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27 Oct, 4 tweets, 2 min read
My new post: I address the latest stupid controversy over Biden’s energy policy, which is about Republican attempts to make it sound abrupt & scary. Biden is reassuring voters it will be gradual. His allies on the left should give him room to maneuver. vox.com/energy-and-env…
I couldn't really figure out how to package today's piece to make it sound sexy & clicky, but there's some good stuff in there about the challenges of selling Big Change to America when the other side is laboring overtime to scare them. (Esp. where "them" = fossil fuel workers.)
Also, if you want to know why Biden has to be careful when addressing swing states, read @yayitsrob on the oddly disproportionate electoral power of fossil fuel communities. theatlantic.com/newsletters/ar…
Most Americans agree with Biden on the need to transition away from fossil fuels. morningconsult.com/2020/10/23/pos…

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David Roberts Profile picture
28 Oct
"Extremely narrow election outcomes...are likely to trigger dispute over the results. ... In this paper we evaluate the probability of such disputable US presidential elections under a hypothetical National Popular Vote versus the current EC system." nber.org/papers/w27993
"... in practice the Electoral College today is about 40 times as likely as a National Popular Vote to generate scenarios in which a small number of ballots in a pivotal voting unit determines the Presidency."
"This disputed-election risk is asymmetric across political parties. It is about twice as likely that a Democrat's Electoral College victory in a close election could be overturned by a judicial decision affecting less than 1K, 5K, or 10K ballots in a single, pivotal state."
Read 4 tweets
David Roberts Profile picture
28 Oct
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David Roberts Profile picture
25 Oct
Articles like this are so strange to me. Lots of thoughtful coverage of what various people are feeling & saying, but nothing on *what is true*, on whether any particular feeling or statement is justified. Just "the two sides" & their feelings, the end. washingtonpost.com/politics/end-o…
Like, the left's feelings about Trump are based on what he's done, and tried to do, and said he wants to do. They're based on the demonstrable, consistent direction of the US conservative movement for decades now. They are based on evidence!
Meanwhile, if you listen to Trump (or any conservative these days, really) about what the left is & wants to do, it sounds like overwrought, hackish genre fiction. In reality, the Dem Party is a boring center-left party -- less left than other center-left parties.
Read 5 tweets
David Roberts Profile picture
23 Oct
[blink] consequenceofsound.net/2020/10/miley-…
OK, thanks to the urging of my above-average followers, I've been prompted to check out Miley's covers of "Zombie," "Nothing Else Matters," and "Wish You Were Here," and now I'm afraid I must report that I'm genuinely looking forward to her album of Metallica covers.
It's partly that Miley's just a great singer, but it's also that when she's singing these covers she is so obviously a *fan*, like just delighted that somehow she's in a position where she gets to do her shower karaoke on stage. It is charming.
Read 4 tweets
David Roberts Profile picture
23 Oct
The US political establishment really doesn't get it. Americans WANT to transition off oil & gas to clean energy. It polls through the f'ing roof, across parties, across regions-- has for decades. It's not something Dems need to hide from, it's something they need to champion.
Look at this internal polling power utilities did. They found that Americans want 100% renewable energy and they don't want to hear any more f'ing excuses. vox.com/energy-and-env…
Waiting for the WaPo headline:

"Republicans court political doom by refusing to act on climate change"

That better reflects the facts, and US public opinion trends, but it is a thought the VSPs who run mainstream newspapers just can't wrap their '90s-trapped heads around.
Read 4 tweets
David Roberts Profile picture
23 Oct
How much would I be hating this thing if I were watching it?
Oh shit, Trump caught on to the windows?
Sounds like Biden still hasn't figured out how to talk about fracking?
Read 4 tweets

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