Florida, where Biden is up only 16 points, continues to resist Biden improvement in this late stage. Consider that he held a 19 point advantage in Univision’s March poll.
Also, Trump’s overall approval among Hispanics is 30%, but in Florida it’s 39%.
The other states and national numbers look good for Biden. Additionally, coronavirus is biggest concern for 40% of Latinos, while 73% disapprove of Trump's management of the pandemic and 61% believe that Biden would have handled it better.
Half of Latinos (48%) plan to vote by mail, although in Texas, where not all voters have that option, the number is only 33%.
59% of Hispanics believe that Biden would do better on the subject of law and order.
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Another PUERTO RICAN family detained, a man tells Telemundo his sister, mother in law, & a child were taken by ICE in Milwaukee & driven to facility where his sister explained that they’re US CITIZENS. ICE response to this flagrant violation? “Sorry”
This man methodically explains that this country has white people, brown people, black people, people with different types of hair — and Puerto Ricans can be all of those. He said it’s difficult to think they need to go with their documents everywhere because they can be stolen
HE ALSO states that the older woman that was with his sister, her mother in law it turns out, is having a hard time dealing with what happened and needed MEDICAL CARE. What are we as a nation doing and allowing? This isn’t right. It’s the US, people have rights.
🚨 NEWS: I just received data on how the MSG rally “garbage” PR comments hurt Trump and helped Harris with Latino voters in Pennsylvania
A major exit poll tracking early voters finds Latino voters in PA moved 9 points toward Harris after the MSG rally!
Full 🧵below w/ more data
The change is driven by increased turnout of Dems and undecideds supporting Harris.
This point is key. Of course undecided voters were making up their minds over last week. But as they were, they had a major unforced error by the Trump campaign, an attack on their home/dignity
More on the ground then more data:
@UnidosUSAF told my friend @BryanLlenas that there were 10-15% undecided Latino voters at the doors before MSG. Afterwards they were gone, with many of them moving to Harris.
I am no stranger to writing about how close NV is in recent elections. I wrote this in 2020 newsweek.com/nevada-could-m… and recently wrote a mag piece from Vegas. But context: It is in Dem/activist interest to stress its a close state they’ve been effectively msging it since 2016 1/x
I remember activists saying it would be close in 2018 when Dems won comfortably. It’s tried and true tactic that keeps donors engaged and makes sure no one falls asleep on GOTV.
Also Somos, which I interviewed two months ago for my Labor Day piece, has made NV their top priority
So while they’re saying it keeps them up at night they also feel confident that groups like them and Culinary will get out the voters they need.
Many knew Reid better than me and covered him more extensively. But one area I feel comfortable sharing info about him is in his Latino hiring and engagement efforts. Here is what former staffers, who used to pitch me all the time on his Latino work, are telling me tonight 1/x
“He created a pipeline of Latino operatives. He gave us the chance of a lifetime. He listened to our opinions when consultants were telling him to do the opposite.”
“He cared about our perspective and us as a person. There are so many Latinos that passed through that office. He created an initiative to ensure that senate offices had Latinos in their staff.”
“Reid showed Washington DC what Latino voters could do.”
I’ve cared about this for 12 years & seen it ignored so long I can come off a little ornery on the topic. I’ve seen plenty of white newsroom leaders care about diversity & champion it but the problem is everyone gives up super quickly. The efforts are always measured against 1/x
Robust, existing, well-funded mainstream newsroom efforts and then after a few months it’s like oh well abandon ship! OR staffers of color are hired but 1) they aren’t empowered 2) they succeed (good!) and leave for better jobs, but aren’t replaced. Also, why do they leave? 2/x
Well, sometimes another place wants to pay them a lot more! But why aren’t they valued like senior white colleagues are by execs? I’m not talking out of my ass I’ve seen this happen as recently as this year with someone. Where is the exec stepping in to say “we can’t lose you”?
One way Clinton appears to surpass Biden Latino operation is in use of Spanish-language media to spread message of how its policies would impact the community. Clinton camp touted the most "candidate time" to Latino outlets ever, with Clinton doing Univision and Telemundo 6 times
Biden did Jorge Ramos and Univision ahead of Nevada caucus and José Díaz-Balart on Telemundo last week. A source close to Biden camp said staffers tried to get Biden on Spanish-language TV more often, only to have the idea nixed by other staffers.
The thought was the campaign was avoiding having Biden get boxed in by questions on immigration, where he is quick to defend his old boss Obama, scoffing at comparisons of his deportation policies and Trump's, but which takes him away from discussing his own plans and policies.