Seth Frantzman Profile picture
Oct 2, 2020 5 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Making beef stew today at #chezfrantzman; we add a number of ingredients such as onion, garlic, carrot, thyme, potato; dash of flour, ketchup, Worcestershire sauce, tomato, cumin, cloves ImageImage
Here we are with our beef stew about 4 hours in to the cooking #chezfrantzman @ArtofEating
Here we are #beefstew at #chezfrantzman Image
I pair it with this Israeli wine

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More from @sfrantzman

May 16
I believe the goal of Hamas is to leverage Oct. 7 to come to power in the West Bank. Working with Fatah would be one step on that road. It's important to understand that Hamas has a lot more backing abroad today than the PA. Hamas is backed by Ankara, Doha, Tehran and also by Moscow, and probably also Beijing. The PA is being starved of resources. Hamas is making its moves.
Israel's leadership has opposed the PA running Gaza because of the concerns about Fatah. This has led to arguments that Hamas shouldn't be replaced by Fatah. However...in the end of the day Israel is being handed a fait accompli...that Hamas is already seeking to move closer to the PA's factions
The big concern everyone should have is that Hamas uses the fact that Israel opposes it and the PA to coopt the PA to its cause and that it can then infiltrate the West Bank and the PA institutions under the guise of "technocrats"....and then slowly take over from within.
Read 6 tweets
May 16
I’m on the Gaza border today visiting several sites related to the humanitarian aid crossings and covering several stories. One thing I was struck by was the thought that the current debate in Israel over plans for the “day after” are only a tip of the iceberg of the larger question of reconstruction
If the war ends there is going to be a battle to “win the peace”….which means the countries that back Hamas will want to do the reconstruction and that means rebuilding the tunnels and bringing in more weapons as they did after 2009.
Today in Israel there is a debate about how to find a non-Hamas governing authority and the leadership is saying that they don’t want Hamas or Fatah, they don’t want the PA in Gaza. This inevitably means Hamas returns to power. They say that one can’t plan for after until Hamas is totally defeated, which so far it isn’t.
Read 8 tweets
May 15
The US-built floating pier could be operational in coming days according to a briefing today. The pier will be off the coast of Gaza and will enable a new maritime corridor from Cyprus where cargo ships will arrive at the. pier and offload goods, then the items will be put on trucks to be shuttled to shore on smaller ships that offload them to a pier affixed to the shore; then the goods go inland.

A few takeaways from the briefing.
United States Agency for International Development Response Director Dan Dieckhaus and Vice Admiral Brad Cooper, Deputy Commander, United States Central Command spoke at the briefing. It was insightful into how this important mission is being characterized.
The briefing stressed that this maritime corridor is additive, it augments current aid delivery, it is NOT intended to replace any other crossings. For instance, the closed Rafah crossing with Egypt and Gaza still should be opened.
Read 10 tweets
May 15
Israel's Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant puts out an important statement pressing the government to finally come up with a strategy in Gaza after seven months.

"We must dismantle Hamas’ governing capabilities in Gaza. The key to this goal is military action, and the establishment of a governing alternative in Gaza. In the absence of such an alternative, only two negative options remain: Hamas’ rule in Gaza, or Israeli military rule in Gaza."
"The meaning of indecision, is choosing one of the negative options - it would erode our military achievements, lessen the pressure on Hamas, and sabotage the chances of achieving a framework for the release of hostages. Already in October, on the night of our military maneuver [into Gaza], the defense establishment presented its war plan to the Cabinet, stating that it will be necessary to destroy Hamas battalions, while simultaneously working to establish a local, non-hostile Palestinian governing alternative."
"Since October, I have been raising this issue consistently in the Cabinet, and have received no response. The end of the military campaign must come together with political action. The 'day after Hamas,' will only be achieved with Palestinian entities taking control of Gaza, accompanied by international actors, establishing a governing alternative to Hamas’ rule. This, above all, is an interest of the State of Israel. Unfortunately, this issue was not raised for debate and worse, An alternative was not raised in its replacement. Indecision, is in essence, a decision - this leads to a dangerous course, which promotes the idea of Israeli military and civilian governance in Gaza. This is a negative and dangerous option for the State of Israel strategically, militarily, and from a security standpoint."
Read 9 tweets
May 13
There's something complex and symbolic about this, that requires a short article looking back at what could have been and how it all ended up.

My view has always been that Gaza was betrayed by the international community. The airport had long ceased to function due to the second intifada, but when Israel left in 2005 there was ample opportunity to make a change for the better.
However, what happened was that Hamas was allowed to take over Gaza via a violent coup. Very quickly after that, the international community embraced working with Hamas and NGOs and the UN and others began to partner with them, rather than condemn Hamas and isolate it and get the PA back into Gaza, the int'l community paved the way for its increasing authoritarianism and then its wars.
The fact that Hamas was very quickly backed by two western allies (Ankara and Doha) and that by 2012 its leaders were in Doha (a bizarre decision that the US supported)...led to Hamas getting legitimacy and getting massive funding. And it also acquired a huge arsenal.
Read 11 tweets
May 12
It appears there is emerging concern within the IDF about the policy of going into neighborhoods like Jabalya and Zaytun again and again without a plan of who will run them after; essentially returning them to Hamas. In operations in Zaytun for instance, several soldiers have been killed in the last days.
For instance:

“We are now operating once again in Jabaliya. As long as there’s no diplomatic process to develop a governing body in the Strip that isn’t Hamas, we’ll have to launch campaigns again and again in other places to dismantle Hamas’s infrastructure,” Halevi was quoted by Channel 13 as saying. “It will be a Sisyphean task.”

timesofisrael.com/idf-chief-said…
Example 2:
"Even after all these actions and raids, Hamas will remain there," the IDF said this morning, "to influence Hamas, a governing alternative to Hamas is needed. There are no magic solutions. The most important thing is to decide and indecision drags the current reality"

Read 9 tweets

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