Teri Kanefield Profile picture
Sep 29, 2020 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
There's a core of Trump's supporter that won't care if evidence shows Trump is a fraud and cheat. They like what he stands for. They like what he's trying to do.

But given the state of the race, evidence that Trump is a cheat and a fraud nonetheless hurts him.

1/
To win, Trump needs to expand his support. Bombshells like the NYT tax article makes it harder for Trump to do that.

People have already started voting. Time is running out for Trump to turn this around.

From projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-…

2/
For a sense of what we're up against, see this 2018 thread about why Trump's base is fine with his lawbreaking⤵️


At some point, the strongman facade will crumble, but the tax story is unlikely to do as long as his base thinks he can win.

4/
That's why Don Jr. is out there talking nonsense and making stuff up. As long as the Trump's are lying, his supporters know that he's still in the fight, so they're cheering.

New followers: This is my 2018 article about how his base knows he lies: slate.com/news-and-polit…

5/
Of course, the GOP knows Trump can't turn this around. That's why cheating and voter suppression are their only options.

Trump has to keep his base excited, which means he has to appeal to white supremacists.

He can't do that AND appeal to the majority of Americans.

6/
The "again" in MAGA signifies reactionist politics.

MAGA means take America back to the time white men could cheat and grab.

🎶Those were the days🎶
(I'm hearing Archie and Edith, not Mary Hopkins)

His followers get it. See the thread in Tweet #4.


7/
I agree ⤵️

News like this chips away at the edges of Trump's support, and helps Biden solidify his, and that helps.

Moving the needle a single percentage point can make a big difference in the Senate and local races.
This short thread is on my blog, here (without the glaring typing errors): terikanefield-blog.com/trumps-taxes/

All of my errors are entirely the fault of keyboard gremlins. My keyboard gremlins tend to be more active at night.

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More from @Teri_Kanefield

Oct 4, 2025
I finished that thing I've been writing.

It looks like I've taken on some big questions.

I've drawn on the work scholars from different fields, including @dannagal, @karen_stenner, and
@LeorZmigrod

1/

terikanefield.com/whyextremismha…
It's sort of long for a blog post. Maybe it’s really a short book.

I asked it, “What do you want to be?” It hasn’t answered, so for now, it’s a blog post.



2/terikanefield.com/whyextremismha…
The conclusions are what I've been trying to say for a long time, but now (I hope) explained better and with more context.

I hope someone finds it interesting and helpful.

3/terikanefield.com/whyextremismha…
Read 4 tweets
Aug 30, 2025
Okay, whew. I've been writing. Some light summer beach reading . . . NOT

I begin with The authoritarian personality, some politics, a story I’ve told before.

I need this because the new stuff requires context, so please stick with me . . .

1/
terikanefield.com/heres-why/
I add new research, new conclusions, and venture into new territory including existence pain and the role of the artist.

Special thanks to @karen_stenner and @LeorZmigrod who helped me pull it together.

Link:

2/ terikanefield.com/heres-why/Image
@karen_stenner @LeorZmigrod also quoted, cited, or critiqued:

Adorno, Theodor
Arendt, Hannah
Chinoy, Sahil
Coleridge, Samuel
Doestoevsky, Fydor
Frenkel-Brunswik, Else
Haidt, Jonathan @JonHaidt
Hand, Learned
Kanai, Ryota
Merritt, Eli
Ledroit, Stephanie . . .

3/
Read 4 tweets
Apr 29, 2024
Everyone will have a different opinion of the strength of the Manhattan criminal case against Trump.

I am offering no opinions on the strength or who will prevail.

I am saying that people are working too hard to explain the case and figure out the legal theory.

1/
The prosecution has everyone confused because they are framing the case as "election fraud" and "election interference" so everyone is trying to connect the crimes we know about to "election fraud."

2/

terikanefield.com/wheres-the-bee…
The legal theory of the case should be clear.

This would be clear: "It is election fraud. Here is how the evidence will support a charge of election fraud." Then show how the behavior supports election fraud.

Does this mean the prosecution will lose? No.

3/
Read 10 tweets
Mar 11, 2024
Finished. (Whew)

As promised, all about Legal pundits and the Outrage Industry, with a few cherished conspiracy theories carefully debunked.

Click here to start:

For years, I was perplexed by what I saw on Twitter. . .

1/ terikanefield.com/can-democracy-…
Image
It seemed to me that the dynamics of social media were making people more authoritarian.

Then I started reading experts in political communication and it all started making sense.


2/ terikanefield.com/can-democracy-…
Image
I wrote parts 1 - 5 in November. I thought I was finished, but I wasn't.

There were still things I didn't understand.

Writers often write to understand, so I kept reading, thinking, and writing.



3/ terikanefield.com/can-democracy-…
Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 9, 2024
Whew! I finished.



Everything I promised: How to listen (or not listen) to legal pundits.

It's also about what is dangerous about the entire industry of punditry, speculation, and cable talk shows.

1/terikanefield.com/invented-narra…

For years I was perplexed by what I was seeing on left-leaning Twitter, political blogs, and partisan reporting.

I had the feeling that, in its way, what I was seeing was comparable to Fox: Lots of bad information and even unhinged conspiracy theories.
2terikanefield.com/invented-narra…
Of course, if I suggested that, I was blasted for "both-sidesing."

Then I discovered an area of scholarship: Communications and the overlap between communications and political science.

I read these books and light bulbs went on.

3/ Image
Read 11 tweets
Mar 2, 2024
If Trump can win with everything we know about him, what make people think a finding of guilt would change that?

It makes no sense.
Also what if the jury acquits? It can happen.

I do recall the same people thought impeachment and indictment would cause Trump to crumble.
Another contradiction: when people demanded indictments RIGHT NOW (in 2021 and early 2022) the reason was, "Everyone knows he's guilty! Look at all the evidence!"

We saw the J6 committee findings.

Trump isn't saying "I didn't do it." He's saying, "I had the right to do it."

2
We all know what he did. The question is, "Do people want a president who acts like Trump?"

A lot of people do.

People show me polls that a guilty finding would change minds.

I say rubbish. Use common sense. He lost in 2020 and he lost the popular vote in 2016. . .

3/
Read 6 tweets

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