Justin McElroy Profile picture
Oct 3, 2020 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
I've answered this question about the deaths per capita chart about 20 times.

But Rob's a good guy, it's been a while, and this is a good distraction from endless election charts, so let's explain this one more time.
Here is chart showing that B.C. has the lowest #COVID19 deaths per capita of places with at least five million people in Canada/United States/western Europe.

It's a chart that gets shared a lot whenever I update it, and the government has used it as a talking point. Image
The reason those places were chosen, way back in April, was that Canada, the United States and western Europe had their first wave happen at the same time.

They are large interconnected jurisdictions with similar political systems, and were all dealing with similar issues.
Back in March and April, folks on this wonderful website would sometimes argue that B.C.'s #COVID19 response was bad, and that my claims the province was doing "comparatively well" were a lie.

I thought it helpful to compare to similar jurisdictions to show they were wrong.
But back to Rob's point!

Yes, there are some countries that have had lower per capita deaths rates.

I even did a chart a few months ago to show that.

Like a lot of data journalism, if you choose different metrics, your subject can look "worse."

The question is "what is a more salient comparison to British Columbia in terms of a policy response?"

Similar interconnected jurisdictions that were hit with a big wave at the same time as B.C.?

Or mostly island and geographically isolated countries, halfway across the world?
People like to bring up New Zealand, or Taiwan, or Japan, or South Korea or Iceland as democracies that have done better.

The one thing they have in common is that they're islands (or a virtual island in Korea's case).

One might imagine it provides a number of advantages.
Also, if we expanded the chart to countries, provinces and states in ALL of North America, South America and western Europe with at least five million people while excluding islands, here's who has lower deaths per capita than British Columbia:

Nicaragua
Venezuela
Uruguay
Anyhow, there's your quarterly explanation for why the deaths per capita chart is the way it is.

If you don't like it, hopefully you find value in the 2,415 other charts I've been doing — you can see a bunch of them here!

cbc.ca/news/canada/br…

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More from @j_mcelroy

Oct 15, 2022
"Justin, once the election is over, what will you be doing?"

me: here is a pyramid of beer from the seven key municipalities we will be focusing on tonight
7. KELOWNA

It's a rematch of the 2018 election where Colin Basran won big — can he do so again in an environment where crime and growth concerns are greater than four years ago?

there were no kelowna beers in the bcl so we're going with a more geographically appropriate cider
6. LANGLEY TOWNSHIP

Can Rich Coleman make a return to politics, will controversial councillor Eric Woodward and his new party dominate — or will one of the other two plausible contenders sweet up the middle?

A 9% imperial sour is bold but by night's end you might need it
Read 9 tweets
Aug 20, 2022
it's a beautiful saturday in august

the pne has begun

it's a little cooler than the last few days

really the ideal time to enjoy the last good stretch of summer

who is ready for some charts
The rolling average of #COVID19 wastewater measurements fell in ALL FIVE Metro Vancouver treatment plants last week.

It's now about half what it was at the height of this wave.
Total hospitalizations were down about 10% in the last week, the biggest dip in more than two months, as we start to see the effects of this wave subsiding
Read 9 tweets
Aug 6, 2022
Vancouver's centre-right Non-Partisan Association has been one of the city's top two parties in 58 of its last 59 elections.

In 2018 they won the most council seats & came within 1000 votes of being elected mayor.

And then what happened?
First there was a battle for control of the board that seemed to get pretty nasty.

thebreaker.news/business/npa-t…
Among the people elected to the board were a former Rebel Media personality, and people who ran for less successful right-wing parties in the prior election.

vancouversun.com/news/local-new…
Read 18 tweets
Aug 5, 2022
who is ready for some charts
Four of Metro Vancouver's five wastewater treatment sites have seen a marked decline in #COVID19 concentration in the last three weeks, suggesting the third Omicron wave has peaked.

Outside of Langley, numbers are back to where they were in early June.
If we zoom into the last two months, we can more clearly see the slow but meaningful decline in the four sites, along with how much Northwest Langley is being an outlier at this point
Read 8 tweets
Aug 3, 2022
Today in "governments being accountable for the billion dollar organizations they oversee", a quick recap of hoping to speak to someone about the departure of BC Housing's CEO
Shayne Ramsay announced today he would be leaving BC Housing after two decades leading the organization.

It's a big, complex job, and has become bigger and more complex as time as gone on.

For a very basic metric of this, here's a chart. Image
BC Housing said Ramsay wouldn't be speaking on his departure today, or answer questions about his stated reasons for leaving.

When you go to BC Housing's media page, you're directed to phone a number that is no longer in service.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 26, 2022
Last weekend I went to the weirdest ghost town in Canada, a time machine to 1981, hundreds of kilometres from any major city.

Here's what it was like in Kitsault, British Columbia.

justinmcelroy.com/2022/07/26/vis…
RANKING THE SPOOKIEST PARTS OF CANADA'S ONLY FULLY PRESERVED 1981 GHOST TOWN

14. GYM

- great raised stage
- yes that's original gym equipment, this will only get weirder
- literally dozens of chairs stored for the school assemblies that will never happen
13. PLAYGROUNDS

- there are four of them, all overtaken by nature to various extents
- very solid wooden structures, two of which are quite interesting
- you're darn right i went down the slides
Read 19 tweets

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