LAR @ MIA
"The Rams rank 1st in DVOA on the ground (9th through the air) and 4th in rush play rate.
"The Dolphins rank 6th in DVOA against the pass in their 2nd year under Brian Flores…but they rank 32nd against the run. The Rams’ path forward in this game is clear."
"The Rams rank 1st in DVOA on the ground (9th through the air) and 4th in rush play rate.
"The Dolphins rank 6th in DVOA against the pass in their 2nd year under Brian Flores…but they rank 32nd against the run. The Rams’ path forward in this game is clear."
"We should expect the Dolphins to try to keep this game fairly balanced with their rookie QB taking over; and when they do throw, we should expect plenty of ball-out-quick concepts to neutralize Aaron Darnold"
NYJ @ KC
"On the ground, Reid has hinted at the idea of working Le’Veon Bell into a near equal split with incumbent Clyde Edwards-Helaire, which will obviously take time to materialize, but should be coming down the road shortly."
"On the ground, Reid has hinted at the idea of working Le’Veon Bell into a near equal split with incumbent Clyde Edwards-Helaire, which will obviously take time to materialize, but should be coming down the road shortly."
"As the Jets look to claw their way back in, look for 1st down rushes to lessen and passing attempts to flow primarily to the perimeter through Denzel Mims and either Breshad Perriman or Jeff Smith and expect numerous 3rd and long scenarios throughout the game."
MIN @ GB
"If weather predictions hold true here (25 MPH winds with 40 MPH gusts), it’s a clear and obvious bump down to the deep passing game. But it’s also likely to have a heavier impact on overall ownership of these passing attacks than it should."
"If weather predictions hold true here (25 MPH winds with 40 MPH gusts), it’s a clear and obvious bump down to the deep passing game. But it’s also likely to have a heavier impact on overall ownership of these passing attacks than it should."
"Not only have the Packers been dominant so far this season, but they have been dominant in many of the same ways in which the Vikings have been exploitable."
IND @ DET
"Against a Lions defense that ranks 23rd in DVOA against the run and 29th in adjusted line yards, we should expect the Colts to balance toward the run for as long as this game remains close."
"Against a Lions defense that ranks 23rd in DVOA against the run and 29th in adjusted line yards, we should expect the Colts to balance toward the run for as long as this game remains close."
"The Indy side is a little less easy to write off straightaway, as Detroit ranks a middling 14th in pass defense DVOA, and their man-heavy coverage scheme leaves them susceptible to A) speed, and B) big plays."
LV @ CLE
"This game quietly pairs a top six passing offense in the Raiders with a top eight rushing offense in the Browns (DVOA) — with each team matching up well with the opposing team’s weakness."
"This game quietly pairs a top six passing offense in the Raiders with a top eight rushing offense in the Browns (DVOA) — with each team matching up well with the opposing team’s weakness."
"While the ground game has been a mess for Las Vegas, Derek Carr is playing legitimately high-end football, ranking sixth in the NFL in QBR and sixth in EPA."
TEN @ CIN
"The Titans have run the ball at the ninth highest rate on early downs with the score within seven points, the Bengals have thrown the ball at the highest rate on early downs with the score within seven points."
"The Titans have run the ball at the ninth highest rate on early downs with the score within seven points, the Bengals have thrown the ball at the highest rate on early downs with the score within seven points."
"Tennessee ranks third in offensive DVOA (second through the air; 13th on the ground). Anyone waiting for this unit to “prove to have been a fluke” should stop waiting now."
NE @ BUF
"After three consecutive ugly offensive performances (10 points, 12 points, six points scored over the previous 3 weeks), look for the Patriots to get back to basics against an opponent that they match up well with across the board."
"After three consecutive ugly offensive performances (10 points, 12 points, six points scored over the previous 3 weeks), look for the Patriots to get back to basics against an opponent that they match up well with across the board."
"We have seen Daboll adjust the underlying game plan from opponent to opponent, but the overall mindset of the Bills offense has remained intact (heavy pass rate)."
PIT @ BAL
"We’re seeing the re-emergence of a typical “Steelers’ bell-cow running back,” with James Conner playing 84% of the Week 7 snaps and seeing 83.3% (25 of 30) of the total running back opportunities available"
"We’re seeing the re-emergence of a typical “Steelers’ bell-cow running back,” with James Conner playing 84% of the Week 7 snaps and seeing 83.3% (25 of 30) of the total running back opportunities available"
"Baltimore leads the league in overall rush rate (50.14%) and ranks third in first down rush rate (40.35%). That could be an issue this week against a defense ranked first in rush DVOA against the run and second in yards allowed per carry."
LAC @ DEN
"The strengths of this Chargers defense are deficiencies of the Broncos offense, leading to a strength vs weakness matchup for the Chargers."
"The strengths of this Chargers defense are deficiencies of the Broncos offense, leading to a strength vs weakness matchup for the Chargers."
"Denver’s clearest path to success is through the running back and tight end positions in the passing game and it will be a point of emphasis to the outcome of this game whether or not they are able to adjust to the opponent and begin throwing underneath at a higher rate."
SF @ SEA
"It nevertheless makes sense for Shanahan to assume he’ll need to lean on the pass a bit more from the beginning of the game — especially with Russell Wilson on the other side of this one."
"It nevertheless makes sense for Shanahan to assume he’ll need to lean on the pass a bit more from the beginning of the game — especially with Russell Wilson on the other side of this one."
"Russell Wilson is almost always going to find a way to move the ball. So while a purely matchup-based exploration doesn’t cause this spot to pop, the “bet on Russ” option remains very much on the table."
NO @ CHI
"The Saints are going to be forced to march the field, converting thirds downs along the way to sustain drives, which lines up with how they would choose to naturally attack in this spot."
"The Saints are going to be forced to march the field, converting thirds downs along the way to sustain drives, which lines up with how they would choose to naturally attack in this spot."
"David Montgomery has been thrust into a feature back role, averaging over 83% of the offensive snaps without Tarik Cohen. Over that time, he has averaged 19.5 running back opportunities per game (16, 18, 24,19), but the matchup this week is far from ideal."
Bonus :: Sunday Night Football
"On the Philadelphia side, they get a pristine matchup against a Cowboys defense ranked 30th in run defense DVOA and 21st in pass defense DVOA."
"On the Philadelphia side, they get a pristine matchup against a Cowboys defense ranked 30th in run defense DVOA and 21st in pass defense DVOA."
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