Yogesh Nanda Profile picture
Oct 15, 2020 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
For pivot point enthusiast:
Have done some data analysis on where nifty opens and where it closes in terms of pivot points. Have used 2 parameters
Where nifty opens-[above pivot, above R1, below pivot, below S1]
Where nifty closes-[abv pivot, abv R1, below pivot, below S1] (1/5) Image
example looking at open location data : -
Opened above pivot - 44%
Opened below pivot - 30%,
Opened above R1 - 18%
Opened below S1 - 8%
If we further breakdown each category in to where nifty closed that day for each category [where it opened] we get few datapoints.. (2/5)
How to Read data?

(3/5) Image
Few observations[not all]..
When nifty opens above R1 there is 80% chances it will close above pivot point
When nifty opens below S1 there are 87% chances it will close below pivot point
When nifty open below S1 then there are only 7% chances it will close above R1

(4/5)
How you can use??
Can be used in strike selection for intraday option selling.
knowing the probability of where it will close looking at open type.
Use your creativity - there are many ways you can use this data.@jitendrajain @yogeeswarpal
(5/5)
These are daily pivot points

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Yogesh Nanda

Yogesh Nanda Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @yogeshnanda1

May 9, 2023
Butterfly strategy:
This is my favorite strategy due to its risk reward Ratio

✍️What is butterfly 🦋:
The option butterfly strategy is a unique approach to trading that involves buying & selling options at different strike prices, creating a profit zone with limited risk

[1/n]
butterfly strategy consists of 3 legs:

↔️buy ITM / ATM call 1 lot
↔️sell OTM calls 2 lot and
↔️buy far OTM call 1 lot

✍️Pay off graph:

[2/n] Image
✍️ Types of butterfly:
1. Long call buttefly
2. Long Put butterfly [same as 1 but put side]
3. Iron-Butterfly
4. Short Call buttefly [reverse position of Long 🦋]
5. Short put Buttefly

we are going to focus on Long call butterfly and Long put butterfly in today

[3/n]
Read 18 tweets
Apr 12, 2023
Took this trade yesterday.
Tata motor Call butterfly but with some tweak. offering almost 1:10 RR.

does it mean am i going to realise 10R?

Answer is no.

What i like most about butterfly is risk part.
(1/n) Image
does all butterfly offer this high RR?

answer is no.

This is pay off as per yesterdays closing prices of tatamotors - butterfly 460 - 475 -490.

if taken as per yesterday closing prices RR was 1 : 3.3.

so how to increase RR?

(2/n) Image
as nothing comes free, even this increasing RR also comes at some risk.

we will come to this point later.

now lets understand how all multileg strategies are formed

As all strategies are combination of 4 basic strategies ... Long call / Short call / Long Put / Short Put

(3/n)
Read 7 tweets
Aug 1, 2022
As we already discussed Auto and FMCG were first movers in this recovery
M&M was leader in this recovery today also up 5%
in hindsight its all good but identifying those few stocks from the basket of hundreds of stocks is herculean task
lets try to simplify the process
[1/n]
🧵
One approach is:
1. identifying a leading sector
2. identifying a leaders within those sectors.
3. Analyzing individual charts for detailed view and finding entry & SL levels

step 1 could be easy as we have to just scan 8-10 sector charts and can find the leaders.but part
[2/n]
1.Identifying a leading sector
if we mark a 1 year high & low and make that as a zone.
sector which are close to high - have demonstrated a good recovery as compared to sectors which are close to low
have converted this relationship in to mathematical form

[3/n]
Read 7 tweets
Aug 13, 2021
Where i find my winners?
ok, nice question. let me start with example - from these two on whom you bet your money?

answer is obvious right?

but while trading... many people do otherwise
(1/n)
now same question for stocks..
where you bet your money?

When we have comparable option side by side - our answer will change.

but in live trading our we gets kick in finding a bottom and we love to boast about that.
(2/n)
Whats the point?
Point am here to make is we have to make our process in such a way that by default
- we analyse only winners for long and losers for short

20% of trading system is finding a good stock - entry n sl comes later.
Read 7 tweets
Jan 30, 2021
Thread on budget day nifty movement:
Few data points for budget day.
1. Average range for day 2.4% - can use this range of intraday strike selection.
2. When nifty fell >1.5% before budget - post budget nifty rises >2% in next 4 days -
@jitendrajain @yogeeswarpal
(1/4)
can use this data for taking a risk defined bullish position.
3. If we compare low post event and high post event.. On majority of occasions nifty has seen a recovery in next 4 days [average low is -1% and avg high 2.7%] - this also indicates on bullish side…
(2/4)
So can use this statistics for building your non-directional or directional strategy post budget..
statistically speaking,
1. long put or naked short futures don't make sense.
2. Can do bullish debit spreads or bullish credit spreads..
(3/4)
Read 7 tweets
Dec 16, 2020
Thread on USDINR Trading:
Part of my capital i trade in USDINR - non-directional.
Past few months it traded in very narrow band - which is paradise for non-direction trading.
check chart.. last 3 months in just 2 Rs. Range
Today will share my December 2020 trade in USDINR

(1/4) Image
Entry Date: 8th December [normally i take position 40 - 45DTE]
Trade: iron condor
Strikes: sold 74.5 Ce and 73.5 PE [Jan 21 expiry]
Hedge: bought 75.5Ce and 72.5PE [Jan 21 expiry]

qty: for illustration shown 100 lots..
margin needed : 1,81,000

(2/4) Image
This is how pay off graph looks:

Risk reward: little under 1:1 [good for iron condors]

Adjustments: we are covered for 1 Rs on both sides. but in case of drastic move adjustments will be needed.

how to adjust: refer my video on youtube

(3/4) ImageImage
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(