A thread on the evolution of Greens’ share of the vote since 1999 noting the various arrangements the Greens have reached with other parties. Many other factors of course in vote share movement, but could you argue voters want the Greens to do their bit in running the country?
1999-2002 = 5.16% / 7 MPs

Cooperation agreement offering confidence and supply in exchange for input to budget and legislation

Vote increases↗️

2002 = 7% / 9 MPs
2002-2005: cooperation agreement with no input into budget

Vote decreases↘️

2005 = 5.3% / 6 MPs
2005-2008: cooperation agreement giving Rod Donald and Jeanette Fitzsimons roles as official government spokespeople

Vote increases↗️

2008 = 6.72% / 9 MPs
2008-2011: memorandum of understanding with governing National Party

Vote increases↗️

2011 = 11.06% / 14 MPs
2011-2014: memorandum of understanding with governing National Party

Vote stable➡️

2014 = 10.7% / 14 MPs
2014-2017: memorandum of understanding with the opposition Labour Party

Vote decreases↘️

2017 = 6.27% / 8 MPs
2017-2020: government partner offering confidence and supply and taking on Ministerial roles

Vote increases↗️

2020 7.6% 10 MPs (provisional)
This is a pretty unsophisticated analysis and there are so many other factors influencing the Greens’ vote share, but the trend could suggest voters want the Greens to take some responsibility for governing and to offer their skills, experience and worldview to government.

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More from @nashthomas

21 Oct
If the Greens are offered a partnership to support the Labour-led government I think the decision is less straightforward than some people suggest. 1/13
Obviously we don’t know whether a deal will be offered or what it will be like. If Labour offers a deal that is not worth more than opposition then of course the Greens should reject it. But it’s not as obvious a decision as some are making out. 2/13
Importantly, it’s not necessarily true the Greens have *zero* leverage. There is context behind the simple Labour majority in the house. First, the PM says she wants to get on with things, wants stability and continuity of work that is underway. 3/13
Read 13 tweets
9 Oct
I get the strategic voting arguments and I know they are important and compelling to many, but I find it hard to ask for a vote on the basis of anything other than what the party stands for. So I ask people to vote Green on the party’s merits. A thread on why I vote Green: (1/6)
The Greens have a different worldview to other parties. It’s based on social and environmental justice, non-violence and making decisions with those most affected. Compromise in government has been so painful for supporters precisely because of this difference in worldview. (2/6)
The Greens openly challenge some of the basic economic and social rules that exist to benefit those with the most power. The Greens work against commodification of housing, call for redistribution of wealth and think beyond cars to a transport future with cycling & rail. (3/6)
Read 6 tweets

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