Lindsey Graham & Jaime Harrison are debating in 5 minutes (& both are wearing a mask while the debate starts on stage — would Graham have a few days ago?). #scsen
Graham’s introductory statement invokes “conservative judges and liberal judges, order and chaos.”
That was quick: the first question was about people breaking health guidelines at the White House & COVID-19.
Graham’s answer: “the virus started in China, not Trump tower.”
And then pivots to vowing that Barrett will be confirmed. As part of the same answer. One goal.
Second question? Graham asked about COVID, again, and specifically about schools & delay in test results.
Graham’s answer? Liberal agenda, Biden, Medicare-for-all, SCOTUS.
Harrison has talked about COVID.
Candidates asked about Roe v. Wade & potential of its overturning.
Harrison says women should have the right to control their own body; men do, he says.
Graham does not answer about Roe specifically but talks about Amy Barrett a lot.
Aha: Harrison, while hitting Graham for flip-flopping on SCOTUS timing, specifically points out Graham’s most grotesque lie — that he changed his mind on timing due to Kavanaugh hearings, when Graham made his viral statement AFTER that!
Graham doesn’t bother rebutting that.
Folks, Graham keeps talking about how bipartisan he is on judges because he voted for Kagan and Sotomayor & respects that presidents have the constitutional authority to appoint a justice for their full 4 years, not 3.5.
Guess what name has gone unmentioned.
The candidates haven’t interrupted each other a single time!
There’s 90-seconds answer blocs!
Who knew this was possible!
(Also if you care about SC politics read about why Charleston’s prosecutor race is one of year’s most intriguing: theappeal.org/politicalrepor…)
Graham says the way to “save Social Security” is for some people to (volontarily?) be willing who to get less Social Security.
Harrison hits him on this, says this isn’t about keeping a promise, it’s about giving people what they’re owed.
Graham laments that Harrison has gotten so much money in donations. This isn’t about Harrison, he says. “This is about liberals hating my guts.”
Graham invokes Senator Scott to justify his view on policing.
Harrison: “Senator Scott is not the only black person who understands interactions with the police... There are problems right now...”
Candidates were asked about term limits and whether there should be any.
Graham’s answer takes him to talking about undocumented immigrants (?! I didn’t follow)
Harrison says: “google Lindsey Graham and term limits,” stressing Graham has broken his past pledge to limit himself.
It’s worth watching Jaime Harrison talk about why South Carolina needs the Medicaid expansion.
Graham says in response that Obamacare is a pathway to “Berniecare.”
Constant refrain from Graham to invoke Schumer, Pelosi, Sanders, and so on.
Candidates are asked what issues they disagree with THEIR OWN party on.
Graham says he’s bipartisan, then goes on to attack Democrats as “nuts”.
Harrison (transcribing quickly): “the first step to work with the other party is to not call them nuts.”
Out of nowhere, answering a Q on rural SC, Graham says Harrison has accused him of being racist, & attacks Harrison for being wealthy & “cashing in.”
Harrison answers saying Graham increased his salary while hindering extending unemployment benefits.
And... debate ends abruptly
And when he abruptly brought up the idea that he’s been accused of being racist (again, to an entirely unrelated question), Graham AGAIN name-checked Tim Scott as evidence that’s ludicrous.
I wouldn’t say this was a great debate bc Graham was intent on ignoring many questions so he could pivot to Schumer and Pelosi — but: real policy questions! no interruptions AT ALL! opportunities for some zingers! meaningful contrasts! (And a weirdly hurried end.)
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Moment of instability today again in France (not that the crisis ever stopped since Macron called snap elections), which may lead the new conservative government to fall. That'd pretty much leave the country in uncharted territory, again.
Quick thread to explain:
1. The (unnecessary) July snap elections resulted in a wildly fragmented Assembly — as you'll know well if you were following me.
The Left coalition got roughly 190 seats. The Macronist parties got roughly 170. The far-right (RN) got roughly 140. Conservatives got roughly 40.
2. In French, coalition that controls the Assembly gets to be Prime Minister — & effectively govern the country with little input from the president (if the PM + president are in different camps).
But no election in current regime had never resulted in such a fragmented chamber.
Pam Bondi was Florida's attorney general during Trump's first campaign & some of his first first term—and that generated plenty of stories on her legal decisions.
Here's just a slice of what you should know, featuring great reporting from the mid-2010s:
1—As Florida AG, Bondi nixed suing Trump over Trump U after she solicited a contribution from him & he gave $25,000: floridapolitics.com/archives/21237…
2—Bondi's office justified nixing Trump U suit by saying she'd only receiving only one customer complaint, but the AP found this: jacksonville.com/story/news/201…
Abortion is big in the presidential race, of course, & there are many referendums on it.
But there's more: there are many races that are too overlooked where abortion rights is a key issue, for downballot offices that really matter to abortion policy.
My thread of the top 5: ⬇️
1️⃣ I have to start with Arizona's judicial elections.
Two things simultaneously: 1. Two of the 4 justices who voted to revive a near-total abortion ban this spring are up for retention. 2. GOP has advanced a measure to nullify these judicial elections. boltsmag.org/proposition-13…
2️⃣ DeSantis removed Tampa's elected prosecutor from office, citing in part the prosecutor's decision to sign a letter saying he wouldn't prosecute abortion. cases. (DeSantis has signed strict restrictions.)
Harris is up 47% to 44%.
(Not a typo. Last DMR poll had Trump up 47/43 in September.)
In 2016 & 2020, Selzer’s final poll looked like an outlier in opposite direction; days after, we learned it was actually not off, & had foreshadowed polling error in Rust Belt.
This, again, is just one poll; we’ll see soon enough whether it captured something no one else did.
Other details in poll:
—Poll was this Monday through Thursday.
—Margin is within MoE of 3.4%, of course (though this is a looooot more off from expectations).
—Harris up 28% among independent women, though Trump up among men.
—RFK at 3%
Here's what I'd say about why people care about the Selzer poll, besides the mythologizing. In final days of both 2016 & 2020, as polling had Dems in strong shape (well, esp. in 2020), it was the rare sign that something could be amiss in other polling. (1/3)
Extent to which Rust Belt white voters swung to Trump was just not understood before we saw results in 2016, tho Selzer gave a preview. (She also was first to capture IA changed in 2014.) There was this idea in 2020 that had swung back; her poll was clearest cold shower.
But of course: IT'S JUST ONE POLL! It's subject to the same margin of error, can be off in any direction, and in the moment it wasn't clear what they meant.
Same today: IT'S JUST ONE POLL.
But that gets to other thing about Selzer poll: it's clearly uninterested in herding.