This might be the most remarkable campaign in US presidential history for one reason--the lack of any significant change since it was clear Biden would be the nominee.
Other than Trump getting a small bounce at the beginning of the COVID shutdowns, the race has remained remarkably static. Has there ever been a presidential race with so little change like this?
Makes it seem very unlikely that this will change between now and election date. If so, the only hope for Trump is that the polls are undercounting his support
just checked--Reagan-Mondale in 1984 was actually much more unstable. Though Reagan's victory might seem inevitable from our perspective, Mondale was very close in the polls at the start of the campaign. Maybe Clinton-Dole in 1996 compares. Was Dole ever up on Clinton?
Actually--would bet that Eisenhower-Stevenson in 1956 is probably the next closest election with such little change . A re-run of the same candidates at 1952 during economic stability with a popular incumbent. Cant believe the polls shifted much during that campaign.
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You sir, are one of the great frauds in the group that claims to back Ukraine--but actually serves Trump (and Putin) and helps damage Ukraine. For ages you have been telling lies that Trump would be great for Ukraine, that Trump loves Zelensky, that Trump would be tough on Putin.
Here you are before the election, assuring people that Trump loved Zelensky--indeed that Zelensky was a Ukrainian Trump! Trump of course loved Zelensky so much he humiliated him as soon as he became president. aei.org/op-eds/why-doe…
In February you pretended Trump's meaningless minerals deal was going to make Trump really help Ukraine--and was a big blow to Putin. washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/…
I know there is a new surge of optimism that Trump will really help Ukraine and hammer Russia. And the White House is making lots of "noise". However, keep in mind the following:
The first threat to really hammer Putin with sanctions was 9 months ago. cnbc.com/2025/01/22/tru…
Trump is admitting two things here. The first is that he has been serving Russian interests by protecting Putin on numerous occasions. The second is that Trump is feeling pressure to be harder on Russia, which he really doesn’t want to do.
Response: keep up the pressure!
We now live in an era in which the President of the USA is publicly admitting to acting exactly as an agent of influence of Russia would be expected to act.
Republicans, do you feel proud to be supporting a President who openly admits to strongly and regularly defending the actions of a dictatorial war criminal who has invaded a democracy. Is this what you want the party to be?
Hi all, just sent out my free weekend update. This was the week where it was said many things changed, but actually relatively little did. Trump basically gave up pretending he was trying to negotiate in good faith and said if Putin doesn’t want a deal, that’s fine by him.
And at the same time, Trump is encouraging Putin not to have a deal as he continues to restrict new aid to Ukraine. Can we stop pretending that Trump cares about Ukrainian dead? He’s a narcissistic sociopath. This is just a continuation of his older policy in a new way.
I wrote about this in the update. The USA through Trump is now actively helping Russia kill Ukrainians by starving Ukraine of anti air facilities. The US is working with Russia. washingtonpost.com/world/2025/05/…
OK, sent out this free piece on the details of the Trump "final" plan for Ukraine that has been seen by Axios. The 5 points have basically been dictated by Putin. They set up a process which would allow Russia to expand into all of its neighbors.
No one should be shocked by this. Its what Trump has been saying for years. The shocking thing is that people fooled themselves that we would not reach this point. The future of freedom and democracy in Europe is entirely in Europe's hands. I hope Europe does not blow it.
Btw, Putin saying right after this that he is now willing to freeze the war along the present front line and negotiate is almost certainly coordinated action with Trump to try and force this terrible deal down Ukraine’s and Europe’s throats
Trump is out of his depth in this trade war. He clearly didnt expect this Chinese reaction--and is accusing them of panicking. Ahhh--Projection....
The tragedy for the USA (self-inflicted) is that Trump seems to be going out of his way to strengthen China's international position. President Xi must be stunned as his good luck to be faced by such a fool--as I wrote in this piece today.
More Trump panic (a real-time meltdown is happening). Having put in place all the conditions for a major recession--he's now begging the Fed to cut interest rates and throw him a lifeline. Maybe he should ask the Chinese to stop panicking and help.