More than 3 millions of Italians violated home quarantine (of those whose close contact tested positive or were waiting for test results),
according to the Italian Scientific Committee advising the government on COVID response.
(source: open.online/2020/11/01/tra…)
according to the Italian Scientific Committee advising the government on COVID response.
(source: open.online/2020/11/01/tra…)
Part of the problem is the slow testing.
6 million Italians should be in home quarantine, only a fraction of them because they tested positive. Most of them are there because tests are few and slow.
6 million Italians should be in home quarantine, only a fraction of them because they tested positive. Most of them are there because tests are few and slow.
Another part of the problem is that enforcing the quarantine & working through the tests backlog is cheaper, easier, and more effective when there are few cases than when there are a lot,
But one would also need the will, capability, and wisdom to do so when it seems less urgent
But one would also need the will, capability, and wisdom to do so when it seems less urgent
(I do not know how the scientific committee got to the 3M number, it’s probably a very rough estimate, but I know anecdotally that the problem indeed exists.)
Another part of the problem is that the total number of “6 million people who should be in home quarantine” might include close contacts of people who tested positive but have not been notified yet.
We have 10M people who are on job subsidies scheme but cannot hire 20k tracers.
We have 10M people who are on job subsidies scheme but cannot hire 20k tracers.
(So the violators might not know they are violating home quarantine because contact travers are few and slow to notify people that their contact tested positive)
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