This thread seems part of a popular narrative knotting ISKP attacks to be perpetrated by the Taliban, particularly by the Haqqani network, which could be logical for some of the high-profile unclaimed attacks of the post-US-TB peace deal, but it does not seem correct here. 1/6
First, it considers غزوة لبّوا النداء [Answer the call] military campaign only limited to Wilayat Central Africa, which is not correct. It is a general campaign for all IS provinces, but ISWCA claimed its first attack targeting central Kanjabai prison in Beni, Congo. 2/6
Secondly, it says that the statement attack claiming is in very weak Arabic, so IS/ISKP has not released it. The author concludes that it is thus one of the Taliban's several secret attacks, which they credit to ISKP for their interests. 3/6
My argument here is that if the Taliban would have to release this claim, they have Arabic experts in its media- propaganda team, which is evident from their Arabic media branch. They could release a well written Arabic statement without any flaws to prove it IS an attack. 4/6
Last, the Taliban has distanced itself from attacking Shia/Hazara civilians except those fighting against them. They have a clear guideline for it, and I do not remember any recent such claim of the Taliban killing Shia/Hazara civilians in Kabul. 5/6
On the other hand, the Hazara/Shia community has remained top of the target list of ISKP, which is evident from their propaganda materials. One of IS's main objections over the Taliban is that they accuse them of Hazara/Shia sympathizers for even including them in its ranks. 6/6

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More from @abdsayedd

3 Aug
ISKP media outlet released a 20 min audio where the group spokesman Sultan Aziz Azzam provides details of the group's deadliest attack on the central prison in Nangarhar carried on 2/8. For the 1st time, ISKP quickly released a claim of an attack with a detailed description. 1/n
Azzam claims that the attack was according to the promise of the first speech of the new ISKP leader Dr. Shahab al-Muhajir who promised to release the ISKP prisoners. He said al-Muhajir had constituted two brigades for these suicide attacks, which he is supervising. 2/n
Audio provides full details of the attack with the number, nationality, and role of each attacker. There were a total of 11 attackers; 4 Tajiks, 3 Indians, 3 Afghans & 1 Pakistani, divided into four groups. It also provides details of types & quantity of weapons &ammunition. 3/n
Read 7 tweets
9 Jul
Ustad Yasir is one of the most imp players of the jihadist war theatre in AfPak. Evidence shows that he was the most trusted advisor of OBL & AQ leadership on the AfPak matters. It is imp to explore the character of UY to understand the post-9/11 re-emergence of AQ from AfPak.1/n
In the 1980s, UY was a close aide of Prof. Sayyaf and a top member of his party. He became a strict critique of Sayyaf after 9/11 due to his support for a democratic govt in Afghanistan. He was one of the leading Pashto jihadist ideologues with fierce oratory skills. 2/n
Pak authorities arrested & handed him over to the Afghan government in 2005, but he was released in a prisoners’ exchange in 2007. UY was the father in law of Mullah Akhtar Mansoor – the successor of Mullah Umar - and himself was a central leader of the Afghan Taliban. 3/n
Read 6 tweets
7 Jul
A massive and surprising development showing the TTP efforts for consolidating its ranks. TTP Hakim Ullah and Wali ur Rehman groups had remained in conflict since Aug 2009 when Hakimullah got elected himself as TTP chief. 1/n
The conflict took the shape of brutal killings after the killing of Hakim Ullah in Nov 2013.
Hakim Ullah group became dispersed where most of his commanders joined ISKP while Wali ur Rehman group emerged powerful under the leadership of Sajna Mehsud. 2/n
Both groups remained in fierce killings, which even went out of control of AQ and Haqqani’s. Finally, the central command of the Afghan Taliban got involved in ending it. It was a crucial period for TTP where 🇵🇰 state was just starting military operation in Waziristan. 3/n
Read 7 tweets
12 Feb
Shehryr Mehsud was leading TTP Hakimullah Mehsud group which was badly targeted by the TTP Sajna group after the killing of Hakimullah. Sajna group is now leading the main TTP. With his killing, this major rival group of TTP will almost end. Most of its members already 1/4
defected to ISKP or surrendered to the Pak government or killed by Sajna group.

Shehryr escaped many attacks before. Sajna-Hakimullah groups killed dozens of imp TTP commanders due to internal rivalries which started with dispute between Wali ur Rehman Mehsud & Hakimullah n 2/4
Sep 2009 over successorship of TTP founding head Baitullah Mehsud. The killings b/w both reached to worse level after killing of Hakimullah in Nov 2013 with eradicating almost all imp members of Hakimullah group, even killing imp non-Mehsuds TTP members. It might 3/4
Read 4 tweets

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