Kyle Lamb Profile picture
28 Sep, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Full pivot. After a lot of reflection, prayer and many signs and circumstances pointing this direction in my life, I need to continue this path of data analysis full time if I'm to have time to do it. I'm creating a Patreon for supporters to donate.
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patreon.com/beyondthefold?…
I set the Patreon tier at $3. People can tip any amount above that if they wish. It's recurring but if you want to make a one time donation, you can set it to that amount and cancel after. I'll post more in depth analysis on there daily plus my weekly podcast, etc.

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I'm only looking to supplement my income. If the spirit moves and I'm blessed to make more than that, I will be donating 20% above my expense threshold to charity. I really never planned or wanted to monetize this, but if I'm going to have time, I need to be fully devoted.

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As I said, I'll set this at a low bar ($3 monthly) and I'll leave it to everyone to donate as they wish. I'll try to use the page as a place I can give better explanations and post more detailed analysis. I'm putting this in God's hands and see how things go now.

-end-

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More from @kylamb8

16 Oct
98%.

What if I told you that confirmed flu surveillance across the world has dropped year over year by 98% since April?

This is the deep dive story with data, graphs and charts showing how the world's most consistent nemesis has (almost) completely vanished.

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We began hearing reports back in May the flu was nowhere to be seen in the Southern hemisphere, which was the start of when cases usually peak. I had theorized as early as June and July that perhaps Covid was keeping the flu away.

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Though just a theory I floated at the time, probably earlier and more consistently than most, it's one that now shares some scientific backing.

Check out this study published Sep. 4 in The Lancet that corroborates the theory with some precedent.

thelancet.com/journals/lanmi…

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Read 21 tweets
25 Sep
It is undeniable, IMHO, that there has been an increase in spread in the upper Midwest. This is specifically in WI, the Dakotas, MT, WY, etc. This is not just on account of detection of college cases, but PCR/CLI have risen too. This does not mean a ton of deaths will follow.

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Remember those of us following both seasonality & infection thresholds have been calling this for months. Places that have not been hit hard are still susceptible to further spread. It's not an accident this is hitting a specific geography (seasonality) & places not reaching HIT
Here is a visual of CLI in HHS region 8 (CO, UT, WY, MT, ND, SD)

You can see a definite tick up the past 7-10 days in symptomatic ER visits and confirmed diagnoses. Image
Read 5 tweets
25 Sep
We have our MMWR 38 update in from the CDC, and my Covid Indicator Trend Index has been updated from that. All 4 indicators: CDC Viral Testing/PCR by collection date (20% each), Covid Like Illness (CLI, symptomatic ER visits) and hospitalizations per 100,000 (30%) went DOWN.

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To be transparent, we're seeing significant rise in HHS region 8 (CO, MT, ND, SD, UT, WY). We saw a definitive jump in positive percentages last week, a small increase in CLI and an uptick in hospitalizations. Every other region looks good.

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Here are the CDC viral surveillance... labs reporting to the CDC and specifically the HHS PCR testing dataset by collection/test date

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Read 5 tweets
18 Sep
Today the CDC acknowledged what has been known for several weeks: the flu has largely disappeared this flu season in the southern hemisphere. The CDC is spinning this as being the result of mitigation (masks, lockdowns, etc.). This thread will show that to be false.

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First off, WHO has NEVER found lockdowns/mitigation to stop the flu. Here is their guidance from 2019 saying isolation/quarantine simply doesn't work

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Let's be more blunt, a working group by WHO found in 2006 that there has never been any evidence of quarantine/isolation strategies stopping the spread of the flu

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Read 15 tweets
17 Sep
This is no surprise, considering I've been predicting it, but @RMConservative here is the CDC acknowledging finally the flu didn't show up in the southern hemisphere and they're claiming it's because of mitigation (even though it didn't stop Covid-19).

cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/6…
Read 5 tweets
15 Sep
Please do NOT panic what I'm about to show you. This is the so-called "second wave" in Europe; daily reported deaths inverted and overlayed with daily reported cases. This is shockingly graphic.

Please...remain calm.

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More graphic detail. Please view at your own risk

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And then there's Sweden, who is barely even going through a casedemic because they didn't mess with worthless mitigation strategies. They took their medicine and got better.

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Read 4 tweets

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