NIH STUDY: 3 interventions had the most impact on COVID infections: closing schools, closing bars, wearing masks.
Here's Maryland where trajectory of case rate (green) hospitalizations (blue) and death (black) all change with a few days of lag time after closures🧵 1/n
Here's Maryland where trajectory of case rate (green) hospitalizations (blue) and death (black) all change with a few days of lag time after closures🧵 1/n
Researchers also looked at school closure, alone. Here's Georgia where school closure occurred prior to closing bars and appears to cut the rate of infections (green) in half, beginning 8-14 days post-closure. Rates of hospitalizations (blue) & death (black) also went down (2/n)
Mask mandates also led to a drop in the rate of infections (green); drops in the rates of hospitalizations (blue); and deaths (black) "Mandating masks is to drop the slopes about 2 fold". Here's New Jersey (3/n)
They found that post-opening surges seemed to be strongly correlate w/opening bars. Conversely, data suggests the simple combination of closing bars and wearing masks (see Red Arrows) was an effective way to clamp down rates. Here's Arizona (4/n)
Overall, school closings dropped infection rates in half; lockdowns dropped rates 3 to 4 fold; other actions (such as closing bars & mandating masks) brought the rates further down. Hospitalizations and deaths lagged, but paralleled cases. Preprint: (5/n) medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
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