"Let me tell you about the very rich.They are different from you and me.They possess and enjoy early, and it does something to them, makes them soft where we are hard, and cynical where we are trustful,in a way that, unless you were born rich, it is very difficult to understand."
Easy pickings for clever, ruthless Chinese Communists who have not yet lost the hungry edge.
Wo Fat vs password= nameOfOwner + "02"
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Irreproducibility is a problem with complex systems where small changes in initial conditions, latent variables or effects on system boundaries can change the result.
"The issue became clear in 2011, when the pharmaceutical company Bayer conducted its own reproducibility tests on 67 published experiments and failed to get similar results on 53."
"What many would describe as the 'replication crisis' in science has gained the attention of researchers and policymakers at the highest levels."
Is there a model where variables expressed in specific quarantine acts, surveillance and previous biosphere immunity can be tested? What is the probability of an n+1 wave given n lockdowns?
Without the testable model and well defined variables the Chinese "formula" is not a formula. Presumably the Europeans made choices to reduce the expected number of future hospitalizations. The second wave throws doubt on that, but reduced CFR suggests unknown variables.
If the pandemic is becoming markedly less deadly is that due to previous choices or the introduction of new therapies? Or is it the result of natural evolution outside the scope of gov't action? That is to say caused by variables not in our model?
The 3 players in our drama are Science, a way of knowing; Technnology whose business is translating the more certain Science into practical effects; and Public Policy which takes some of Science, some of technology and serves it with political calculation.
At any point there are things Science doesn't know and in principle cannot know. Similarly there are things beyond the capability of technology to solve at any given time, like a counter to polio in the 1940s. But politicians are far more ready to promise they can solve anything.
The coronavirus pandemic has demonstrated the limits of science and technology in the face of this pathogen. Those limits were plainly expressed in the scientific and technological literature which were full of contention, dead end hypothesis etc. Only the politicians were sure.
The "BD family" scandal is catastrophe for Chinese Communist Party operatives in the US. It exposed how they operated nearly at will during the former "Happy Time".The complacency may be ending, if the media can be persuaded to take notice, but the CCP is far from beaten.
The rollup of the CIA network in China, the loss of the OPM data should have warned the media something evil was loose. But the then-dominant narrative was the Global World, so the signal was filtered out.
The "2nd Happy Time" known among German submarine commanders as the "American Shooting Season" was the informal name for the Operation Paukenschlag ... as defense measures were weak and disorganized and the U-boats were able to inflict massive damage with little risk.
"Well, your toe bone connected to your foot bone
Your foot bone connected to your heel bone
Your heel bone connected to your ankle bone
Your ankle bone connected to your leg bone ..."
Dem unintended lockdown consequences.
You cannot draw a definite boundary around a sufficiently complex system. It will always be interacting in ways politicians fail to anticipate.