Donald Trump's performance on Covid has been terrible, and America has suffered deeply.

It is now also clear, though, that Europe is not doing significantly better.

Is this because:

1) European political leadership is just as bad?

2) Leadership doesn't matter that much?

3) ?
For those doubting the empirical premise:

Europe currently has way more cases and recent deaths than the U.S. Its cumulative deaths remain lower, but the gap is quickly closing.

(Of course, this may change again in a few months. But for now, that's where we stand. Via @ft.)
Some of the best answers:

1) Higher population density in Europe.

2) *Some* European governments very bad.

3) Winter wave hit earlier in Europe; U.S. will do worse in long-run.

All plausible. But eight months into this pandemic, some epistemic humility would behoove us all.
There are some obvious counter-examples to most answers btw:

1) If it's about density, why are the Dakotas doing so badly?

2) If it's about leaders, is it so obvious Canada is better governed than France?

The truth is likely very complex. And "just-so stories" very tempting...

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More from @Yascha_Mounk

26 Oct
Illiberalism on the left is a real problem.

But voting for Donald Trump to stem the rising tide of illiberalism would be a huge moral and strategic mistake.

My latest @TheAtlantic.

[Thread.]
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Yes, some Dems are too reluctant to oppose left-wing political violence and call out Antifa.

And yes, some on the left are too willing to support censorship in social media, advocate for employees to be fired for conservative views, and to cheer on attacks on free speech.

But..
1)

Trump presents a serious danger to constitutional values.

His bark is much, much louder than his bite. But his actual actions in office have also been utterly unacceptable.

Any voter genuinely concerned about the rise of illiberal forces must wish to remove him from office.
Read 8 tweets
1 Oct
The boss of the NYT op-ed page was fired because he ran a controversial op-ed by a sitting U.S. Senator.

But a few months later, a propagandist for an authoritarian regime gets to argue that a violent putdown of peaceful protests was needed in the same pages.

This is just nuts. Image
I did not like Cotton's op-ed.

And there is a case for turning the NYT op-ed page into a venue that fights for liberal democratic values rather than printing all the opinion that's newsworthy.

But the hypocrisy here is just staggering.
It is also one of the best examples of, um, systemic racism in American journalism:

Want to advocate for brutal measures that might affect American lives? No way.

Want to advocate for brutal measures that destroy lives in Asia or Africa? Welcome to our pages!
Read 4 tweets
30 Sep
It's amazing how needlessly hard it is to vote in America.

[A short thread.]
I live in Washington, DC.

But because of COVID-19, it has been virtually impossible to formally register as a resident in the district.

Every time I try to make an appointment with the DMV for the first available time, I get this message. Image
So here's the question:

Am I eligible to vote in Washington, DC, if I do in fact live there but have not been able to formally change my residence?

After many attempts, I finally reached someone at the local Board of Elections.

Their answer: yes.
Read 7 tweets
14 Sep
Most Americans believe the upcoming election will be legitimate—unless their favorite candidate loses.

So how can we determine if a) "we were robbed" or b) the election was legitimate?

For @TheAtlantic I turn to leading scholars for an answer.

[Thread]
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
First, the bad news.

According to a new study by @campaignlegal and @protctdemocracy, most Americans are confident that the elections will be free and fair.

BUT if their own candidate loses, they are likely to say that this is because the election was rigged.
This is true for those who support Trump: a plurality of them think that, should he lose, it would be because things were rigged against him.

But it is also true for those who support Biden: an even greater number of them say that, should he lose, it's for illegitimate reasons.*
Read 12 tweets
13 Sep
So, Cuties:

1) A serious movie that condemns the patriarchal values imposed on many immigrant girls *and* the hyper-sexualized mainstream culture into which some of them flee.

2) The depictions of child sexuality, though meant to condemn, end up glorifying it in troubling ways.
If you forgive the slightly strange comparison, the moral ambiguity of the movie is a little similar to that of La Dolce Vita:

1) There's no doubt that the filmmaker seeks to condemn what they depict.

2) But they depict it so lingeringly that their moral stance is compromised.
Final point:

The people who OKed the marketing campaign have a lot to answer for.

90% of this movie is a serious and at times excellent art house movie without any sensationalism.

While I was troubled by the other 10%, foregrounding it for clicks did the movie needless harm.
Read 4 tweets
1 Sep
It's rare that a short piece changes how I think about an important issue.

But this, by @MetaHumean for @JoinPersuasion, really helped me understand something that's been bugging me about the standard critique of colorblindness.

[Thread]

persuasion.community/p/what-the-cri…
1)

If we imagine a perfect society, Matt Lutz argues, we would want it to be colorblind.

In a country without (a history of) racial injustice, it would obviously be wrong to treat someone differently because of the color of their skin.
2)

"Race consciousness" seems more plausible as a way to remedy injustice in a deeply imperfect society.

But this presumes that people who are hyper-conscious of race will be altruistic rather than determined to fight for their own group.

That, Lutz argues, is unrealistic.
Read 6 tweets

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