okay I will say, first five minutes, the masked cop is clearly supposed to be weird and intimidating and askew, but, uh
so far this show is trying very hard to be of the moment and some of it has worked and then sometimes it’s like “hey trigger warnings amirite”
I’m not sure how any of this would be remotely comprehensible to someone who hasn’t read the graphic novel at least approximately 27 times though
I’m watching the Jeremy Irons stuff in the second episode and I think I have a pretty good idea what’s up, but I wish I could watch it with no advance knowledge because I genuinely have no idea what I’d understand to be happening
protip: talking like this ("the takes were right directionally, but wrong magnitude-wise") is the secret handshake that makes you a member in good standing of the white male pundit social club
no normal person talks like this and the ideas being communicated are just broad observations undeserving of a veneer of mathematical precision. it's just a register - one designed to convey the speaker's own empiricism, objective rationality, and authoritative knowledge
didn't Nate and all the other forecasters absolutely rake @gelliottmorris over the coals for his estimation of a 85%-90% probable Biden victory months ago
but of course, the bigger issue here is, this is all impossible to falsify! the election gets modeled once and run once! so if Trump wins reelection, we'll never know if he got lucky, or got very lucky, since both are completely plausible outcomes
"There's a contest. It will never happen again. Through very complicated proprietary techniques we have estimated you have a 10% chance of losing."
So why are you even attaching a probability to the results? Win or lose, we learn almost literally nothing from the estimation
No one is opposed to school reopenings. Teachers hate remote teaching as much (or more) than families and children. Everyone wants to find a way to make schools work.
What people are opposed to is the idea that schools can safely reopen, WITH NO CHANGES.
The reality is that, even with a half-year of advance warning, many policymakers have made almost no effort to fund or explore ways to restructure K-12 education to be safer. So we entered the fall semester exactly where we were in the spring.
That's clearly untenable! Teachers are not soldiers, they didn't sign up to die in the line of fire. Even if you put aside the moral question of whether it's fair to ask teachers to take life-threatening risks, the reality is that most of them won't, just like anyone else.
What an unmitigated disaster. It’s not like this was hard-earned or anything - she held an irresponsible event that infected half the government with covid, and is being rushed through in the shortest time ever, and the Senate Dems still screwed it up
Somehow, in the span of three weeks, which she started unpopular, and despite Barrett holding unpopular views, and despite her literally almost collapsing the federal government with covid, Senate Dems have managed to make this the single issue on which Trump has majority support
I mean think about what an achievement that is. They even had a very elaborate game plan, which was built around avoiding controversy and not attacking her personally and focusing on health care
Democratic Party Fan Twitter is really upset at the suggestion that Feinstein's praise of Lindsey Graham might actually have a detrimental effect on Jaime Harrison's Senate bid, but the logic here seems pretty straightforward to me!
Right! Beyond any doubt Graham sees Feinstein's praise of his otherwise-controversial Supreme Court hearing as a big win, and somehow I doubt Jaime Harrison is too thrilled about it. But Savvy Twitter People think you're stupid for caring, you naive chump.
The people who want Democrats to do something differently have generally been quite clear about what those things are:
-refuse to participate in normal hearings
-use procedural tactics to obstruct
-simply be louder and more strident
-retaliate in kind after the election
The intolerably smug subset of this site that goes "Ah, you see, because I am smart, I know 47 is less than 53" isn't interested in practical outcomes, but if they were, they'd be forced to recognize that the totality of politics isn't captured in vote counts.
Moreover, because political events are deeply unpredictable, a posture of maximalist opposition sets you up to take advantage of unexpected future opportunities. For instance, the judge you're trying to oppose may superspread a deadly disease to half her legislative supporters.