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Judd Legum Profile picture
@JuddLegum
Sep 27, 2020 • 5 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
1. There is so much emphasis by Biden and outside groups on courting disaffected Republicans

There was an entire day of the Democratic National Convention devoted to it

But there is really no evidence that the appeal is working

REPUBLICANS REALLY LIKE TRUMP

Let's review
2. The national NYT poll out today shows that Biden is currently attracting 6 PERCENT of Republican voters.

That's similar to the 4% of Democrats who support Trump.

And less than the 8% of Republicans who supported Clinton in 2015, according to exit polls
3. There are a few high-profile Republicans on Twitter who don't like Trump, but they are not at all representative of Republicans as a whole.

The same NYT poll finds that 93% of Republicans approve of Trump

That's after tens of millions of people lost their jobs and 200K died
4. The idea that "Republicans of principles" will abandon Trump is a fantasy.

If what's happened over the last 3+ years wasn't enough to persuade a significant portion of Republicans to support Biden what is going to happen in the next 45 days?
5. To everyone responding that there are much fewer Republicans today, that is not backed up by the data.

Gallup found 27% of voters identified as Republican in November 2016.

Today? 29%

news.gallup.com/poll/15370/par…

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More from @JuddLegum

Judd Legum Profile picture
Jul 3
1. The FCC has suspended a rule, schedule to go in effect this year, that would have banned prisons from price gouging on phone calls.

Right now, at some jails, a 15-minute phone call can cost over $11.

The decision benefits some of Trump's top donors.
2. The rule scrapped by Trump's FCC would do two things.

First, it would cap the rates jails and prisons could charge for phone calls.

Second, it would ban kickbacks from telecom companies to prisons.

popular.info/p/fcc-blocks-b…
3. The second part is key because the companies that provide phone services to prison kick back up to 50% of their revenue back to the prison operator.

This incentivizes prisons from signing up phone service providers with the highest rates and fees.
Read 7 tweets
Judd Legum Profile picture
Jun 23
1. On March 20, 2003, President George W. Bush began the bombing campaign in Iraq, justifying the attack with manipulated and bogus intelligence.

Twenty-two years later, history is repeating itself.

Let's review the facts.
2. The clear judgment of U.S. intelligence is that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon, and Khamenei has not authorized a nuclear weapons program

DNI Tulsi Gabbard said this explicitly and publicly in March

popular.info/p/a-new-war-ba…
3. Last Tuesday, asked about Gabbard's testimony on Iran, Trump said, "I don't care what she said."

On Friday, Trump said "my intelligence community is wrong."

Now, to justify the bombing of Iran, top members of the Trump administration claim Iran is actively pursuing a nuclear weapon.
Read 10 tweets
Judd Legum Profile picture
Jun 23
1. On March 20, 2002, President George W. Bush began the bombing campaign in Iraq, justifying the attack with manipulated and bogus intelligence.

Twenty-three years later, history is repeating itself.

Let's review the facts.
2. The clear judgment of U.S. intelligence is that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon, and Khamenei has not authorized a nuclear weapons program

DNI Tulsi Gabbard said this explicitly and publicly in March

popular.info/p/a-new-war-ba…
3. Last Tuesday, asked about Gabbard's testimony on Iran, Trump said, "I don't care what she said."

On Friday, Trump said "my intelligence community is wrong."

Now, to justify the bombing of Iran, top members of the Trump administration claim Iran is actively pursuing a nuclear weapon.
Read 10 tweets
Judd Legum Profile picture
Jun 18
1. @amazon, @Verizon, and other major corporations have ended or reduced their support for Juneteenth celebrations this year, forcing events in major cities to be significantly scaled back, a Popular Information investigation reveals.
2. In Denver, the annual Juneteenth Music Festival was cut from two days to one day due to "a sharp decline in corporate sponsorships."

An archived version of the festival website reveals that @Verizon, a "Silver" sponsor of the 2024 event, was not listed as a sponsor this year.

popular.info/p/verizon-and-…
@amazon @Verizon 3. Last month, @Verizon told FCC Chairman Brendan Carr that the company was "ending its DEI-related policies…effective immediately." It was part of @Verizon's effort to win approval from the FCC to acquire Frontier Communications, a broadband tech company, for $20 billion.
Read 9 tweets
Judd Legum Profile picture
Jun 17
1. In 2024, Trump said he would deport every undocumented immigrant in the country. "I think you have to do it," Trump said. "They came in illegally."

He said "illegals" were "poisoning the blood of our country."

Then, for a few days, he abruptly reversed course.

Why? Let's follow the money
2. In a Truth Social post last week, Trump said his "very aggressive policy on immigration" was taking "very good, long time workers" away from the agricultural and hospitality industries. These workers, Trump said, are "almost impossible to replace." Therefore, "Changes are coming!

popular.info/p/trumps-abrup…
3. On June 12, a senior ICE official, Tatum King, sent a message to ICE staff formalizing the new policy: "Effective today, please hold on all work site enforcement investigations/operations on agriculture (including aquaculture and meat packing plants), restaurants and operating hotels."
Read 10 tweets
Judd Legum Profile picture
Jun 17
1. Starlink is turbocharging the operations of a lethal jihadist group operating in West Africa, JNIM

Elon Musk has the capability to limit or prevent the use of Starlink by groups like JNIM but has chosen not to, instead prioritizing growth
2. Before Starlink, JNIM often relied on couriers and paper maps.

Now, JNIM is "using real-time maps, encrypted messaging platforms, and even live streams to plan and secure attacks with incredible coordination," Dr. Obasesam Okoi told Musk Watch.

muskwatch.com/p/starlink-tur…
3. On May 11, JNIM carried out a coordinated attack in Burkina Faso "killing more than a hundred civilians, soldiers, and militia members, according to the International Crisis Group."

After the attack, JNIM "quickly shared videos on social media of its fighters looting the city's army base"
Read 8 tweets

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