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Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
@SimonWDC
Oct 3, 2020 • 9 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
Over the past 48 hrs 8 people at the Coney Barrett event have tested positive for COVID.

WH is clearly responsible for a growing COVID outbreak. How are they doing contact tracing? Who's in charge? Are they working w/DC, state health agencies?

We need answers, this am, from the WH abt how they're working to mitigate this dangerous COVID outbreak.

Not only was there no masking/social distancing but MANY people who attended violated DC quarantine requirements, incl Coney Barrett and her family. washington.org/dc-information…
Serious questions now about Coney Barrett's judgement.

She/her family violated DC quarantine requirements; she allowed her children to attend crowded events maskless; she's also refusing to quarantine despite coming into contact w/MULTIPLE positives.

Another twist - the respected pandemic expert @Laurie_Garrett suggests that given the trail of infections we are seeing it's possible that Coney Barrett herself is the one spreading the virus.
The more we come to understand about what happened that Saturday of the Coney Barrett introduction, the more reckless and just plain crazy it all seems. The Judge violated CDC protocols, endangered her children, disregarded DC public health requirements.

nytimes.com/2020/10/02/hea…
As a DC resident want my electeds @MayorBowser @marycheh to explain why a super spreader event like this was allowed to happen in DC; what they are doing to prevent further spread; and whether we need to force Coney Barrett into a 14 day isolation RIGHT NOW.
We also should be told whether the same level of care and access to experimental medicines are being offered to all those around the President who've been infected - or are those things only available to him?

Is the WH still a maskless place? How do we stop the madness?
The WH and Trump campaign/GOP (Trump hotel events) have been bringing in people from all over the country w/o requiring them to follow DC quarantine protocols for months. It's an ongoing and unbelievable scandal.

Mr. Law and Order refuses to follow the rules put in place to keep the nation safe.

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More from @SimonWDC

Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Nov 21
OMG @YouTube my video about the 2024 election was just taken down because I criticized Robert Kennedy for his anti-vaxx views and the impact they would have if implemented. You have to be kidding me.
For reference:

I was accused of spreading medical misinformation and required to take an on-line course, which I did.
Read 4 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Nov 5
Heading into Election night, Trump:
- is not leading in the battleground early vote
- is not leading in the polls or w/most forecasters
- did not raise more money, have more volunteers, or have anywhere as big crowds as Harris

There is no data right now suggesting he's winning
9 of 10 forecasters went into E-D with Harris now ahead:

The more rigorous @washingtonpost battleground averages have Harris winning the election today.

The right may have invented data, maps, Polymarket voodoo showing Trump leading but in the real world Harris has outperformed him and is winning. Image
Read 4 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Nov 5
Some Election Day thoughts:
- Ds been overperforming since Dobbs, likely to do so again today. Dobbs before/after moment in US politics.
- Early vote, polling got better for Harris this week. Ds enter E-D in stronger battleground EV position than 2020. Encouraging sign. 1/
- The money, sweat and power of Dem grassroots needs far more attention. Dems now have a structural hard dollar advantage up/down the ticket, giving us bigger, more muscular campaigns w/vastly more volunteers.

Released a video on this yesterday 👇2/
hopiumchronicles.com/p/2-days-to-go…
VP @KamalaHarris has just turned in one of the greatest performances by an American politician in modern history. So many things could have tripped her up. None of them did. Extraordinary candidate, extraordinary campaign. She will be a great President for all of us. 3/
Read 13 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Nov 4
Via TargetEarly, it is now official - Dems head into E-Day in a stronger position in the battleground early vote than 2020. More D post-Dobbs overperformance.

Rs big campaign to make gains in the early vote has failed, and their EV "memos" are just pure bullshit. Image
Cannot overstate how delusional and full of lying and fuckery Trump/right spin has been:
- flooding the zone with red wave polls
- outright lies about the early vote
- memory holing 2 1/2 years of GOP poll underperformance incl Trump
- Polymarket Voodoo!
I go deeper into latest polling/early vote data below.

The bottom line - the election is clearly breaking towards us now. Harris just had best week of polling. Early vote is good, keeps getting better. Red wave polls sign of Trumpian desperation.

Read 6 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Oct 26
Early vote notes, via TargetEarly:
- Ds running much better in battleground than natl early vote (=better campaign)
- Ds running even w/Rs in battleground vs. 2020
- Ds running ahead of 2020 in GA/MI/NE-2/WI
- Ds closing gap in AZ/NC/NV/PA
Rs not winning battleground early vote
And a general reminder that Rs would not be flooding the zone with dozens of polls and creating betting market voodoo if they believed they were winning the election and everything was fine. You only cheat when you are losing.
When I say AZ/NC/NV/PA are closing the gap I mean against how we are performed there vs 2020. While we have a lead in the raw vote in PA, we are not performing there as well as we did in 2020. All of this data is vs. 2020.

Bottom line - we had a good week all.
Read 5 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Oct 21
Red wave 2024 update:
- 70+ polls in the averages, 31 right-aligned groups have released polls since August
- Polymarket, Elon 2024 escalations
- Late last week they worked the natl polling average, moved it down, started spinning early vote hard 👇 1/
hopiumchronicles.com/p/vp-harris-an…
Part of their new efforts to drive the natl polling average down is addition of a TIPP daily tracking poll. Predictably, and perhaps comically, it showed the race - all of a sudden! - breaking to Trump after 6 weeks of a remarkably stable race and a bad media week for Trump 2/
Last Wed I did a polling roundup. Polling continued to be remarkably stable. 538 natl average actually ticked up for us that week. We were +4 and stable in Econ/YouGov, +5 in Marist, +4 in Morning Consult, NYT, +3 CBS, ABC. Steady as she goes. 3/
hopiumchronicles.com/p/2-new-polls-…
Read 15 tweets

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