X : You know that project you spent a day mapping for us and said we would fail in these specific contracts.
Me : Gosh, that was seven years ago.
X : Well it failed in exactly the contracts you pointed to.
Me : You didn't change the contracts?
X : No.
Me : Why?
X : We spent five months writing those contracts, you spent a day mapping.
Me : You thought that time spent was somehow associated with correctness? The more words the better?
X : I'm not going to end up an X am I?
Me : No-one will ever know.
Me : Look on the bright side, a lesson learned. Next time map your project, apply contracts to the map and then chalenge whether you're building it the right way.
X : An expensive lesson.
Me : I won't ask. Water under the bridge. You're not getting those millions back.
Me : Out of curiosity, what shoud I have charged you for that day?
X : A few million would have been cheap if we had listened.
Me : Hmmm, that 's encouraging. Something for the future. Cheap you say? Oh, I won't pour salt into the wound. Lesson learned.
X : Is this the worse you've seen?
Me : Even if we're talking a few hundred million then it's not even close. About $1.2 billion tops the leaderboard for doomed projects that were obviously doomed before they started.
X : What happened?
Me : They showed me the project and I gave them an alternative for $25M with the same result.
X : What was the alternative?
Me : Me, sitting on a beach drinking mojitos and giving them a call in five years to say "We failed"
X : What happened?
Me : They asked me to leave.
X : I guessed that. What happened with the project?
Me : Well, I got a call six years later from one of the execs who said they wish they had paid me $25m.
X : Vindicates your work?
Me : I'd have preferred $25m.
X : Do you still do that?
Me : What? Help people analyse their projects?
X : Yes
Me : No, it's a waste of my time. I prefer teaching people to map then at least they might challenge themselves. A lot less headache.
The general lesson ... don't expect people to simply agree with what you map for them. It's a far better idea to teach people to map because only then will they challenge their own ideas.
This is also why case examples can be counterproductive. The benefit or not from mapping depends upon context and willingness of people to challenge their own ideas. It's better to spread slowly by word of mouth, by use and with one practitioner teaching another.
X : How much will mapping save us?
Me : No idea.
X : How much benefit will it create?
Me : No idea.
X : What is the ROI?
Me : No idea.
X : So what's the point?
Me : Some find it useful.
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X : What is the deep state?
Me : Depends. You have various conspiracy theory forms and then there's the general term used to describe networks of power operating outside traditional democratic processes. This includes the influence of corporate interests, financial bodies, think tanks, wealthy individuals, lobbysts firms and institutions on government policy. Why?
X : Is Trump going to war on the deep state?
Me : I suspect you'll find that Trump brings his own corporate interests, financial bodies, think tanks, wealthy individuals, lobbysts firms and institutions that will have influence on government policy outside of the normal democratic process.
X : What does that mean?
Me : It means the deep state doesn't usually go away, it just changes i.e. a different group have influence. Unless Trump is planning on a radical program of transparency. Now, that would be interesting. Never seen Trump as a transparency champion.
X : Did you research healthcare investment?
Me : Back in 2023. A group of clinicians mapped multiple perspective of healthcare - including AI, clinical decision making, healthcare value chain - then we used those to determine where to invest from a societal and market benefit.
Me : ... from the table, if your focus is on society then your priority for investment should be measurement of health outcomes (against Patient Reported Outcome Measures) and sharing of medical data. If you're after market growth then try personalised medicine and preventative healthcare.
X : How do you produce those tables?
Me : Pick a field ... like healthcare. Ideally get 40-60 people together with experience i.e. clinicians. Ask them to write down post-it notes of what matters ...
X : What is the most essential skill for AI in the future?
Me : Critical thinking in humans. Alas, we don't usually teach this at school because we're too focused on producing useful economic units.
X : Useful economic units?
Me : Turning humans into automatons for the workplace.
X : Do you have evidence for this.
Me : I took a group of educational consultants, academics and teachers in 2023 and mapped out education from multiple perspectives ... purpose, micro-credentials, asynchronous & synchronous learning, learning models, social learning ...
... we then used the maps to identify where to invest for both societal and market benefit. We then aggregated the results, into the table attached.
If your focus in on societal benefit, then invest in lifelong learning and critical thinking. If your focus is on making money then invest in educational AI and digital access.
It amazes me that the most important metrics (lines of code, story points, cycle time, devex satisfaction) in development are the two that are never discussed, let alone measured ... mean time to answer (mttA) and mean time to question (mttQ).
Whenever we start with building a system or managing a legacy environment, we need to ask questions and get answers. Those are skills which can be hindered or supported by the toolset around you ...
... in the very worst cases, engineers are forced into reading code to try and understand a system. Upto 50% of development time can be spent on reading code ... a process we never question or optimise. That is madness.
X : Thoughts on a return to office policy?
Me : It happens for two basic reasons:- 1) loss of status symbols (top floor office etc). Many execs need these to say "I'm the boss" 2) headcount reduction (i.e. people will leave) due to a weakness in the finances.
Why?
X : What about productivity and innovation?
Me : Those are "reasons" given but they're all bogus and don't stand up to scrutiny. However, there is a third.
X : Colloboration?
Me : Stranded assets - offices etc. No exec likes looking at an empty building they spent £300M on.
X : Basically - status symbols, weaknesses of finances and political capital?
Me : Sounds about right.
X : Did you see Amazon has a return to office policy -
Me : Oh. That's concerning.geekwire.com/2024/survey-by…
X : Our strategy doesn't align with our business.
Me : How do you mean?
X : We create these strategy documents but they never really get implemented as the day to day business takes over.
Me : That's common. Can I ask a question?
X : Sure
Me : ...
Me : Do you map?
X : I've heard of your technique but we don't use it.
Me : Ok, so your business operations is not based upon a map of the landscape?
X : No
Me : And your strategy is not based upon a map of the landscape?
X : No
Me : What made you think they would align?
X : They are supposed to align and we wrote our strategy on our understanding of the business.
Me : Your wrote your strategy based upon stories. There's no means to create a consensus of your landscape, to challenge what your are doing. There is no mechanism for alignment.