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Noah Rothman

20 Oct, 4 tweets, 1 min read

Gallup: 51% support Amy Coney Barrett's confirmation to the Supreme Court, 46% oppose. news.gallup.com/poll/322232/am…

This is a fascinating little artifact of this cycle. There's a lot to parse in here, but my fav is this little nugget: "Independents' 52% support for Barrett's confirmation is identical to what it was for the woman who she would be replacing, Ginsburg."

The cult of the independent-minded voter is a silly one. We're always tempted to paint them as the sober, clear-eyed antidote to ideological/partisan excess. In fact, they mostly vote on personality type and don't have many set policy preferences.

Also, the fact that ACB is ~20-points more polarizing to Democrats than Brett Kavanaugh tell you all you need to know about whether opposition to her has anything to do with, you know, her.

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Noah Rothman

@NoahCRothman

21 Oct

This is the sort of thing the GOP went through circa 2013 - 2016 and the press had no trouble noticing that it was a product of magical thinking. politico.com/news/2020/10/2…

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Plenty for a conservative not to like in Michelle Obama’s speech, but it was masterful nonetheless.

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Noah Rothman

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The City of Philadelphia halts all arrests related to narcotics, theft, burglary, vandalism, prostitution, stolen cars, fraud, and existing bench warrants.

At a time when people are feeling very insecure, this seems like an incredibly bad idea. google.com/amp/s/www.inqu…