Here's what I'm watching in exit polls tonight (1/thread):
White voters without a college degree:
This group propelled Trump to the presidency in 2016, but now, Biden hopes to narrow the gap. Trump won them by 31 points in Michigan, 32 points in Pennsylvania and 28 points in Wisconsin. Trump needs to try to hold those margins again.
Seniors:
Trump won voters over 65 years old by 7 points in 2016, but amid a pandemic that is disproportionately killing older Americans, Biden may win them back in key states like Florida. Plus, Trump won White seniors by 19 points. Can Biden break even?
White women:
Pre-election polls suggest Trump is losing ground with this group, but he needs to stop the bleeding to have a fighting chance. A gaping gender gap could be fatal to Trump's reelection bid. Trump won White women by 9 points in 2016.
Black and Latino voters, especially men:
Trump has been pushing to make inroads with Black and Latino men, where even a small shift could help make up losses with other groups. Hillary Clinton won Black men by 69 points and Latino men by 31 points in 2016.
Independent voters:
Independent voters haven't given either candidate a double-digit advantage in more than 30 years. Could Biden break the streak? Trump narrowly won independent voters by 4 points in 2016, and he'll need to keep things close with this group to win again.
White voters with a college degree:
One of the big surprises of 2016 came when White voters with a college degree backed Trump by 3 points. Polls suggest they will likely go for Biden in 2020, but Biden needs to run up the score, especially among college-educated women.
Trump-to-Biden voters and former third party voters:
How many former Trump voters can Biden convince to cross party lines? In a tight race, even picking off 5-10% of them could make a difference. Plus, almost 6% of voters went third party in 2016. Where will they fall now?
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like when i use the oven it shows the temperature instead so i can’t even use it for the like 15 minutes it might be helpful
and now i have no choice but to look at the incorrect time for the next several weeks and wonder what time it is while i build up the motivation to change it
Clarence Thomas: "She was a superb judge who gave her best and exacted the best from each of us, whether in agreement or disagreement. And, as outstanding as she was as a judge, she was an even better colleague – unfailingly gracious, thoughtful, and civil."
Stephen Breyer: "A great Justice; a woman of valour; a rock of righteousness; and my good, good friend. The world is a better place for her having lived in it. And so is her family; her friends; the legal community; and the nation."
Samuel Alito: "Justice Ginsburg will go down as a leading figure in the history of the Court. She will be remembered for her intelligence, learning, and remarkable fortitude. She has been and will continue to be an inspiration for many."
ROMNEY: "I don't know of any evidence that voting by mail would increase voter fraud."
ROMNEY: "I've heard some people say they think that the reason the president doesn't want people to vote by mail is that polls show people who want to vote by mail tend to vote for Vice President Biden... so this is a political calculation. My own view is we want people to vote."
ROMNEY: "It is essential, in my view, for a nation which is the leading nation of democratic nations in the world, the leader of the free world, for us to show the elections can be held in a free and fair manner."