For example, SARS-CoV-2’s genome closely resembles that of a bat coronavirus, but a small section of the
genome called the “polybasic cleavage site,” believed to provide a selective advantage for disease transmission, would have been expected to evolve over time but instead
is present in the earliest sequences of the virus. Investigators can further determine whether the infecting agent’s genome so closely resembles a given reference
strain that a period of limited or no replication is likely. Such socalled “frozen evolution,” when an infecting
agent’s genome lacks the expected accumulation of mutations over time, suggests that alternate origin hypotheses such as a laboratory accident must be explored.
one problem with what they said: "the ensuing spread follows expected epidemiological characteristics of a
natural event."

No it doesn't. @Ayjchan's paper that you cite later already mentioned that it was well-adapted from the get-go. if it were a natural zoonotic event, ace2
binding would get progressively better, not remain high as always. the spike appears to not be mutating much at all. and also, there's so little about the other genetic weirdness, like the reference bat virus genome they mention.

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More from @AlabasterDiadem

Mar 22, 2021
Wow! My following went up literally by like 25% in one day. Please if you could all take a gander at my sticky, that would be great, whereby I am (AFAIK) the only person to do off-the-cuff math illustrating how bogus a 100% natural #furincleavagesite is in #SARSCoV2origins
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1339682…

and remember, the FCS itself is ectopic, and NO OTHER member of that sarbecovirus clade has one.

See Page 7: ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/corecgi/tilesh…
Additionally, as our ever-knowledgeable @Daoyu15 has repeatedly pointed out, all decent alignments of "FCS containing" coronaviruses that have been discovered after the pandemic such as #RmYN02 doesn't actually have an FCS...
Read 12 tweets
Jan 13, 2021
The left: Politicians lie all the time, so we should just ignore Trump and Pompeo's legitimate claims of election fraud, the origins of the coronavirus, and CCP's dire influence.

ALSO THE LEFT: BELIEVE ALL WOMEN, BELIEVE ALL SCIENTISTS, BELIEVE BIDEN, KAMALAH, & CNN
Yes! Politicians DO lie. But they lie about certain things in certain circuitous ways. They might make a campaign promise and then flake. Or they might feign forgetting. Or they might say "that depends on what your definition of 'is' is".

*skillful* plausible deniability is KEY
however... you *cannot* then dismiss everything a politician says or ignore them outright because of that fact. rather, it should be *alarming* that Pompeo is claiming he has proof of #sarscov2origin in a lab in china. if he were lying like this, that would be a bold-faced lie...
Read 14 tweets
Dec 17, 2020
1)"The only measurement of a mutation rate in a β-coronavirus suggests that this site will accumulate ~10^–6 mutations in each round of replication. Each replication cycle takes ~10 hr, and so there are 10^3 cycles/year. "

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
i've read 10^-6 in another paper
2) but the argument that there are 1000 cycles of replication/year is *only* true if one considers 10^4 being ~8760, *and* only 1 viral mRNA replicates.
there are numerous other issues with this math.

No wonder "codon shuffle" ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
is the only mutation tool
3)if anyone thinks the math on estimating the chances of obtaining a furin cleavage site is simple... its not. the assumptions about the system, entropy of mrna, evolutionary fitness, parallel virion replications and mutations, host attacking virions cutting down #'s are critical
Read 12 tweets

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