New UK 'integrated operating concept'. "Expensive, crewed platforms that we cannot replace and can ill afford to lose will be increasingly vulnerable to swarms of self-coordinating smart munitions perhaps arriving at hypersonic speeds or ... from space" gov.uk/government/pub…
"The economics of warfare are changing the balance between platforms and weapons, and between crewed and uncrewed systems. In short, we face an inflection point between the Industrial Age and the Information Age" gov.uk/government/pub…
"NATO remains central to the pursuit of our strategic end ... But the centrality of NATO does not mean ‘NATO Only’. We must look beyond NATO to other alliances, giving real meaning to interoperability and burden sharing ..." gov.uk/government/pub…
"our own respect for the rules, conventions and protocols of war are a centre of gravity which must be protected. But the pace of technological change & the blurring of ‘peace’ and ‘war’ means that our legal, ethical and moral framework needs updating ..." gov.uk/government/pub…
"It is clearly not possible to immediately abandon the current force structure and create a bespoke one from scratch. Important operations continue, legacy programmes and platforms retain utility" gov.uk/government/pub…
List of what the UK military deems to be the likely characteristics of "sunrise" capabilities, based around idea of "intense competition between hiding and finding". gov.uk/government/pub…
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Big statement by Canadian police. “An extraordinary situation is compelling us to speak about what we have discovered in our multiple ongoing investigations into the involvement of agents of the Government of India in serious criminal activity in Canada” rcmp-grc.gc.ca/en/news/2024/r…
“there has been well over a dozen credible and imminent threats to life which have led to the conduct of Duty to Warn by law enforcement with members of the South Asian community, and specifically members of the pro-Khalistan movement” rcmp-grc.gc.ca/en/news/2024/r…
“in February 2024, the RCMP created a multidisciplinary team to investigate and coordinate efforts to combat this threat. The team has learned a significant amount of information about the breadth and depth of criminal activity orchestrated by agents of the Government of India”
"despite these achievements, Ukraine’s troops and their commanders are growing concerned over manpower problems, particularly the quality of new recruits and the speed at which they are injured or killed in combat." "ft.com/content/b93961…
Grim & will have a knock-on effect on mobilisation and will to fight. "The [Ukrainian] commanders estimated that 50 to 70 per cent of new infantry troops were killed or wounded within days of starting their first rotation." ft.com/content/b93961…
"Age is a key concern — the average person in Ukraine’s military is 45. Of about 30 infantry troops in a unit, said the deputy commander of the 72nd brigade, on average half were in their mid-40s, only five were under 30 and the rest were 50 or older." ft.com/content/b93961…
I wrote this week on the latest skirmishing in the crypto wars. End-to-end encryption has conquered the world. Governments continue to push back in defence of lawful intercept. But the debate around technical solutions has changed little in years. economist.com/international/…
A few sources for this piece. In 2018 & 2021 a pair of GCHQ officials proposed various solutions for reconciling gov't interception with end-to-end encryption. The first piece proposed that govts could be added secretly to particular communications: lawfaremedia.org/article/princi…
The second proposed various types of "client-side scanning"—automatically comparing content on a device to a stored library of illegal material—as a way of detecting child sexual abuse material on social media sites without intercepting content in transit. arxiv.org/abs/2207.09506
A CNAS tabletop exercise. "This study finds that a hypothetical, protracted U.S.-PRC conflict creates conditions under which nonstrategic nuclear weapons use is both appealing to the PRC and difficult to manage for the United States" cnas.org/publications/r…
"once nuclear escalation in the Indo-Pacific occurs, reciprocal tactical nuclear exchanges may continue, but not necessarily lead to general nuclear war." cnas.org/publications/r…
"These findings reflect the fundamental differences of deterrence in the emerging Indo-Pacific era, where distinct geography, targets, and capabilities make limited nuclear escalation potentially more tolerable than in the Cold War era." cnas.org/publications/r…
“Russia has trained its navy to target sites deep inside Europe with nuclear-capable missiles in a potential conflict with Nato, according to secret files…Maps of targets as far-flung as the west coast of France and Barrow-in-Furness” on.ft.com/4fzYtM2
‘The document notes the navy’s “high manoeuvrability” allows it to conduct “sudden & pre-emptive blows” and “massive missile strikes . . . from various directions”. It adds that nuclear weapons are “as a rule” designated for use “in combination with other means of destruction”..’
‘The presentation also references the option of a so-called demonstration strike — detonating a nuclear weapon in a remote area “in a period of immediate threat of aggression” before an actual conflict to scare western countries.’ on.ft.com/4fzYtM2