Early voting in Ohio: Here are some new numbers on absentee ballots and in-person numbers for a few key counties where clear and similar patterns are emerging (please note there's no assumption that a voter affiliated with a party will cast their ballot for that party):
Mahoning - the only Youngstown-area county that Trump didn't win in 2016 - has already seen a 25% increase in all absentee requests and early in-person votes compared to all in 2016, with a 41% increase fr both Democratic & unaffiliated voters and a 28% decline fr Republicans.
Trump won Lake County by more than 15 points in 2016 and some have speculated will be this year's bellwether. It's seen a 31% increase over all votes cast early in all of 2016, with more ballots from unaffiliated voters than Republican and Democratic votes together.
Lake County - again, speculated to mimic Ohio's statewide vote - has seen a 25% increase over all absentee requests and early in person voting compared to all in 2016. Democratic votes have increased by 87%, unaffiliated voters by 46%. Republican voters are down 22%.
So far in 2020, Republican-dominated Warren County is seeing a 23% increase over all absentee requests and early in person voting compared to all in 2016. Democratic votes have increased by 109% and unaffiliated voters by 47%. Republican voters are down 27%.
Montgomery County flipped to red in 2016 for the 1st time since 1988. So far in 2020, there's a 23% increase over all absentee requests and early in-person voting compared to all in 2016. Democratic votes have increased by 43%, unaffiliated voters by 40%. GOP voters are down 28%.
Once again, the partisan breakdowns are interesting but aren't meant to imply a conclusion. But now it appears unaffiliated voters are turning out in big numbers and driving these increases.

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More from @karenkasler

13 Oct
As Ohio starts its second week of early voting, how early voting is going in other states, beginning with Texas:
Read 4 tweets
13 Oct
Second week of early voting in Ohio starts tomorrow. Here's some info about absentee ballot requests and in-person voting so far in 2020, with some breakdowns of partisan-affiliated voters. At least 2,154,235 Ohio voters have sent absentee ballots requests, which is a record.
So far in 60 Ohio counties, including the 3 largest, Democratic-affiliated voters mailed in 240,643 more absentee ballot requests than Republican-affiliated voters. In all of 2016, GOP-affiliated voters sent in 50,927 more requests than Dem-affiliated voters in those counties.
Most requests are from unaffiliated voters. But in those 60 Ohio counties in 2016, 55% of partisan-affiliated ballot requests were from Republicans, 45% Democrats. So far in those 60 counties in 2020, 66% of partisan-affiliated ballot requests are from Democrats, 34% GOP.
Read 10 tweets
6 Oct
Breakdown of partisan-affiliated absentee ballot requests from Ohio's biggest counties, as early voting starts tomorrow: As of yesterday in Cuyahoga County, 80% of requests so far Democrats, 20% from Republicans. For all mailed ballots in 2016, the split was 64% Dems, 36% GOP.
In Hamilton County, as of yesterday 69% of requests from partisan-affiliated voters are from Democrats, 31% from Republicans. For all mailed ballots in 2016, the split was 56% Democrats, 44% Republicans.
In Franklin County, as of yesterday 76% of requests from partisan-affiliated voters are from Democrats, 24% from Republicans. That's a flip from all mailed ballots in 2016, when the split was 44% Democrats, 56% Republicans.
Read 7 tweets
5 Oct
A brag to end the week - congratulations to @joingles, @andy_chow and Dan/aka @stateofohioshow for our five 2020 Ohio SPJ Awards, in radio & TV. Our team kills it every day and I love working with them. Also! Kudos to our friends at @917wvxu, @WKSU and @WCPN/@WVIZ for their wins!
Incoming - some of our winning work!

One was for Best Continuing Coverage with our reporting on HB 6, the nuclear bailout law, with @andy_chow leading the way. Here's a sample:
statenews.org/post/after-eve…
And I helped with that winning package on the nuclear bailout law:
statenews.org/post/dark-mone…
Read 9 tweets

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