Thread by @YonkersCFB

Week 9 College Football DFS Notes

/thread

The hardest part for me this week will be finding the right QBs to play. There aren't any slam dunk options that I feel fantastic about, which is unusual at this position in CFF.

I think you get the most bang for your buck in the 7.3k to 6.1k range. Finley, Purdy, Book, DJ U,

Sanders, Penix all fine options. With so many good RB options to consider, I find it hard to justify paying up too much for a QB. All of these guys mentioned have rushing upside and could put up big games & have decent floor. DJ U might be chalky but hard to overlook here.

Rutgers let Rocky Lombardi have a field day and Penix is way better than Rocky Boi. If I was confident that Penix was at 100% I would roll him out in most of my lineups, but the offense really didn't look great in their first game.

If you really need a salary saver, Jurkovec 5.8K, Sims 5.5k, Seals 5k, Gatewood 4.7k might initially seem appealing but hard for me to justify when there are much better options only 1k or so up.

The RBs are plentiful and it's damn hard to pick and choose. If the winds in the ISU/Kansas game have an effect on the game as expected than it's hard to fade Hall as I had planned. Etienne is a dice roll as always, will prob choose DJ U over him if playing Clemson.

Leddie Brown continues to receive a million touches but is overpriced and not very explosive. Chuba's price went up and therefore my interest went down accordingly. Made the case against Herbert last wk and proved prophetic, so will mention again that this program doesn't love

giving one guy all the carries and Hooker will take a lot of carries as well. Still, they prob run for over 300 yards as a team against L'Ville so he's in consideration because nobody would be surprised if he had 150+ and 3 TDs. Also wouldn't be surprised w/ a huge disappointment

Was all over Hawkins last wk and will have some ownership again here, but price did go up and is playing better team than last wk. VT's defense has been very very difficult to gauge this yr since they've been single-handily contributing to the rising COVID positive in our country

so far this yr. I still believe they can be beat via the run as was the case last yr and you don't really need a great OL to do so, which may be welcome news to L'Ville & co. Steve. I really haven't been playing Kyren Williams much this yr as he's been too expensive and doesn't

see the typical & predictable workload I would prefer in my expensive RBs. I may go to him this week tho as he is far and away ND's best skill guy and Its defense is very generous in giving out pts in bunches. ND OL huge advantage here, but if it gets out of control early then

may not be a blow up spot.

Love Doaks as a way of attacking this MEM/CIN matchup in which the Cinci guys aren't very interesting as a whole and the QBs are overprices. Tank is still the Tank & LSU allowing well over 5 YPC in each of their last 2 games.

Meanwhile Tank has 60 carries for 386 yds and 3 TD since taking over the lead dog role. LSU D sucks but they can bring pressure (lead SEC in TFL & sacks per game) and Bo Nix runs around like a chicken with his head cut-off whenever he senses the slightest amt of pressure

so expect AUB to rely on the run game.

Love both Ealy and Conner going against Vandy team allowing 211 rushing yds and 33.0 pts per game. Ole Miss heavily favored, should be able to run the ball often and do so however the wish.

I don't really love any cheap RB options this week outside of Conner. If I could tell which Vandy RB was gonna get the most carries I would play them - my guess would be Henry-Brooks, who came back last game and saw 13 carries. Mason mentioned he was displeased with other backs.

Lotta good options at WR this week as always, no strong lean at the top. Last wk I chose Waddle and he died on the first touch of the game, so will blindfold myself and choose randomly this wk I suppose.

There are a million options I like so won't mention them all. Calvin Austin III has seen an avg of 15 targets per game since Coxie opted out. Joke of a price at 5.9k. His teammate Washington at 4.5k is also a good option if Cinci bulls a Belichick & takes away best option.

Anthony Schwartz 4.9k hard for me to ignore. He hasn't found the home run plays yet this yr but is seeing way more targets than expected (double digits every game expect one, where he got 9 lol). Props to @ADavidHaleJoint for pointing out LSU is 74th in the country in

explosive play % given up defensively, at 17.24%. Hard for me to believe the fast man in college football doesn't have some explosive plays if he sees 10 targets again.

Like Hutchinson 5.5k and Whop Philyor at 5.4k. Whop had 10-182-0 last yr against Rutgers. Target hog.

Not as many cheap WR options that I like as usual. Gilbert 4.1k , Fryfogle 4.1k, Kolar 4k, Fitzpatrick 3.9k, Burton 3.8k, Mayer 3.8k, Turner 3.8k, Hendershot 3.6k are the dudes I'm considering.

There aren't many juicy game totals on this one so I'll have less game stacks than usual. Kinda unusual. MEM/CIN, LSU/AUB, UT/OKST, VT/LOU would be the ones to target. I'd prefer the first two if going that route. A whole lot of games I'm avoiding entirely.

I don't have many bets this week. They were poor last wk anyway. On that note of confidence here's what I'm on:

Minnesota -19.5
Memphis o55
UCF -3
UCF o82.5
App St -31

That's wrap up this week's notes. No CFF DFS article for me this week, been a busy one. YouTube breakdown vid is available if you want more of these haphazard nerd thoughts. Best of luck this week!

#CFF #DFS @brkdwn_sports