2/ These AMMs use oracles in many different ways. Some use the prices from the oracles to derive a "Zero Slippage" quote price for any size trade (A). Others use them to "rebalance" to external market prices (B). The last group uses them to determine funding rates (C)
3/ These projects that utilize AMMs can roughly be bucketed into the categories above
4/ @synthetix_io exchange was the first AMM to utilize oracles. This resulted in a lot of issues since traders could always front-run price changes before oracle updates. Even when fees were pushed to 1%+ / trade, some frontrunners were still consistently profitable
5/ Even when @synthetix_io demo'd on Layer 2 with sub second block times, there was evidence of soft frontrunning from some of the competitors in the trading competition
"Fee reclamation" was implemented to fix this, with the caveat that it settles you at a future price.
6/ @CoFiXProtocol takes an interesting spin on this by adding a spread and adjusting prices based on market volatility. The spread and vol adjusted prices help protect against frontrunning, but LPs would still be vulnerable during moments where volatility suddenly increases
7/ @Bancor and @BreederDodo use oracle updates to shift their price curve to center around external market prices. Part of the motivation is to "reduce value leakage from arbitragers". I discuss here why that really isn't an issue:
8/ The other issue here is that arbitragers will, in mature markets, always be able to close price gaps before oracle updates settle on-chain.
Oracle updates on Ethereum Layer 1 can't be every block (usually every 2-10 min), and arbers will take profits as quickly as they can.
9/ Another mechanic employed is applying liquidity amplification. While this is good for takers, it can be a double edged sword because it proportionally increases the IL faced by LPs.
Bancor and Dodo use a mechanic to "realize" IL, so in these cases it would be permanent loss
10/ @perpprotocol and @MonteCarloDEX don't have the same issues since the trade prices are not directly influenced by the oracles, rather only trading activity.
Oracles are merely used to determine funding for positions and since prices are TWAPed, there is limited frontrun risk
11/ A & B projects face the same problem that @synthetix_io faced early on, and almost renders the point of using an oracle for price updates pointless without 100% frontrun protection (but these have their tradeoffs).
Higher TPS networks can make these models more effective
12/ I think some of these AMMs could do better removing oracles since it can increase profitability for LPs: gas usage decreases> Tx get cheaper > More arbitrage trades around local vol > More fees for LPs
Excited to see what continued innovation come from these teams
TL;DR Using oracles can theoretically allow you to increase liquidity for traders but practically this is inhibited by arbitragers/front runners
They might work better on higher TPS L1/L2
There might be more problems when the DEXs get large as the reference markets
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2/ “A rollup is said to be based, or L1-sequenced, when its sequencing is driven by the base L1. More concretely, a based rollup is one where the next L1 proposer may, in collaboration with L1 searchers and builders, permissionlessly include the next rollup block as part of the next L1 block.” – Justin Drake
3/ Based Sequencing allows for
- liveness and decentralization of the Ethereum network, ensuring reliability without relying on a single point of failure.
- no need to operate a dedicated sequencer.
- 100ms execution due to preconfirmations
- Economic alignment with the L1, creating new revenue opportunities for existing validators through non-extractive MEV
$ARB has had a great rally but is still fundamentally undervalued
Trades at a fraction of Sui, Avax, Tron, etc but has them beat on volume and TVL by multiples (even excluding HL activity)
There is a large segment of allocators (institutions) that don't invest in memes and pay attention to these metrics
Stylus which allows devs to build using Rust/C++, gaming deployments/Animechain and ongoing interop research look to be the biggest drivers of growth going forward
Also, Robinhood has partnered with Arbitrum for swaps so I don’t think a listing would be unlikely
It’s counterintuitive, but the best tokenomic design for a project (and retail) is to not have investor lock ups and have as much tokens to be as circulating as possible on Day 1 (except team, treasury)
One year cliff and 3-4 year vests are a poor standard that came about from a misunderstanding of capital markets and lazy copy pasting from prior projects
In reality, long vests have little impact on investor contribution post TGE. Good investors will be supportive whether tokens are vesting or not. Opposite for passive investors
The standard needs to change
I wrote about why low float high FDV was bad in 2021. Back then projects started to copy the Serum model of 1% circulating - I pushed that projects should have at very minimum 15-20% circulating on TGE. Now I believe even that is too low. The standard should be 65-75%+
We've given a lot of this advice to new founders, but its tough because you are fighting against bad tokenomics advice from lawyers that misinterpret securities law and other VCs that try to push the status quo
But talk to any past founder and most will tell you that vesting + low float designs are a mistake and result in major headaches down the line
No knowledge of anything actually happening but combination of the below leading me to bet that there’s some interesting developments upcoming for $SUI
1. Raoul pal shill thread while he sits on advisory board 2. Large OTC bids 3. Relatively strong holdership through big unlocks 4. Aggressive price action with no pullback 5. Big recent performance upgrade with Mysiceti potentially allowing for interesting new apps
Many people commenting that they are giving grants to people to shill. If true, this is bullish
Potential speculation into Korea blockchain week announcement
$PEPE is extremely bullish from a Holderbase perspective since they went through a handful of serious FUD events to leave only Diamond hands.
Insider sniping FUD, Multisig dump, Pepe fork. The combined efforts of these events was the definition of bullish selling. Anyone left is just not really selling