🚨 NEWS: I just received data on how the MSG rally “garbage” PR comments hurt Trump and helped Harris with Latino voters in Pennsylvania

A major exit poll tracking early voters finds Latino voters in PA moved 9 points toward Harris after the MSG rally!

Full 🧵below w/ more data The change is driven by increased turnout of Dems and undecideds supporting Harris.

This point is key. Of course undecided voters were making up their minds over last week. But as they were, they had a major unforced error by the Trump campaign, an attack on their home/dignity

I am no stranger to writing about how close NV is in recent elections. I wrote this in 2020 newsweek.com/nevada-could-m… and recently wrote a mag piece from Vegas. But context: It is in Dem/activist interest to stress its a close state they’ve been effectively msging it since 2016 1/x

https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1576675779630465024

I remember activists saying it would be close in 2018 when Dems won comfortably. It’s tried and true tactic that keeps donors engaged and makes sure no one falls asleep on GOTV.

Also Somos, which I interviewed two months ago for my Labor Day piece, has made NV their top priority

Many knew Reid better than me and covered him more extensively. But one area I feel comfortable sharing info about him is in his Latino hiring and engagement efforts. Here is what former staffers, who used to pitch me all the time on his Latino work, are telling me tonight 1/x

https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1476001327524237312

“He created a pipeline of Latino operatives. He gave us the chance of a lifetime. He listened to our opinions when consultants were telling him to do the opposite.”

I’ve cared about this for 12 years & seen it ignored so long I can come off a little ornery on the topic. I’ve seen plenty of white newsroom leaders care about diversity & champion it but the problem is everyone gives up super quickly. The efforts are always measured against 1/x

https://twitter.com/erinoverbey/status/1437767832159277058

Robust, existing, well-funded mainstream newsroom efforts and then after a few months it’s like oh well abandon ship! OR staffers of color are hired but 1) they aren’t empowered 2) they succeed (good!) and leave for better jobs, but aren’t replaced. Also, why do they leave? 2/x

NEW @UnivisionNews poll of Latino voters:

National:

Biden 66%
Trump 24%

Texas:

Biden 66%
Trump 25%

Arizona:

Biden 65%
Trump 25%

Florida:

Biden: 52%
Trump 36% Florida, where Biden is up only 16 points, continues to resist Biden improvement in this late stage. Consider that he held a 19 point advantage in Univision’s March poll.

Also, Trump’s overall approval among Hispanics is 30%, but in Florida it’s 39%.

One way Clinton appears to surpass Biden Latino operation is in use of Spanish-language media to spread message of how its policies would impact the community. Clinton camp touted the most "candidate time" to Latino outlets ever, with Clinton doing Univision and Telemundo 6 times

https://twitter.com/carrasquillo/status/1308847553551699969

Biden did Jorge Ramos and Univision ahead of Nevada caucus and José Díaz-Balart on Telemundo last week. A source close to Biden camp said staffers tried to get Biden on Spanish-language TV more often, only to have the idea nixed by other staffers.

Former Obama pollster @AmandiOnAir gave me a telling response on efficacy of socialism attacks on Biden:

“If you don't believe that the socialism attacks against Democrats work in places like Florida, just ask Governor Andrew Gillum and Senator Bill Nelson.”

https://twitter.com/carrasquillo/status/1308847553551699969

—> “Those candidacies should have been successful in a massive blue wave year for Democrats, but were tripped up by overperformance by the Republicans with Hispanic voters that used the 'socialism' attack as one of the centerpieces of opposition."

Oh this ABC News tribute to Chadwick Boseman is powerful and sure to provoke tears. Many MCU Actors began with straight to camera videos from home speaking about him. This special is so important. It’s a greatest hits of the viral clips of the last couple days but it’s also a beautiful package of his importance and place in history. It’s so well done.

Almost as soon as Kamala Harris became the first woman of Jamaican-Indian descent to be nominated for vice president, a mock White House menu of oxtail and jerk chicken popped up on a West Indian diaspora Facebook group called Soca de Vote politi.co/2PUqsLR by @MarcACaputo The campaign plans “a full 360 degree effort” to engage Caribbean-American voters, including with paid radio ads in Creole and English and possible interviews with Harris with local hosts who have audiences with roots in the West Indies.

A year ago, in the aftermath of the El Paso hate crime, I couldn’t sit still w/ myself, my mind scattered about what it meant and what came next. I wrote a few pieces on the shooting and how Latinos across the country were feeling. I received 160 messages and shared many below 👇🏽

https://twitter.com/Carrasquillo/status/1158788367418560512

The first piece I wrote looked at the immigration debate and what we tell ourselves it’s about.

For @newrepublic I also tracked down Trump’s invasion language everyone was citing. He called immigration along the southern border an “invasion” six times in seven months:

NEW from me: A year after El Paso shooting Biden again says Trump inspired the shooting. Will release direct to camera video this morning I’m told. Also new ads in Texas and Arizona marking the anniversary and hitting Trump rhetoric. newsweek.com/year-after-el-… via @Newsweek Biden will say the anniversary is a moment to recommit to the battle for the soul of this nation. “A battle against the forces of white supremacy that are part of the very foundations of our nation but which this president has encouraged and emboldened.”

Biden as he has repeatedly, tells @WeAreUnidosUS Latinos will be instrumental in the election and the future of the country. Now talking about El Paso shooting calling it an act of terror by a white supremacist.

Biden says Trump emboldens racism. I always thought the question that needs to be in presidential debates is how kids in schools are disproportionately Latino, so Latino education is American education going forward.

Biden says 25% of grade school students are Latino.

nyt u ok? nytimes.com/2020/07/15/sun… (just kidding, actually a fascinating piece)

This is a huge deal.

When I spoke with Minnesota civil rights lawyer and activist @nvlevy she said Klobuchar has work to do first around race and then maybe in the future she can be a VP candidate.

This kind of action seems like a start.

https://twitter.com/MSNBC/status/1273803046687047681

I did one of the first stories on Klobuchar’s VP problem. Whenever I would speak w/ black or immigration activists and she came up they let me know they had a problem with her record. Now she not only bows out, but increases pressure on Biden to pick a WOC and hurts Warren’s case

News: Biden campaign going up with “sizable” ad buy aimed at Latinos and African-Americans in “handful” of battleground states, according to source with knowledge:

Spanish language ads in FL and AZ at least, on TV, radio and digital.

AfAm ads on TV, radio, digital and print. Theme of Spanish-language ads is “Los cuentos no pagan las cuentas.” Basically, stories don’t pay the bills.

They’re on how Trump’s mismanagement of the pandemic is hurting the Latino community.

Am told more culturally competent than what we’ve previously seen from Biden camp.

MATTIS: “Donald Trump is the first president in my lifetime who does not try to unite the American people—does not even pretend to try. Instead, he tries to divide us.”

https://twitter.com/JeffreyGoldberg/status/1268301322790621189

“We are witnessing the consequences of three years of this deliberate effort. We are witnessing the consequences of three years without mature leadership. We can unite without him, drawing on the strengths inherent in our civil society.“

As a reporter with a decade of experience covering Latino issues, I’m just going to cite my experience both covering the El Paso shooting and what I heard from my friends who reached out to vent/ask advice 1/x It’s good for news coverage to include voices from the affected community, which now in the instance of the killings of unarmed black men and women, falls on black journalists. But these stories take a toll.

Joe Biden rebukes Donald Trump's response to George Floyd killing, says this is "no time to encourage violence" newsweek.com/joe-biden-rebu… via @Newsweek A somber Biden with some powerful words today

"Once again — the words 'I can’t breathe.'

An act of brutality so elemental, it did more than deny one more black man in America his civil rights and his human rights. It denied his very humanity. It denied him of his life."

I’ve been missing my city being so close to it without being able to visit and loved this from @S_Evangelina:

We set up smoky barbecue grills on stoops and in parks. We rush to the city’s sandy shores when beaches open. We wait on line — no, not “in line...”

https://twitter.com/S_Evangelina/status/1264897720902389760

- More than 200,000 cases
- 20,000 New Yorkers have died
- 1/4 need food
- Unemployment up 2,637%

NEW from me: Black and Latino groups and leaders want anyone but Amy Klobuchar for Biden's vice president newsweek.com/black-latino-g… via @Newsweek Democratic donor @StevePtweets told me a Klobuchar pick would be a play for white midwestern moderates over choosing to inspire voters of color.

And he zeroed in on Biden willing to be specific on a speculative Supreme Court pick, but not on committing to a woman of color as VP.

NEW from me: Hispanics lost jobs at higher rates due to coronavirus crisis and Latino groups are scrambling to try to fill the gaps newsweek.com/hispanics-lost… feat. @MariaTeresa1 @votolatino @Hesanche @MiFamiliaVota & @JMurguia_Unidos @WeAreUnidosUS .@votolatino $4 million Immigrant Neighbor Fund launched today to help families excluded from CARES Act relief. @APIAVote part of fund due to more than 1,500 reports "of anti-Asian hate incidents since mid-March 2020," said @ChristineChenDC executive director of APIAVote.