Kevin Xu Profile picture
9 Oct, 5 tweets, 2 min read
"China’s Semiconductor Future: What Can $1.4 Trillion Buy?"

Enjoyed writing my 1st column on @thewirechina + working w/ @DavidBarboza2 to help simplify/demystify semiconductors & China's proposed 1.4T investment in that sector.

Some highlights...(thread)
thewirechina.com/2020/10/04/chi…
A semiconductor chip's life cycle is complex, though can be roughly broken down to 4 big stages:

- acquire raw material
- design chips
- marry the design to manufacturing capabilities
- produce at scale
Some stages can be accelerated w/ more 💰💰, i.e. raw material (China produce the most silicon of any country) & building huge chip fabs for mass production.

Others (e.g. chip design) require brain power, R&D, IP & long-term patience — things that money can’t buy.
China's current access to chip design IP (e.g. instruction set architectures), design software (e.g. electronic design automation or EDA) & high-end manufacturing equipment are all under sanction or could be.

Domestic or open source alternatives are all immature.
This trillion+ investment should still be taken seriously, but perhaps not so literally, if only because its literal value is less than meets the eye.

For more, please check out the entire column on @thewirechina 👇
thewirechina.com/2020/10/04/chi…

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More from @kevinsxu

4 Dec
"Global by Nature (Part I): Developers"

First of a 4-part series that's been in my head for probably 4 years, on what Globalization 2.0 looks like and what kind of people, products, paradigms & opportunities will be “global by nature.”

Thread 👇👇
interconnected.blog/global-by-natu…
1/ Globalization 1.0 was all about trade. Globalization 2.0 is all about technology.

In G2.0 the most important people to understand is: developers--the builders and kingmakers of technology.

Developers is the single most important demographic that will shape G2.0
2/ My plain language working definition of "developers" is simply: *someone who uses digital technology to build things*

They have a global mindset due to two motivations: utilitarian and communal.
Read 9 tweets
4 Sep
0/ "What is TikTok Worth to Whom and Why?"

NEW post explores this (possible) sale from strictly a biz angle, esp for MSFT/WMT & ORCL, along 5 dimensions:

-product synergy (yep I used "synergy")
-user/data
-tech
-brand
-people

Some nuggets...(thread)
interconnected.blog/what-is-tiktok…
1/ Product synergy exists w/ either Azure or Oracle Cloud. Running TikTok during hypergrowth w/o issues is legit accomplishment for a cloud, will help differentiate in a heated global cloud race.

E-commerce w/ Walmart is more longterm, could help differentiate Walmart+ later.
2/ User+data valuable #obvi. Data Density determines a lot of the value in a tech biz, *more* valuable IMHO than core AI tech in TikTok.

Easier to build AI engine if you have the data than the other way around. (Buyer may not get the tech anyways due to China's new regulation.)
Read 6 tweets

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