That's prob the best analysis of Bitcoin's social layer I've read. It's fascinating to see Ethereans discover and explain why Bitcoin "is doing it right" and why the winner in this space will maybe be 10% decided by technology, and 90% decided by narrative and coordination.
My thesis in 2018 was that competing L1s that previously criticized Bitcoin's social values and methods will ultimately come around to praising and adopting them. The alternatives are simply not scalable.
Not saying @TrustlessState only discovers these things now, he's been lucid on Bitcoin for a long time. My tweets are more the culmination of a larger trend I've been observing for two years
but he's writing for an almost all-Ethereum audience (mb except @nic__carter and me haha) so clearly he too must think the time is right to get this message out.
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LEO:
Trader pays $10 in fees
Bitfinex sells $10 to buy $10 LEO
Bitfinex burns the $10 LEO
Result: Bitfinex +/- 0, trader -$10, LEO holders +$10
BNB:
Trader pays $10 BNB in fees
Binance burns the $10 BNB
Result: Binance +/- 0, trader -$10, BNB holders +$10
QED
Some people are correctly pointing out that not every trading fee is paid in BNB, and so it has to burn more than it receives from traders. These BNB are taken from their treasury.
The overall point still holds, because BNB has no obligation whatsoever to even hold BNB.
The other day I checked what my most-listened-to crypto podcasts are and was surprised to see @laurashin's Unchained/Unconfirmed on top of the list. As I tried to put the finger on why I like this show better than others, I came up with two reasons.
First, she asks uncomfortable questions. It's hard to do this delicately, and sometimes you get a crazy show like EP78 with Dominic Williams of Dfinity who practically collapsed from her (modest!) pushback. But overall, modest pushback makes shows much better.
That a host should see eye-to-eye with the guest seems obvious, so why don't other crypto podcasts do this as much? I think the answer lies in the relatively high supply of podcasts, and relatively low supply of interesting guests.
The Libra's fiat reserves are themselves a lever over nation-states. At any time, the Libra Association can threaten to dump one fiat on the market for another, and that is assuming they even want to sustain a reserve ratio.
There seems to be some confusion how exactly this gives Libra leverage.
Imagine that most people use Libra (backed by fiat) but not fiat directly. In this world, the Libra Association controls much of the demand for fiat via the composition of their reserves.
The Association can, at any time, change the composition of their reserve by replacing one fiat with another, while maintaining full reserve at all times. If you control the demand for an asset, you gain the power to set a ceiling on it's price.
A common question that precoiners have is, "How do you know it's not too late to buy bitcoin now?"
They still assume Bitcoin follows the value/adoption curve of a pyramid scheme - a system that needs to sustain itself with new buyers and collapses if those ever run out.
The question seems reasonable: Once Bitcoin is widely adopted, the future value from speculation will indeed be zero. But that ignores half the picture - where has that speculative value gone? And does it mean that earlier buyer now have an incentive to sell?
The EV of a pyramid scheme decreases the later we are in the adoption cycle. But the EV of a network good like money increases, as it becomes more useful the more people own it.
Money (not finance) is the most important field in the world today and will be for at least 20 years.
Why? 99% of history is written in 1% of the time. We are in the early phases of another 1% where the medium-term future will be written (what Neil Howe calls "The 4th Turning".)
Money is ripe for a paradigm shift, but the direction of that shift is still undecided. There are currently forces pulling into several directions, with the extreme ends being hyper-control of money (MMT) and removal of all control of money (Bitcoin.)
While in most of history local governments have issued money, many private producers will be able to compete in the future. Networks like Bitcoin are constructed from the ground up to resist, while private firms like Facebook are effectively sovereign to nation-states.