Its 1st November. For the military deployed in Ladakh, winter has officially begun although temperatures had already started plummeting below zero last fortnight when I was there. It is also three weeks since the last round of Corps Commanders' talks were held.
It is now certain that troops from both sides will sit through the harsh winter facing off each other. An unprecedented situation in the history of India-China boundary dispute although it must be remembered that in 1962, China's final offensive took place on 20th November
Indian troops (under 14 Corps) are used to being deployed in forward posts at super high altitudes through harshest of winter months for years. For the PLA troops however, this will be a first. How the Chinese cope with the experience will also play into PLA's long-term plans
There is no denying the scale and size of deployment is far bigger than anything seen on the LAC ever. So what next? China has indicated it wants another round of Corps Commander-level negotiations. India's reply: tell us a date and we will respond if it suits our schedule
India has made it clear it will require at least 72 to 96 hours notice to join the talks. One view in the Indian establishment is: Beijing will not propose a date until the result of the US Presidential election is clear. Which would mean 4th November at the earliest.
Is any breakthrough expected? The Indian establishment is not holding its breath. Instead, India has hardened the LAC deployment as series of my reports last week (and the forthcoming video stories) after touring some of the forward areas in Ladakh, make it amply clear.
Comfortable living facilities, ample and nutritious food, proper clothing for extreme cold conditions and fuel for all the needs, is adequately stocked and supplied. The well-coordinated logistics operation between the Indian Army and Air Force has shown peak synergy
India is ready for any eventuality. Most common Q: Will there be a short war this winter? Or will both sides sustain themselves through these difficult months and then get ready for a clash in the summer? No one can predict and no one should. All we can do is to wait and watch

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More from @nitingokhale

13 Oct
33 years ago today, India's greatest all-rounder in showbiz, Kishore Kumar died at a very young age of 58. Remembering him today because last week, rummaging through my old note book from 1987, came across two pages of notes recording my impressions of him in Guwahati
It was June or July 1987. He was visiting Guwahati for a concert. Wife Leena Chandawarkar, their son Sumeet were also there with the star. As a reporter with The Sentinel, I used to get opportunities to meet visiting celebrities. I was assigned to cover Kishore Kumar's programme
It was a big fan moment for me, having relished all his movies while in college in Pune. Meeting him in person was as fun-filled as his numerous movies. He was cracking jokes, pulling people's leg, breaking into a song at a small gathering at his host's house. I was tongue tied
Read 9 tweets
28 Sep
RM @rajnathsingh today unveiled the new Defence Acquisition Process (DAP) 2020. DAP-2020. DAP 2020 will be applicable with effect from 1 Oct 2020. DAP 2020 was under discussion for more than a year, incorporating comments/suggestions from a wide spectrum of defence stakeholders
DAP 2020 has been aligned with the Government's vision of Atmanirbhar Bharat and empowering Indian domestic industry through Make in India initiative with the ultimate aim of turning India into a global manufacturing hub.
Highlights: A list of items banned for import is to be notified; Indigenisation of Imported Spares to be done. RFI stage will explore willingness of the prospective foreign vendors to progressively undertake manufacture and setup an indigenous eco- system at the spares level
Read 13 tweets
22 Sep
An official word on Monday's marathon meeting at Chushul-Moldo is awaited but it is now clear that there is no convergence on how to approach the resolution of the standoff between Indian and Chinese forces along the LAC in Ladakh.
As anticipated on Friday, the Chinese want India to withdraw from Chushul (Kailash range) first which India will never agree to. India's simple formula is: First in, first out, you came in, mobilised large quantum of force, so you initiate the withdrawal, is India's simple demand
China is averse to accede to that demand, so we have a stalemate that doesn't look like being resolved anytime soon. India is and will remain vigilant and resolute on the border as it has been since 5 May. Essentially no outcome! We have a long, hard winter coming up.
Read 4 tweets
14 Sep
While the exact date of the next Corps Commanders level talks in Ladakh is awaited, Indian formations are on highest alert all along Eastern Ladakh, Uttarakhand, Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh frontiers considering a possibility of Chinese attempt (s) to occupy unheld areas
For the past 3-4 days, there is absolute calm on the LAC according to multiple sources. This is seen as unusual given the experience of the past four months in Ladakh. The PLA may attempt a QPQ (quid pro quo) to gain leverage in upcoming talks, feel ground commanders
In any case, no one is pinning too much hope for any major breakthrough in the upcoming talks. The Indian military is prepared to stay through the harsh winter in Ladakh and indeed all along the LAC. Ops logistics branch in the Army must currently be the most harried organisation
Read 5 tweets
9 Sep
Some updates on LAC situation: Its a battle of heights now in Ladakh. Having outrun the Chinese in the race to the top on 30 Aug except Black Top and Helmet heights (Gurung Hill, Magar Hills, Rezang La and Richen La under Indian control), India has consolidated defences there
After the first phase deployment by infantry units at dawn on 30th Aug India managed to drive up tanks at Richin La in broad daylight that Sunday evening surprising the Chinese even more. Since then full consolidation has happened on those heights.
Since then India has strengthened defences not just on South Bank of Pangong Tso but also on the North Bank. Indian troops now occupy highest points at Finger 4, stationing themselves above the Chinese presence on the lower heights of the ridge line.
Read 8 tweets
8 Sep
LAC situation on razor’s edge. Indian troops fired warning shots at advancing PLA troops, alleges China’s Western Theatre Command. India yet to issue any statement but sources say Chinese tried to move towards the Mukhpari peak occupied by India
Noticing the movement, Indian soldiers fired warning shots in the air forcing the Chinese to retreat. Indian Army troops had climbed to the entire ridgeline from South Bank of Pangong Tso to Richin La. Mukhpari is North of Rezang La on 29-30 Aug. Map below for reference
After the Galwan incident India has decided not to take any chances or trust the Chinese who keep engaging in talks but show aggression on ground. On 30th August too after occupying the ridge line, India had told the Chinese that they will be fired at if troops tried to come up
Read 5 tweets

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