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Gene Demby Profile picture
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4 Nov, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Trump's WH bids have rested entirely on running up the score with white voters.

As Robert points out here, the fact that the Trump is unpopular among younger voters is not because younger white people don't rock with Trump – it's that younger gens are much browner.
Regardless of how this campaign turns out, this election is probably the last time that strategy is viable — the GOP is running out of white people.

nym.ag/3e3EkyD
Millennials and Gen-Zers are 45 and 49% POC.

"In 2024, the two younger gens are expected to equal the older ones as a share of actual voters on Election Day. And by 2028, Millennials and Gen Z will dwarf the older generations as a share of both eligible and actual voters."
More interesting stuff from @robertpjones of @PRRIpoll:

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More from @GeeDee215

Gene Demby Profile picture
6 Nov
It doesn’t make sense. A Black registered voter has a 90% chance of voting for Democrats. A Latino voter has a 70ish% chance of doing so. But a white voter has a <50% chance of doing so — and a white Republican way less than *that* — why not focus on Black and Brown turnout?
(Rhetorical question: it’s bc white ppl believe that things can only be legitimate if they center white people.)
The Democrats have not won a majority of the white vote since 1964, and have been obsessed w/ winning those voters back ever since.

Meanwhile, two youngest voting age cohorts, Millennials and Gen-Zers, are 45 and 49% nonwhite, respectively.
Read 7 tweets
Gene Demby Profile picture
6 Nov
Resistance Twitter.
Lol one of these people was an organizer who marched with King and the other adamantly opposed a holiday for King in AZ but okay
McCain voted against the 1990 Civil Rights act, a bill that made it easier for ppl to sue employers for discrimination.

The optics of GOP opposition were so bad — David Duke went to DC to cheer its failure in person — that GOP senators tried to override Bush’s veto of the bill.
Read 6 tweets
Gene Demby Profile picture
6 Nov
So much of the “conventional wisdom” espoused by pundits on CNN is just nakedly dumb and wrong

They were chocking up AZ trending blue to a revolt of suburban moms and Cindy McCain’s endorsement of Biden. So these moms rocked with Trump and Joe Arpaio but flipped bc of Cindy? 🤔
If white ladies were revolting against Trump in the traditionally red suburbs of AZ...wouldn’t they also be doing so else in the country?
As a few people pointed out to me yesterday, to the extent that the blue flip in Maricopa County was because of suburban moms, it was because those suburban moms are now *brown* and their energized kids have been doing work:

theintercept.com/2020/11/02/ari…
Read 5 tweets
Gene Demby Profile picture
4 Nov
again, Trump is only a viable candidate because of his overwhelming white support, up and down the income ladder and across generations.

white voters are the constant. if Trump lightly underperformed with white voters in, say, Florida, the map looks different.

But go off.
In Florida, one candidate won SIX in 10 white voters in a state where EIGHT in 10 people identify as white (including a LARGE number of Hispanic people).

It has the effect of overstating Trump's appeal to people who are...not white. Image
this was Ta-Nehisi in 2016. How different does any of this look *now*? Image
Read 7 tweets
Gene Demby Profile picture
4 Nov
whiteness has always been elastic in the US, but it's always expanded to absorb different kinds of people of European descent.

it's an open q as to whether it will/can expand to subsume groups of Asian Ams or Latinos — and whether their racial formation in the US will allow it.
Italians and the Irish and Germans and European Jews were subsumed into broader USian whiteness, but are the mechanisms by which that happened available today (and available to enough people) of MENA ancestry or Latin American ancestry or South Asian ancestry?
racial formation in the US isn't as simple and neat as "white people have power and new populations will become 'white' in order to access that power."

There's a systemic/structural dynamic to this as well: Does the world *treat* you like a white person?
Read 10 tweets
Gene Demby Profile picture
23 Oct
fuck it. i'm just sitting in this hospital waiting room killing time. let's do it, then.

as DA of SF, KH's signature reform program – she called it a "personal responsibility program," which pretty clearly illustrates the respectabilty thing — was called Back on Track.
to participate in BoT, which was meant to be divert people who had been arrested away from incarceration, people had to accept a plea deal. Harris underlined this a lot — she said we're not gonna pretend you're not a criminal, so you need to accept responsibility for your actions
the stipulation was: we'll expunge that felony conviction from your record once you complete BoT — which included job training, housing support, literacy help and other things — under supervision from the DA's office.

And BoT worked pretty well for the people who completed it.
Read 7 tweets

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