This might be the most remarkable campaign in US presidential history for one reason--the lack of any significant change since it was clear Biden would be the nominee.
Other than Trump getting a small bounce at the beginning of the COVID shutdowns, the race has remained remarkably static. Has there ever been a presidential race with so little change like this?
Makes it seem very unlikely that this will change between now and election date. If so, the only hope for Trump is that the polls are undercounting his support
just checked--Reagan-Mondale in 1984 was actually much more unstable. Though Reagan's victory might seem inevitable from our perspective, Mondale was very close in the polls at the start of the campaign. Maybe Clinton-Dole in 1996 compares. Was Dole ever up on Clinton?
Actually--would bet that Eisenhower-Stevenson in 1956 is probably the next closest election with such little change . A re-run of the same candidates at 1952 during economic stability with a popular incumbent. Cant believe the polls shifted much during that campaign.
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Trump is admitting two things here. The first is that he has been serving Russian interests by protecting Putin on numerous occasions. The second is that Trump is feeling pressure to be harder on Russia, which he really doesn’t want to do.
Response: keep up the pressure!
We now live in an era in which the President of the USA is publicly admitting to acting exactly as an agent of influence of Russia would be expected to act.
Republicans, do you feel proud to be supporting a President who openly admits to strongly and regularly defending the actions of a dictatorial war criminal who has invaded a democracy. Is this what you want the party to be?
Hi all, just sent out my free weekend update. This was the week where it was said many things changed, but actually relatively little did. Trump basically gave up pretending he was trying to negotiate in good faith and said if Putin doesn’t want a deal, that’s fine by him.
And at the same time, Trump is encouraging Putin not to have a deal as he continues to restrict new aid to Ukraine. Can we stop pretending that Trump cares about Ukrainian dead? He’s a narcissistic sociopath. This is just a continuation of his older policy in a new way.
I wrote about this in the update. The USA through Trump is now actively helping Russia kill Ukrainians by starving Ukraine of anti air facilities. The US is working with Russia. washingtonpost.com/world/2025/05/…
OK, sent out this free piece on the details of the Trump "final" plan for Ukraine that has been seen by Axios. The 5 points have basically been dictated by Putin. They set up a process which would allow Russia to expand into all of its neighbors.
No one should be shocked by this. Its what Trump has been saying for years. The shocking thing is that people fooled themselves that we would not reach this point. The future of freedom and democracy in Europe is entirely in Europe's hands. I hope Europe does not blow it.
Btw, Putin saying right after this that he is now willing to freeze the war along the present front line and negotiate is almost certainly coordinated action with Trump to try and force this terrible deal down Ukraine’s and Europe’s throats
Trump is out of his depth in this trade war. He clearly didnt expect this Chinese reaction--and is accusing them of panicking. Ahhh--Projection....
The tragedy for the USA (self-inflicted) is that Trump seems to be going out of his way to strengthen China's international position. President Xi must be stunned as his good luck to be faced by such a fool--as I wrote in this piece today.
More Trump panic (a real-time meltdown is happening). Having put in place all the conditions for a major recession--he's now begging the Fed to cut interest rates and throw him a lifeline. Maybe he should ask the Chinese to stop panicking and help.
Pretty sure what we have seen today is Trump and Putin acting as allies to betray Ukraine and isolate Europe. What seems to have happened is this. 1) The US got Ukraine to agree a Black Sea ceasefire on the idea that if Rus broke it, the US would put more sanctions on Rus.
2) Trump then turn around and agreed sanctions relief with Russia as part of the Black Sea Ceasefire--which Ukraine would not have known (I imagine)
3) Ukraine is now in a box. If it rejects the US deal with Russia, the US can say Ukraine is the bad guy and end all sanctions.
4) If Ukraine keeps to the deal--Russia gets important relief and a significant advantage it did not have.
5) Only European states can help Ukraine now--but they need to be active and fast.
I do not think people realize how comprehensive the Trump Administration is being in its attempts to help Putin kill Ukrainians. I have it on an excellent source that Ukrainian UAV operations are 15% less effective because of the US intel cut off.
This should be a chilling warning for the rest of Europe. If the US can help Putin kill Ukrainians today, the US can help Putin kill lots of other Europeans tomorrow.
And the US is depriving the Ukrainians not only of weapons, but also medical supplies. The US is now making it more likely that wounded Ukrainians die.