John Pasalis Profile picture
Oct 2, 2020 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Top line number for the Toronto Area's real estate market in September.

The growth in sales was driven by strong suburban demand. Sales were up in:

Halton 73%
York 50%
Durham 55%
Peel 45%

Sales in the City of Toronto were up 18% - see all GTA stats here
realosophy.com/greater-toront…
New listings were up 12% for low-rise houses in the GTA but active inventory (total number of homes for sale) is still down 20% over last year.
But things look very different in the condo market where new listings were up 73% over last year and active listings are up 99%
A lot of people have been asking me where all this condo inventory is coming from.

Two things: new condo listings are up 13% over last year which is contributing to the higher inventory.

When demand fell dramatically in April/May, inventory started to increase...
When sales picked up in June they did not come back strong enough to make up for the lost sales in April and May

In Q2 and Q3 this year, condo sales are down 19% over last year while low-rise sales are at the same level

The decline in demand is also behind the rise in inventory

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More from @JohnPasalis

Apr 4
A thread on some of the bigger issues with 🇨🇦's obsession with real estate as an investment.

Firstly, the issues surrounding investors buying condos vs low-rise houses are quite different. 🧵⤵️
The fact that most of Canada’s rental supply has been filled by investors buying condos and converting them to rentals is a product of our government’s decision decades ago to not invest in and prioritize permanent rental housing 2/
This is not the best way to build rental housing, and our government is making some good strides in prioritizing PBRs

But the reality is that there are often path dependencies with housing policies, which means investors buying condos can’t change any time soon 3/
Read 15 tweets
Mar 26
A bungalow in East York has been redeveloped into a small condo with (what appears to be) 4 units.

This link is for the biggest unit, 3 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms, listed for $1.6M 1/
realosophy.com/listing/3-319-…
Image
Here's the garden suite, which is listed for $1.3M 2/
realosophy.com/listing/4-319-…
A 2 bed and 3 bath unit listed for $1M 3/
realosophy.com/listing/1-319-…
Read 4 tweets
Mar 25
Federal Liberals Take A Big Step Towards Making Homes More Affordable 🧵⤵️
movesmartly.com/articles/feder…
Last week, Canada’s immigration minister, Marc Miller, announced that the Liberal federal government plans to reduce the number of non-permanent residents (NPR) in Canada from the current 6.2% share of total population to 5% over the next three years. 2/
On the surface, this reduction doesn’t sound like a noteworthy announcement that will have much of an impact

But a closer look at the data makes it clear that this is a significant shift in policy & one that will have wide-reaching effects, particularly on the housing market 3/
Read 17 tweets
Feb 21
The housing narrative in 🇨🇦 is changing

This piece argues that 🇨🇦’s 🏠 crisis cannot be solved with a singular focus on building more homes

It suggests that 🇨🇦 should reduce the number of non-permanent residents by 1M people to ease the demand for 🏠
thehub.ca/2024-02-21/mik…
This is a very big change in the main narrative re: our housing crisis

For years, most experts & politicians argued that the solution to our 🏠 crisis was to "Build More Homes"

Countless op-eds and editorials were written blaming supply restrictions for our housing crisis 2/
Do we need more homes? Of course!

But our housing shortage is largely a function of our government’s decision to triple our country’s population growth rate without giving any thought to where everyone will live

A decision that hurt renters and benefitted homeowners 3/
Read 6 tweets
Jan 22
Why did our federal government ignore the warnings of public servants if the impact of Canada’s high population growth on housing was so obvious?

If you rewind the clock by more than 2 years, you'll see that these impacts were not so obvious to some 1/
movesmartly.com/articles/the-f…
Most housing economists at that time concluded that Canada’s booming population wasn’t the key driver of rising home prices.

The key driver of rapidly rising home prices, they argued, was a “lack of supply” driven mainly by municipal inefficiencies and zoning restrictions 2/
While some economists did argue that the rate of growth in Canada’s population was too high and was the main factor driving up house prices and rents, they were the minority voices.

Most housing experts, economists and every political party blamed a “lack of supply” 3/
Read 10 tweets
Dec 15, 2023
Toronto-based developer that vowed to buy up $1 billion in single-family homes plans to add 10,000 more houses to its portfolio

Why can't young families afford their own homes?

Because they now have to compete with Billion dollar companies 1/
thestar.com/real-estate/to…
Homes in Canada have become financial assets for the rich

“We have a large corporation going into smaller communities, scooping up affordable units, making them inaccessible for many of the local residents, and renting them out to the corporation’s sole advantage” 2/
One of the reasons why I often disagree with the housing advocates and economists who argue that the solution to our housing crisis is to just “build more homes”

Is that many of them actually support corporations buying up single-family homes 3/
Read 7 tweets

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