cipher.substack.com/p/state-of-blo…

I crunched the numbers to see how blockchain ecosystem numbers are playing. Bulk of this data is oft-maligned with ICO / enterprise numbers so this is purely pre-seed -> series C figures from 2018 to Q3 2020. Some quick observations
Much like many other sectors, covid has indeed affected blockchain ecosystem funding in 2020. That uptick in Q1 is the result of Bakkt's $300 million raise. Image
The number of deals being closed in blockchain ecosystem has been reducing since 2019 in fact. Largely the result of ICO hubris settling down and more technical teams raising from fewer VCs. This does cause a concern for early stage ventures though. Image
Pre-seed stage today raises less than 1% of all capital raised. Seed stage deals in spite of accounting for close to 55% of all deals, attract less than 20% of capital. This is part of the reason why alternative models like fair launches and DAOs are going to be a necessity. Image
In other news, its becoming evident that investor preferences for blockchain applications is mostly tied to financial applications. Since 2018 - protocol layers and financial applications raise the most money. Dapper labs' recent raise may change the trend Image
That focus on financial applications is evident when you consider how mergers and acquisitions play out. Its a tough time to be a founder working on anything non-finance right now if engaged with blockchains Image
All of this leaves me to think there is much alpha beyond just finance. But more importantly, it makes me appreciate the odds founders in the ecosystem are working with. Take a look at the piece and lmk what you think

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More from @joel_john95

11 Nov
Attended DeFi Alliance's liquidity mining pitch event organised by @QwQiao and @lmrankhan.

Here's the list of 12 teams in no particular order. 👇
@perpprotocol is building a uniswap meets bitmex experience. Has 1300 test users doing ~1.3 bil in volume so far. positioning to be a staple that helps third party projects hedge their assets (eg: harvest.finance)
@paraswap is positioning itself as an API based middleware layer for defi. Focused on the b2b angle. Building a network of market-makers and focusing on a l2 transition. Felt like a natural evolution of the off-chain rfq system kyber/0x used to do in 2017
Read 15 tweets
24 Sep 19
A drop in hashrate is often believed to be correlated with an immediate drop in price. Played around a bit with @thetokenanalyst numbers - and it seems the correlation isn't as strong as we think it is.

Specifically took the last six months.
Looking at late 2018 - there has even been 1 instance where price dipping and a spike in hashrate happened on the same day
I don't want to do TA on % difference, but here's how the graph looks for the last quarter (and yes the recent dip did have a hashrate decline associated with it)
Read 5 tweets
10 Jun 19
Prior to G20 meeting in Osaka, it seems the Financial Stability Board has issued their report on decentralised financial technologies. They have summarised definition and after effects for permissioned and non-permissioned networks alike. Summarising key points in a thread.
Quick Context - During the last G20 summit, the FSB was to release metrics around key numbers banks had to disclose around exposure to the token market. Given the slump, that may have not happened. Here's their statement from March 2018 - fsb.org/wp-content/upl…
The new report defines decentralisation in three broad scenarios for financial markets

1. Decision making aka governance (DAO?)
2. Decentralisation of risk taking - aka platform risks (DEX?)
3. Record keeping - aka data storage and custodial risks (DIDs ?)
Read 14 tweets

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