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Mujtaba Rahman Profile picture
@Mij_Europe
Sep 27, 2020 • 4 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Good read by @pmdfoster & @FT. It's more UK Govt, less Bxl, that's questioning with whom @BorisJohnson will have his Varadkar moment. But @EmmanuelMacron clearly the favourite. Macron DOES think BJ is a man he can do business with; a deal maker. But 1/

ft.com/content/16e84a…
Many in French system worry that the Fr Pres is misreading the PM & overestimating, even exaggerating, his need for a deal. As others say & I agree, France will also be one of the tougher MS as we approach final round. It's unwilling to concede significantly on LPF or fish 2/
Partly bc it thinks UK is negotiating from position of weakness. Partly bc Govt believes it has less at stake from a no deal than some other more vulnerable member states, eg Belgium, Ireland, Germany & Netherlands 3/
Still, for Macron, Merkel or @vonderleyen to engage (Michel not seen as ally or credible in London) more progress is needed at technical level with @MichelBarnier & @DavidGHFrost. That's why next week is imp, esp Cab XS deliberations on Mon which cd sign off on concessions ENDS

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More from @Mij_Europe

Mujtaba Rahman Profile picture
Jan 21
🇫🇷‼️ France has “trolled”|Donald Trump by calling for an official Nato exercise in Greenland, with US participation. The intention is to expose the bad faith of Trump’s claim that the giant territory is vulnerable to Chinese and Russian aggression. 1/

lefigaro.fr/international/…
Exploratory manoeuvres in Greenland last week, involving eight Nato nations including France, were Danish-led and outside Nato military command. The event infuriated Trump because he thought they were intended as a warning to the US (as they were). 2/
Now Paris has proposed an official Nato exercise in Greenland, according to the Elysée Palace reported by Le Figaro.  Such an event would undermine Trump’s bogus claim that Greenland can only be defended by the US and only if it becomes American property. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Mujtaba Rahman Profile picture
Jan 18
France is pushing for the EU to use its tough anti-coercion law to respond to Trump’s trade blackmail on Greenland, according to French government sources reported in the press today. The EU has “robust” legal weapons to defend itself, the sources said 1/

lefigaro.fr/economie/en-di…
.@EmmanuelMacron, who has debounced Trump’s attempts to “intimidate” the EU, has made a series of calls to other European leaders last night and today. He is considering whether to seek a meeting with Trump at the Davos conference this week 2/
The EU anti-coercion law, introduced three years ago, gives Brussels wide powers to retaliate economically against any country which seeks to impose its will on individual EU countries or the union as a whole. It has never been used until now 3/
Read 6 tweets
Mujtaba Rahman Profile picture
Jan 14
🇫🇷President Emmanuel Macron warned President Trump today that any attempt by the United States to grab Greenland would unleash a “cascade” of “unprecedented consequences”. He also spoke of French “actions” if Demark’s sovereignty was infringed..1/
This is the most direct warning so far by any European leader of willingness by the |EU |to retaliate politically and economically if the US annexes the giant Arctic island. 2/
Speaking to France’s weekly cabinet meeting, Macron said he did not “underestimate” Trump’s willingness to carry through his threats to take control of the Danish autonomous territory “one way or another”. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Mujtaba Rahman Profile picture
Dec 7, 2025
Oh to be a fly on the wall of the emergency Starmer, Zelensky, Merz and Macron meeting in London tomorrow.  European leaders have been obsequious about Trump’s zigzags in public; but much more honest in private if last week’s leak to Der Spiegel can be believed. 1/
Tomorrow’s meeting is nominally a catch-up on the Russia-Ukraine war peace-talks but it will be the first in a transatlantic world transformed by publication last week of the Trump administration’s aggressively anti-European National Security Strategy (NSS). 2/
Why transformed? It is possible to argue that there is little in the new NSS that could not be inferred from Vice President JD Vance’s europhobic speech at the Munich Security Conference in February.  But there IS a difference. /3
Read 13 tweets
Mujtaba Rahman Profile picture
Jul 8, 2025
President Emmanuel Macron’s appealed to the UK  this afternoon to throw in its lot with Europe – Brexit or no Brexit – to defend democracy and the rules-based international order against threats from Russia and China but also implicitly from Donald Trump 1/
In an emotional speech to the British parliament on the first day of a state visit, the French President never mentioned the US head of state by name. But he urged Britain to join France and other European countries in resisting an “excessive, dual dependency on China & US” 2/
“I don’t put China on the same basis as the United States, with whom we have a strong alliance,” Macron said “But lets be realistic”. The US-launched trade war was an “explicit decision” not to comply any more with  international law. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Mujtaba Rahman Profile picture
May 7, 2025
🇩🇪🇫🇷 France and Germany will create a joint defence and security council as a symbol of a renewed “friendship” and “leap  forward” in the stuttering Franco-German alliance, President Emmanuel Macron and the new German Chancellor, Fredrich Merz announced today. 1/
The council will discuss, amongst other things, the possibility of extending the umbrella of the French nuclear deterrent to other EU countries, Chancellor Merz said. But he made it clear that Germany expected and wanted to continue the existing American nuclear guarantee. 2/
The two leaders were talking at a brief press conference at the Elysée Palace as part of Merz’s first foreign visit after his troubled election by the Bundestag yesterday. It is traditional for all new French and German leaders to cross the Rhine as their first foreign trip. 3/
Read 9 tweets

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