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Jake Sherman Profile picture
@JakeSherman
Oct 1, 2020 • 4 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Playbook PM: Real talk on Covid relief

LET US SPEND A MINUTE SEPARATING SIGNAL from noise here this afternoon when it comes to Covid relief talks between @SpeakerPelosi and @stevenmnuchin1
@SpeakerPelosi @stevenmnuchin1 NOISE: @SpeakerPelosi saying she is “hopeful” for an agreement to emerge from Covid relief talks. That hope, she said, is based on “the needs of the American people.”
@SpeakerPelosi @stevenmnuchin1 SIGNAL: PELOSI saying at her news conference today that the two sides are “far apart” on state and local funding; they have fundamental disagreements about business tax provisions and the the Child Income Tax Credit; …
@SpeakerPelosi @stevenmnuchin1 more SIGNAL: they are in the midst of a major “values debate” and “dollar debate” with the administration; she does not believe some bill is better than no bill; and the GOP offer is not a “half a loaf, this is the heel of the loaf,” as she told Bloomberg.

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More from @JakeSherman

Jake Sherman Profile picture
Feb 5
Happy Wednesday.

☀️AM: The options to jumpstart the Trump agenda

After speaking all day to top House Republicans, here's are the options for reconciliation.

stay the course -- and pull a rabbit out of a hat.

Johnson is an optimist. You gotta give him that. The Louisiana Republican has maintained that the mess that we’re seeing right now is all part of what he calls the “deliberative process.” Fair enough. There’s certainly a lot of deliberating going on.

But there’s a path — a narrow path — for House Republicans to get a budget resolution allowing “one big beautiful bill” to move forward.

Following a very long meeting in the speaker’s office Tuesday night that included GOP leadership, committee chairs and some of the hardliners, there were signs of progress, although no agreement yet.

“I think when you look at where we are, we’re close to a trillion [dollars in cuts] and still working,” House Majority Leader Steve Scalise told reporters afterward.

Scalise added that House GOP leaders “are focused on” trying to mark up a budget resolution next week.

They’ve also directed all the committees involved in this process to come up with more spending cuts. “We’re working on details for each committee,” Scalise said. “But we have gone back to each committee to increase those numbers. We’re not done on it.”

Plus, Republicans will think expansively about how to count savings — DOGE, projected 3% economic growth and a juiced economy from slashing regulations.

Then there’s Trump.

Can Trump, who has had limited legislative success during his first term, get Reps. Chip Roy (R-Texas) and Ralph Norman (R-S.C.) to back Johnson’s plan? Trump hasn’t yet leaned on lawmakers to get the reconciliation process going. By next week, he may have to.
Switch to two bills. 

Hold onto your hat, Rep. Jason Smith (R-Mo.). There are House Republicans talking about the Budget Committee switching course and marking up the dual-track reconciliation process that Smith, the Ways and Means Committee chair, has railed against for months.

Trump says he doesn’t care if there’s one bill or two bills as long as his agenda gets approved. There are plenty of senior aides in the White House who want two bills. And the House Freedom Caucus wants two also.

The first reconciliation package would have defense spending, energy policy and border security provisions. The second reconciliation package — the tax-cut portion — would be punted until later. When exactly is unclear.

Smith doesn’t like the two-bill approach. In his view, that puts tax cuts at risk. Yet if the Budget Committee remains stuck, House Republicans may not have a choice.
Chip Roy, the floor is yours. 

There’s always an inclination in House Republican leadership to say something like this: “OK, Freedom Caucus. If you think your idea is so great, give it a shot, and let’s see how it goes.”

Play this out with us for a moment. What if Johnson tells Roy, Norman and the other conservative holdouts that they should write whatever budget resolution they want, try to push it through the Budget Committee and the full House, and then see what the Senate will do with it?

Of course, a Freedom Caucus-favored package may not get through the Budget Committee. If it does, it could fail on the House floor. And it will certainly get ripped to shreds in the Senate.

But there’s utility in that exercise to show that hardliners need to drop their draconian spending-cut demands and embrace a bill that can actually become law. That’s the real goal of legislating, right?
Read 5 tweets
Jake Sherman Profile picture
Jan 15, 2024
ON THE HOUSE REPUBLICAN CALL —

@SpeakerJohnson says that with Hal rogers and Scalise out, the majority is slimmer than ever.

There’s simply not enough time so a CR is required, Johnson says.
“Best remaining option on the table … keeps laddered approach,” Johnson said.
JOHNSON says house gop position is hr2. And reiterated he won’t take the senate deal.
Read 4 tweets
Jake Sherman Profile picture
Dec 14, 2023
🚨SOME NEWS about @PunchbowlNews ... 

We have acquired @electoanalytics, a data startup that focuses on Congress.

Electo Analytics is a truly special platform. It tracks and allows collaboration on bills, tracks regulations and has a fulsome directories of the Hill, state and local public officials and aides.

The deal valued Punchbowl News at north of $100 million.

Here's NYT story nytimes.com/2023/12/14/bus…
But I want to take a second to talk about what our goals are. And what Punchbowl News wants to do going forward.

From our start nearly 3 years ago, our aim was to create a news organization that serves people who care deeply about the politics of governing.

We do that through our three newsletters -- AM, Midday and PM. We do that through our social and newsmaker events. We do that through our polling of Capitol Hill and K Street.
And we will do that through our acquisition of Electo Analytics, which will be folded into Punchbowl News. We want Punchbowl News to be the place where you get your news -- and where you do your work in Washington. We'll be building this platform out with the Hill/Downtown in mind -- and with everyone's input.

We're building it for you.
Read 5 tweets
Jake Sherman Profile picture
Oct 20, 2023
BACON votes MCHENRY

1 against JORDAN
BUCHANAN goes for BYRON DONALDS

2 against Jordan
BUCK goes for TOM EMMER

3 against JORDAN
Read 17 tweets
Jake Sherman Profile picture
Oct 18, 2023
DON BACON of Nebraska votes MCCARTHY

1 against Jordan
VERN BUCHANAN votes for Byron Donalds

That's a new NO VOTE for Jordan

2 against JORDAN
KEN BUCK goes for EMMER

3 against JORDAN
Read 22 tweets
Jake Sherman Profile picture
Oct 3, 2023
MCCARTHY IN CLOSED GOP MEETING

We got a lot of big challenges

I dont want this to be an angry meeting. I firmly trust in God

You need 218 votes to be speaker -- and for the rules and amendments.

U held my mouth until you said something that wasnt true. And i did it for the good of the conference
And i did it for the good of the conference. The Dems came to me to make a deal. I wasnt goign to make a deal.

When eight people work with the Democrats, it's not for the best of the conference.

I got to be the 55th speaker -- my goal has been to save the country. I love a lot of you -- i saw your kids grow up.
Those who stuck with me ill never forget it. I want you to all go home and see your family.

He quoted Lou Gehrig -- he said he is the luckiest man on the face of the earth. I'm optimistic because i dont know what else to be
Read 4 tweets

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