two visible small but distinct orange-roofed areas, along with some vegetation in a front yard. Decent match.
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Read 6 tweets
Nov 17, 2023
In Loikaw, a State capital in Myanmar, the district court has been overrun and destroyed by the KNDF and its armed resistance. After capturing the university on Wednesday, they are now barely 1km from the state capital building.
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The attack on Loikaw comes simultaneously as an attack on Moebye, another major town nearby where ~6 Junta posts have been captured. The KNDF has been spending the last week systematically eradicating junta presence from between Moebye and Loikaw, to stage for these attacks.
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The KNDF has now captured the Kayan Tharyar Crossroads junta outpost on the highway linking Loikaw & Shan State. The only outpost in the Loikaw surrounds still under junta control is the Kone Thar outpost which appears to have not been attacked since it's on an evacuation route.

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Read 4 tweets
Oct 20, 2023
😮‍💨
Looking at the 'splash' analysis is only relevant if the projectile had completed a nice parabolic trajectory & fired correctly.

It has next to no relevance in a hypothesis where there's a misfire and a mostly 'falling' projectile. Therefore, this isn't really helpful.
I have the utmost respect for Forensic Architecture, but when the analysis conducted is only valid in the scenario of one hypothesis and is invalid had the circumstances of another hypothesis happened, then it's not really useful in determining between them.
One quick look at the video of the missile that practically everyone has seen (and I'm sure FA has too) shows that this projectile wasn't on a clean parabolic trajectory and appears to be changing direction mid-air.
Read 15 tweets
Oct 19, 2023
This 'investigation' is flawed. It concludes that the al-Ahli hospital explosion was from an Iron-Dome intercepted rocket that fell/exploded.

This is demonstrably untrue as the Iron-Dome is a terminal-phase interceptor. It does not intercept in the launch phase.
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This is why it can be known as the 'Iron-Dome shield', each missile battery can defend against ~150km2 and targets the rockets towards the end of their trajectory, after the fuel has burnt off and the trajectory is more predictable.
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You can see this in this video, where the rockets are struck after reaching the peak of their trajectory and at the beginning of the descent-phase
Read 7 tweets
Oct 18, 2023
This thread is going around attempting to show 'proof' that Israel was responsible for the explosion at the Gazan hospital.

It does not, the video is from a totally different incident, hour after the hospital blast and shows a strike 1.5-4km away. I'll explain why.
First, I want to preface this analysis by pointing out that this account has been spreading disinformation and denialism about Ukraine for over a year. They have never acted in good faith, but for the people sharing his crap without knowing this I'll refute it at face value.

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The argument is immediately refutable since the same camera did film the explosion at the hospital, in footage youve probably seen, an hour earlier, at 6:59pm.
The time stamp in the video he shared is an hour later, at 7:59pm.
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Read 16 tweets

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