COVID Update September 26: The highway day of new cases in over a month.

But the president is not talking about that. 1/
With 200,000 lives lost, it would be great to say the worst is behind us. All I can say is the worst is still in charge. 2/
A new study shows 9% of Americans have been infected with COVID. Despite the fact the Rand Paul believes otherwise, we are no where close to herd immunity. 3/
Rand reminds me of the famous expression: “Never listen to a libertarian eye doctor for advice on a pandemic.”

I never knew what that expression meant and now it seems so obvious! 4/
200,000 people died and only 9% of the public has been infected.

A year from now will those 9% have immunity? We don’t know.

We still don’t understand what immunity is conferred, how long it lasts, and how many strains are covered. 5/
Message for “herders” (pick one: herd immunity, herd mentality, or herd thinner): 200,000 lives is too high a price to pay.

Even if we cut the death rate in half, which I believe we can, the cost of 50% immunity is another 400,000 American lives. 6/
“Don’t worry. It’s only old people” the herders say.

Only 10% of WHITE people who died are <65.

...but 30% of BLACK people who dies are >65.

Guessing most of the herders are as white as Rand Paul. 7/
“But hey it’s only college kids. Stop worrying about them. They don’t get sick.” A new study finds there is a 1-2 week lag from when young adults get COVID to when people over 60 get COVID. 8/…
Remember all the armchair epidemiologists when Florida started leading the country in cases?

“But no one is getting hospitalized or dying!”

And then they led in hospitalizations. And then deaths. 9/
I say this to at least 5 people/week.

“No, you can’t isolate older people.”

Or people with a disability. Or people immunocompromised.

It is a fantasy of people who prefer not to sacrifice. 10/
So as the end of the first wave hits in the Midwest and in smaller counties around the country, a second wave is showing signs of starting in the Northeast.

Over 1000 new cases in New York today for the first time in months. 11/
Each time we get a wave, our recovery and response is worse. We start declining, people get relieved and break habits.

The very talented governors of Texas, Arizona, And Florida decoded “hey, cases are going down a bit. Open the bars!” 12/
The virus does not care about herders or truthers or deniers. About governors who don’t know better and don’t care.

And since Trump doesn’t care about the virus, it works out just perfectly for the virus and not so good for the rest of us. 13/
What does Trump care about?

Using the Justice Department to inappropriately end pre-existing conditions while signing something worthless saying he isn’t. 14/
What else?

Pretending to cut prescription drug costs while he sues to eliminate protection of the donut hole. 15/
What else?

Allowing hundreds of thousands to die unaccounted for while claiming to do an A+ job. 16/
Trump has a worse record on health care than the virus itself. 17/
It’s not hard to figure this out. 18/
It’s not hard to figure this out. Trump is destroying health care for seniors and destroying Medicare. And increasing the cost of Rx drugs. 19/
The Fall is here. Colleges are underway. We are in the process of repeating the mistakes we’ve made over and over.

We have many chances to get out of this cycle. The best chance is with a leader who cares & knows what the hell he’s doing. /end
Both arrows should be “<“ for under. Sorry!
On tweet 7, Both arrows should be “<“ for under. Sorry for the confusion!

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More from @ASlavitt

23 Oct
COVID Update October 22: Europe is having a second wave. How quickly can they bounce back?

Faster than a country that makes no effort: the US. 1/
Despite a lot of wishful thinking, COVID-19 has not gone away.

(Remember the “people have natural immunity” & “the virus died out”, & the “it will disappear” man?)

Sadly wishful fantasies don’t fight the virus. Scott Atlas’s strategy of ignoring the virus doesn’t work. Only we fight the virus. 3/
Read 24 tweets
21 Oct
COVID Update October 21:

A few nights ago I described how we need to do 2 things.

Account for the past
Fight for our future

I wrote about how we need to account for the past. But I haven’t had the words to focus on the future.

Now I think I do. Or will try. 1/
Thinking about the future turns out to be really hard when we are deep in a hole we must climb out from.

Writing about the past— the need for an accountability election— was easy. Here it is if you didn’t see & want to. 2/
But the future. The future. It feels so uncertain right now. It took me some time. And many many stupid sounding drafts. (Yes for the trolls, even stupider than this!) 3/
Read 28 tweets
19 Oct
BREAKING: Data for the month suggests for the first time COVID-19 has moved from a region by region crisis to a national one.

It needs a national solution.

More to follow shortly.
Here is a graph that says a lot. One thing you see is that cases are growing since April. Now that alone doesn’t tell us everything since testing is growing but it does tell us some things.

It’s from @NephronResearch
One thing to note is the number of states where cases are growing by 1000 cases/day.

April: 6
May/June: 6
July: 14 (19 peak)
August: 12
September: 12
October 15th: 25
Read 8 tweets
18 Oct
COVID Update October 18: It is time.

For the past.
And more importantly for the future.

Today: the past. Tomorrow I will write about the future. 1/
Trump has never faced accountability for his actions. His career in bankruptcy is a master class in how to behave when you don't care about others. Take their money, don't pay it back. Take their services, don't pay it back. 2/
Doing everything you can to avoid taxes including hiding money overseas, illegally using a foundation, writing off blackmail payments, trying to outlawyer the tax code. That's not "savvy." Its savage.

It is not patriotic. Yet, to date no accountability. 3/
Read 34 tweets
18 Oct
COVID Update October 17: The Coronavirus is an equal opportunity killer, right? Wrong. Many countries have done better than others.

It is an amazing story. 1/
One might think it has something to do with wealth.

The U.S. is the wealthiest country in the world. 60 per 100,000 have died here.

This compares to 2 in Haiti and 1 in Botsowana (its close to 0 for the continent of Africa) 2/
Other wealthy countries have also had very high mortality rates.

The U.K. (62), Sweden (57), Italy (59) & Belgium (86) have fared as bad or worse than the U.S. overall-- although they all improved dramatically compared to the U.S. starting in May (more on that in a sec) 3/
Read 22 tweets
15 Oct
COVID Update October 15: We started bad but THEN we got worse. Now is our chance.

Since May 10th, when the worst of Italy and the U.S. had passed, we have had 4x the number of deaths/capita. The difference is 80,000 people gone. 1/
Everyone by this time knows what happened in the U.S. in January through March. Trump heard & ignored, the CDC failed, we lacked masks, had no testing, and we lost too many people. 2/
Our first case was the same day as South Korea’s. We started out and could have been South Korea but never contained and cane to grips with the virus. 3/
Read 24 tweets

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