A thread on testing capacity-the Government have long said they intend to have testing capacity up to 500k a day by 31st Oct-capacity has been increasing rapidly in recent weeks from 248k a day at start of Sept to 310k at start of Oct to 467k on 28th (up 98k in 5 days).But..(1/8)
..testing capacity is theoretical. The Govt webpage says "Testing capacity is a projection based on reports from labs on how many lab-based tests they have capacity to carry out each day based on availability of staff and resources."
So its a projection,not what is happening(2/8)
The turnaround time for tests is critical which is why the PM promised that all test results would be returned within 24 hours by the end of June. At the moment,22% of test results are back within 24 hours from mobile testing centres and its 3.5% for postal tests.
(3/8)
Test,trace and isolate can only be effective if test results are back quickly which is why Boris Johnson made that promise which shows no sign of being met. Capacity is meaningless if results take days (or weeks) to process. (4/8)
In terms of the number of tests actually being done, note that this is NOT people tested despite the original pledge to have 100k people tested a day by the end of April. This morphed into 100k tests as people were having multiple tests which were all being counted (5/8)
As a result of this daily figures for the number of people tested have never been disclosed- we now have the weekly figures from test & trace which tell us for example that in the week 15-21st Oct 1,519,977 people were tested or 217,139 people a day. (6/8)
The Gov webpage tells us that 2,082,458 tests were done in that period so listen out for Ministers conflating tests done with people tested as they are not the same.
But looking at the Gov figures for tests "processed" in the last week they average 311k, well short of 500k.(7/8)
So even if Gov proclaim success at hitting 500k tests tomorrow, remember-
Its a theoretical capacity
Its not people
The actual number of tests processed is much lower
And if results take too long to come back its nowhere near as effective as it should be(8/8)
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Inexplicably missed 5 COBRA meetings at the start
Inexplicably ignored warnings about pandemic preparations
Inexplicably allowed PPE stockpiles to run down
Inexplicably delayed lockdown
Inexplicably allowed people to enter the UK without checks
(1/6)
Inexplicably stopped contact tracing in March
Inexplicably discharged people into care homes without first testing for coronavirus
Inexplicably allowed some PPE to be exported
Inexplicably ignored WHO advice to "test test test"
(2/6)
Inexplicably unable to record how many people are tested each day
Inexplicably cannot account for 4 million plus tests
Inexplicably decided to develop their own App
Inexplicably didn't require private companies to report test results back to local public health officials
(3/6)
For those of you who have been following the daily tweets pointing out how the figures for the number of people tested for coronavirus each day have disappeared, the new Gov stats site has the following message (1/6)
It says "The ‘people tested’ measure was initially used to avoid counting one person tested several times in a short space of time. It no longer usefully reflects the volume of tests carried out as, for example, a healthcare worker receiving their second, third..." (2/6)
"...or fourth test since the start of the pandemic would not be counted as they have been tested once before. Therefore, the people tested figure will be published on a weekly basis within the NHS Test and Trace statistics rather than daily." (3/6)
Some thoughts on the first four weeks of the data on testing and tracing-
We have data on the number of people tested in pillars - 1 & 2- it’s a lot less than the total testing capacity figure and a lot less than the 100k people a day promised (1/13)
On average 15% of people were waiting more than 48 hours to get their test results back from regional testing centres, although that has improved significantly in the last few weeks (2/13)
From mobile and satellite testing units there were on average more than 25% of people waiting more than 48 hours for their results although again that has improved significantly in recent weeks as well (3/13)
I received this from a constituent last night who has a family member who has just been put on a ventilator- please read it, it is incredibly powerful and moving. It is by far the most compelling case I have read about why we need Parliament up and running again (1/12)
People will want answers as to why their loved ones are suffering. They want and deserve the full picture;
"Here we are, desperately sad, braced and helpless for the 2 week state of horror and suspended animation. He doesn't deserve this and neither does anyone else. “(2/12)
“You understand heart attacks, understand car accidents, but this came out of nowhere. His family and ours did, and still do, all the right things. It should not happen. I do not criticise NHS for how they handle the situation nor am I seeking to blame.” (3/12)
There has been a lot of misinformation put out about what happened today in Parliament- we were presented with an attempt by Boris Johnson to bounce MPs into backing a deal, without the necessary legal assurances,actual legislation and without the detail on the economic impact
It was the political equivalent of buying a house without first examining the deeds. Why wont the Government publish their economic impact assessment? Isnt it right that we should know the consequences of what we are supporting before any final vote?
It has been entirely the Governments choice to proceed in this manner and is the exact opposite of the approach needed.
The vote that was passed today means that we will hopefully now have an opportunity to examine the deal and legislation in detail before it becomes too late.