1. Donald Trump's tax returns show that he is clearly a fraud - a fake businessman who used the impression that he was rich to get people to give him money, which he then effectively set on fire with business failures, which he then used to avoid paying federal income taxes.
2. There are two big angles to the returns: a) the fraud, both in terms of how he lied about his business acumen and how his tax returns raise questions of actual illegal tax fraud; and b) the disqualifying financial conflicts of interest that make him even more unfit for office.
3. The fraud: Trump ran on being a successful businessman who spun straw into gold. In reality, most of the gold he got came from his Dad or from reality TV, which he then invested into his businesses, that lost tens of millions of dollars. Politically, that's devastating.
4. There are also legit questions over whether he committed tax fraud, a felony. The way he paid Ivanka, for example, looks extremely suspect. This also raises questions about politicization of the IRS. Was he using his power to avoid / delay tax investigations? We need to know.
5. Then there's the tiny tax bill. Trump's federal income tax bill of $750 is obscene. It should spark much greater investment in tax enforcement and investigation funding at the IRS and also spur tax reform that limits such shady accounting for the (seemingly) rich.
6. But what I'm more worried about are the financial conflicts of interest. He's beholden to authoritarian governments. And he is about to have massive bills come due that he almost certainly can't pay. The incentives that creates for a president are terrifying & disqualifying.
7. So: Trump is a fraud who used the illusion of wealth as a grift to get money which he then squandered because he was so incompetent, all so that he could avoid paying his fair share of tax. He's deep in debt, is beholden to foreign despots, and may have committed tax fraud.
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It’s called FLUKE: Chance, Chaos, and Why Everything We Do Matters.
It’s the most interesting thing I’ve ever written—it drastically changed how I see the world—and I hope you’ll pre-order it. Read what it’s about here: simonandschuster.com/books/Fluke/Br…
Here’s the summary: “In the perspective-altering tradition of Malcolm Gladwell’s The Tipping Point and Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s The Black Swan comes a provocative challenge to how we think our world works—and why small, chance events can divert our lives and change everything.”
I’ve been lucky enough to receive incredible advance praise for “Fluke” from some ridiculously smart people, including @holland_tom @seanmcarroll @skdh and @jonathangottsch
`1. Researchers have identified a new personality trait that poses a particularly dangerous risk to democracy. It's called the "Need for Chaos."
Let me explain, starting with my favorite hate e-mail I've received. "Dear Brain," it began, a lovely compliment right off the bat...
2. At least he was polite. Anyone who writes about US politics gets these sort of e-mails. They get particularly vitriolic if you’re critical of Trump. They’re much worse if you’re a woman. (I’ve heard horror stories). But here's the thing about them... brianklaas.substack.com/p/the-need-for…
3. Consider the sociology behind them. What do they hope to achieve by calling me a Nazi clown? “Maybe I really am a Nazi clown?” I would wonder, as I cried myself to sleep, clutching the Panzer tank I had made in balloon form? Or maybe, just maybe, they have a Need for Chaos.
1. Fresh genomic evidence has emerged, suggesting that Covid came from a raccoon dog. At the same time, US government agencies have concluded that it came from a “lab leak” accident. We may never know the origin story with certainty. But there’s a bigger story we’re all missing.
2. The story so far is a strange one. New genomic data was discovered recently, by accident. When researchers analysed it, they found clear marches with raccoon dogs. So, they said so. But when they went back to look at the data, it had been removed. brianklaas.substack.com/p/the-missing-…
3. Now, people who are unqualified to understand the data are shouting at each other. The truth is: nobody has perfect certainty. But while we fixate on the origins of Covid, we aren’t thinking about how to prevent the next avoidable pandemic in the future brianklaas.substack.com/p/the-missing-…
1. A few years ago, I wrote about how Trump’s criminality was like being a golden retriever in an exploding tennis ball factory. There’s so much, you’re not sure what to focus on. If there was just one tennis ball, we’d obsess over it. Instead, we end up ranking the criminality.
2. This benefits Trump, partly because our attention is split and you end up forgetting which tennis ball is which (how many investigations are ongoing, again?) and partly because people then say “the hush money payment is just a minor offense.” But that’s a crazy viewpoint.
3. Presidents are supposed to be the best among us. Adopting an attitude that absolves certain minor felonies because “that’s just Trump being Trump” is a ludicrous way to operate a democracy. We should hold our presidents to the harshest standard, not the most forgiving.
Rwanda is a brutal dictatorship that literally hunts down and murders dissidents. Rwandan exiles have been targeted by death squads *in London*. In 2021, the UK government said Rwanda had ignored “allegations of human rights violations including deaths in custody and torture.”
Here’s Human Rights Watch page, which says Rwanda’s government produces “enforced disappearances and suspicious deaths of government opponents. Arbitrary detention, ill-treatment, and torture in official and unofficial detention facilities is commonplace” hrw.org/africa/rwanda