Thread: I see these odd debates, mostly among westerners, about whether something is "jihadist"...it reminds me of the old debates about what kind of "Marxist" people were...it views "jihadist" as some academic reality, when the reality on the ground is not so simple, or binary
It also reminds me of the debates in the US about what group is "far right" or "white supremacist"...in the end what we are talking about is groups in the Middle East on a spectrum of far-right extremism as well, some of whom are genocidal.
It misses a key aspect, which is that groups may profess some ideology, some worldview...but the people that join and leave the and move in their circles and commit crimes sometimes for these ideologies, are not so doctrinaire.
And the nonsensical stories of "group X would never work with country Y because that country is a different religion or viewed as 'apostates'" doesn't hold up in history. Groups often work with countries and other groups based on money, shared interests, convenience.
It also reminds me of the use of the word "terrorist" to describe some groups and not others...just because one government labels a group "terrorist" and not another. So what? Governments use terms like "terrorist" or "jihadist" for reasons that may not reflect the ground reality
One has to be careful about entering these debates with people who are trying to whitewash group as "non-jihadist" for reasons, such as giving a country the blank check to work with them...it's about politics, and less about what the groups do, are they ethnic-cleansing, etc?
The idea that you can take a bunch of groups and easily divide them into some arbitrary system of definitions, with little bases in what the members are doing or what they think or why, is an academic exercise, but not one that reflects what is happening.
It's better to ask "what does the group do"...less than what it claims to believe. Does it harass and kidnap minorities, enforce dress codes, ethnic-cleanse or genocide...or is it non-violent...what is it doing? Groups change. Hamas has changed, for instance. Taliban changes.
So we need to know more...groups in Sinai and other places targeted historic Islamic shrines as part of their campaigns. Is it worth knowing if they fit a "jihadist" definition...as if somehow if we whitewash the term we use for them, then the crimes go away?
I think the whole thing is an exercise in attempting to make some extremist groups seem acceptable...and I don't think it helps with definitions of "neo-Nazis" or other extremists either. One needs to ask "what do they do" more than "what do they claim to believe."
Someone may say "your not an expert on Jihad"...yeah ok. I'm not an expert on the religious underpinnings of the Crusades either. But it's worth knowing more about what the Crusaders did, then the often impenetrable complexities of their beliefs at the time.
For instance the massacres of the Rhineland during that era were carried out...do we need to get deep into the theocratic underpinnings of the whole movement to get at that? I would say that may be less helpful than know about the massacres and hate. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhineland…
One can imagine such a discussion where people are like "these are non-Crusader units of the Crusader kingdom"...yeah sure...I understand...some signed up for money and adventure. Ok. Some joined ISIS for the same reason.
When these modern groups murdered Hevrin Khalaf and celebrated, or ethnically-cleansed Afrin...those are the actions they did. Coming along and saying "but this is non-Jihadist"...so? Maybe the "non-Jihadists" are worse? And they get support from a state, which is bad.
If governments or security services only look for "jihadists threats" they will be missing the elephant in the room, they should ask "what does the group do" first...and see if it attracts extremists and then understand the threat. Not just ask about supposed ideology
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I think this is likely an assessment that reflects the thinking that informs Israel's current policies on Gaza.
However it leads to several tough questions. 1. Once it's acknowledged that returning hostages is basically impossible, one has to wonder why it wasn't an absolute priority throughout the years, leading up to Oct. 7, to prevent hostage taking at all costs. On Oct. 6 there was complete complacency along the border; very few combat soldiers, numerous unarmed soldiers, primarily women, in observations rooms right on the border in posts that were difficult to defend; civilian communities with only a handful of rifles that were secured in an armory in each community, hard to reach quickly.
Hamas openly trained to attack and take hostages, and yet the assessment was that it was deterred, there wasn't even a skeptical voice saying "what if they are not, then this will be catastrophe."
Second, once the assessment is that it's basically impossible to return hostages from Gaza, one has to ask if there is an updated policy on hostage taking that prioritizes preventing it? A year and two months after Oct. 7 what would be done differently? Are there any procedures in place?
Third, once the assessment is that it's basically impossiblee to return hostages, when one has to ask why it wasn't decided early in 2024 to remove Hamas completely and attempt to rescue hostages by force, rather than just let meaningless talks drag on? Why wasn't more pressure put on Hamas and why wasn't it removed systematically from Gaza? Instead it got a kind of de facto ceasefire in parts of Gaza beginning in March 2024 and throughout the year it wasn't under pressure in many parts of Gaza.
There is one brutal enduring fact about the war in Gaza.
Hamas sees the entire war as a success and if it could go back to October 6 it would do it again.
More jarring is that most of the NGOs and UN orgs that work in Gaza would like the war to end and have Hamas continue to rule Gaza. They don’t see the Hamas attack as a disaster for Gaza. They see Israel’s response as bad, but they think Hamas is a good steward of Gaza. They have partnered with Hamas and profited immensely off its rule. They want to perpetuate Hamas rule and they feed off the disasters and suffering it brings.
Defeating Hamas is made more difficult by the stakeholders in Gaza who prefer Hamas. This is not just the NGOs and UN, but also Ankara and Doha and other countries. Hamas has massive backing globally. And all those backers see October 7 as a success. None of them saw October 7 as a breaking point. There is not ONE example of an NGO or country that formerly engaged with Hamas saying “this is a red line, we now recognize this organization can’t run Gaza in the future.”
As there are remembrances of former President Jimmy Carter, with differing views on his legacy; I'd like to draw attention to his 2009 trip to the Middle East which symbolizes his approach. He met with Assad, and reported only on Assad's complaints about the US but didn't mention anything about the Assad regime abuses.
Now let's compare that with his meetings with the Palestinian Authority where he pressed them on police policies and abuses. He mentioned prisoners who were detained for political reasons. So in Syria he couldn't mention political prisoners or police abuses, but he could complain to the Palestinian Authority, a much smaller and weaker polity about abuses?
He went to Israel and he writes about being "grilled" by Knesset members and he writes about human rights. But he never mentions human rights in Syria.
Worrying trend in this sub-head "forces strggle to find purpose in their current mision." It's easy to go into these types of situations, it can be harder to leave. The multi-front war has a lot of diminishing returns and lack of clarity as to "what next" on almost every front is embodied in headlines like
In Gaza the IDF is fighting in northern Gaza, but there is no clear path forward regarding central Gaza where Hamas continues to run a kind of mini-state and hold 100 hostages. There's no clear way to defeat Hamas or remove it or return the hostages (and there's no urgency in their return despite recent harrowing reports)
On the Houthi front, four rounds of airstrikes have not apparently deterred them yet. Will more airstrikes work?
This list should have been provided a year ago. The fact that Israel was willing to sit down for a year of useless talks and that Israel’s partners such as the U.S. who also sat down in these rooms, did this without even a list is really unconscionable. It should have been the first thing delivered, even if it was provided to a neutral third party. These hostage talks have never been serious and media reports and leaks have provided false hopes for a year and it is unconscionable. A disgrace that this was allowed to happen. It also shows Hamas was never under pressure and they think they are winning and their hosts and backers such as Doha told them not to produce a list. I don’t see why these talks ever took place without one. It’s vile
Israel also got played this way during the first hostage release. It’s unclear why this method was ever agreed to. Israel is the one with the powerful military ostensibly applying pressure so it should be dictating terms.
It seems that the only way to get the list and change how these deals are structured is for Trump and his incoming team to begin to step in. I think team Trump would probably demand the list up front. There wouldn’t be this lack of clarity either Hamas running everything maybe?
This is interesting. It turns out the "genocide" claim about Israel's actions in Gaza began just days after the Hamas attack on Israel. Hamas murdered 1,000 people in a day, in an attack that was actually genocidal in its attempts to kill every person Hamas encountered.
However, it appears that very quickly, maybe within hours of the Hamas massacre beginning, people began to try to create a false narrative that Israel was the one committing "genocide." Israel hadn't even identified the huge number of dead and missing, but already scholars and others were mobilizing to accuse Israel of "genocide."
This is the origin of this claim and it is fascinating that it is laid out below in such chronology. On October 15, 2023, while Israel was still identifying the remains of the Hamas genocide of Israelis and others at Nova festival, including foreign workers; scholars warned of "potential" genocide in Gaza. Israel hadn't even begun its offensive in Gaza and this narrative was already created. This is key to understanding how the story was written with the conclusion already.
Note also that none of these scholars or experts or “consensus” seemed to care about the Hamas attack, they didn’t first investigate that attack on Oct 15 or war about Hamas genocidal attacks, they immediately moved to create a narrative of “genocide” in Gaza.
This is fascinating, and I think probably rare in history that the victims are ignored so completely and the aggressor is immediately turned into the victim. It’s like reading about the Rwandan genocide of Tutsi and being told that the real fear is of a genocide of Hutus, without even first discussing the Tutsi victims. It’s like ignoring the Darfur genocide and claiming the real fear of for people in Khartoum.
The experts didn’t even bother to investigate and condemn the Hamas crimes; they immediately claimed genocide was happening in Gaza before Israel even entered Gaza. Hamas was parading hostages around and dragging bodies through the streets and the “scholars” didn’t even notice the victims like Shani Louk, they didn’t even bother demanding the hostages including the baby and toddler Bibas brothers be returned; they ignored all the victims.
This is clearly an example of how this entire “genocide” claim was manufactured from Oct 7 onwards. With the flick of a switch the usual suspects set in motion this claim. Not based on any evidence or actions, it was a pre-determined conclusion. It’s possible that already on Oct 7 documents were written or being written and distributed to accuse Israel of genocide, not even mentioning the Hamas attack. Maybe this was coordinated at the highest levels among “human rights” groups and Doha and other perdue actors. The signal to prepare the libel was the Hamas attack.
That’s why they ignored the attack, because this was maybe pre-planned so the talking points were there. That’s why these “scholars” never seemed to even notice the victims of the Nova festival. That’s why these reports often don’t even mention the Hamas crimes.
UN experts called to “prevent genocide” on November 2, only five days after Israel’s ground offensive began. The same UN experts NEVER called to prevent Hamas from committing its genocide on October 7. Why? Why don’t they call on Hamas to stop its attacks and stop massacring people and release the hostages?