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Sahil Kapur Profile picture
@sahilkapur
Sep 27, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
ANALYSIS: Trump has the votes in Supreme Court fight, but Democrats have the political edge

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Dems are rapidly coalescing around an ACA-focused strategy. Why? (1) Polls show the issue benefits them, (2) A lawsuit is headed to SCOTUS, (3) Trump said he'd pick anti-ACA judges; (4) Barrett has a paper trail of legal skepticism, (5) There's a pandemic. nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
Democrats lack the power to stop Trump and his party from quickly replacing Ginsburg and creating the most conservative Supreme Court since the Lochner era.

What they can do is try to maximize their political pain.

nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…
nbcnews.com/politics/2020-…

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More from @sahilkapur

Sahil Kapur Profile picture
Jul 3
The House has closed the previous vote after hours of keeping it open and is now voting on the RULE to officially begin debate on the Senate mega-bill.

Laughter in the chamber as presiding officer Womack says it’s a 5-minute vote.
Rule vote is ongoing. Two Republicans have voted NO. They can afford maximum three defections or this goes down and halts the bill.
🚨 There are now FOUR Republicans voting NO on the rule. That's one more than they can afford. Unless at least one flips, this rule cannot move forward (presuming all Democrats show up).
Read 8 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
Dec 19, 2024
CR NEGOTIATIONS UPDATE: There are no negotiations.

It’s Republicans talking amongst themselves about what’s next after Elon & Trump blew up their deal.

But they’ll still need Dems.

“There’s nothing. As far as I know, nothing's been presented so far,” @RepRobertGarcia tells me.
.@RepRobertGarcia on why Democrats aren’t so jazzed about Donald Trump’s new debt limit demand:

“Donald Trump wants to get rid of the debt ceiling because he wants to essentially pass huge tax cuts to enrich his friends, to enrich Elon Musk and his companies, and redistribute hard working wealth that middle class Americans have earned… And so we can have a discussion about the debt ceiling separately.”
.@RepRobertGarcia points to another problem with government funding next steps: There is “a huge trust issue” between the parties after Speaker Johnson and Republicans signed off on a deal and then blew it up. “And so I think it's really unfortunate,” he says.
Read 4 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
Oct 29, 2024
Scoop: Mike Johnson took a dig at "Obamacare" at a PA event Monday and promised "massive reform" to health care if Trump wins.

He said GOP will take a "blow torch to the regulatory state."

"Trump's going to go big."

As Trump reopens ACA fight.

WATCH: nbcnews.com/politics/congr…
“No Obamacare?” one attendee asked Johnson.

“No Obamacare,” Johnson responded, rolling his eyes. “The ACA is so deeply ingrained, we need massive reform to make this work and we got a lot of ideas on how to do that.”

Footage obtained by @NBCNews 👇

nbcnews.com/politics/congr…
Some Republicans want to stop fighting about ACA. Trump won't let them. He still calls for replacing it but hasn't laid out a plan —> "concepts of a plan." Now Johnson promises "massive" health care changes, saying physicians in the GOP caucus have ideas. nbcnews.com/politics/congr…
Read 8 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
Aug 3, 2024
Donald Trump backs out of a previously scheduled presidential debate on ABC after Kamala Harris replaces Joe Biden on the Democratic ticket. Now he says he’ll agree to debate Harris if it’s hosted by Fox News in a “full arena audience.” Image
Harris campaign responds: “Donald Trump is running scared and trying to back out of the debate he already agreed to by running straight to Fox News to bail him out.” She will be at the ABC debate whether or not he shows up, campaign says, asking if he’s “too scared.”
Harris campaign now mocking Trump on debating…
Read 4 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
Apr 3, 2024
NEW: Top Democrats won’t join calls for Sotomayor to retire.

But in interviews with NBC, they’re voicing fears of a RBG redux.

“We should learn a lesson. And it’s not like there’s any mystery here about what the lesson should be.”

w/ @lawrencehurley:

nbcnews.com/politics/supre…
Democrats remain haunted by what happened to Ginsburg. Rewind to 2014: She was 81, Obama was president, Dems had 55 Senate seats; liberals called on her to retire. She rejected them. And died in 2020, got replaced by Trump pick A.C. Barrett—the 6-3 SCOTUS. nbcnews.com/politics/supre…
BLUMENTHAL wants Sotomayor to “weigh the competing factors.”

“The old saying — graveyards are full of indispensable people, ourselves in this body included.”

Sen. WHITEHOUSE warns of a “full MAGA court” if it goes to 7-2.

“Certainly I think if Justice Ginsburg had it to do over again, she might have rethought her confidence in her own health.”

nbcnews.com/politics/supre…
Read 4 tweets
Sahil Kapur Profile picture
Mar 20, 2024
NEW: Republican Study Committee releases a sweeping budget plan

RSC chair is HERN; 170+ members incl Speaker and his full leadership team.

Highlights:

• Raises Social Security retirement age for future retirees
• Converts Medicare to "premium support" a la Paul Ryan plan 
• Rolls back ACA
• Endorses Life At Conception Act

nbcnews.com/politics/congr…
On Social Security, RSC budget endorses "modest adjustments to the retirement age for future retirees to account for increases in life expectancy." Calls for lowering benefits for the highest-earning beneficiaries. No changes for current/imminent retirees. nbcnews.com/politics/congr…
New RSC budget is a glimpse into how Republicans will seek to govern if they win power in 2024. It puts Trump in an awkward spot after he has been all over the map on what to do about Social Security and Medicare. One goal he and RSC agree on: undo ACA.

nbcnews.com/politics/congr…
Read 5 tweets

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