Very odd speech. There was even some suggestion of saving face in case of defeat (“we were about to win and then”), then “we will win” and finally “we have won”. Legally Trump very sloppy. Asking SCOTUS not only not to count mail in but apparently not to count large cities?!
I would say maybe numbers in PA, MI, WI not as good as he wanted
Listened again. Trump complains about two different things. That vote was stopped (it is strange that it did in Milwaukee or Detroit) and second that mail-in votes will be manipulated
So it seems his strategy will be to force some kind of final counting while opening up the question of late mail-in votes (arriving after election day)
It just so happens that he may have good enough results in the three states to play this game. We get the worst possible scenario where SCOTUS will have to decide how many mail-in votes to exclude (if any). Margin of victory will not be irrelevant of course

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More from @MacaesBruno

4 Nov
Confirmation of what I argued yesterday
amp.ft.com/content/8e4590…
We are now in the purely Orwellian world of someone criticising an article that has been erased and cannot be read
From my newsletter on how Macron completely misses the point Image
Read 5 tweets
3 Nov
So let us see. The oped said no woman with a headscarf had ever conducted a terrorist attack in France. Since this was at one point corrected I take it that is incorrect and a woman with a headscarf as indeed been involved in an attack.
Will not waste time googling because every intelligent reader can understand the sentence. How I originally read it: wearing a headscarf does not make you a terrorist so why ban headscarves in order to fight terrorism? Childish and absurd as a policy
If you want the sentence to be more perspicuous, well, you have editors for that, no? And if the editor screwed up, you correct it, write a better sentence, add a note. Do you take down and censure a text making a valuable and critically important point? Really?
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
Good text on a political mystery: why did Macron stop speaking of communitarianism, replacing it with separatism - and why that is dangerous
fr.news.yahoo.com/separatisme-ce…
Seems to have started in January in this interview: “Il faut accepter qu’il y a, dans notre République aujourd’hui, ce que j’appellerais un séparatisme”
lemonde.fr/politique/arti…
How old is the term in French political discourse? Le terme daterait de 1939 et a été utilisé pour cibler les communistes français qui voulaient promouvoir les intérêts de l’URSS
Read 4 tweets
3 Nov
The way one thinks about terrorism in the West is so extraordinarily poor it’s even difficult to know where yo start. Some kind of Hegelianism or witchcraft: radical ideas enter people’s heads - if they are Muslim - and remote control them to commit heinous deeds
I once wrote this to start correcting misperceptions but alas never got to writing the companion piece on Pakistan
hudson.org/research/14263…
Now let us take a quick Pakistan example. There are some bad guys in Peshawar and they have lots of money. They offer a young man a good salary if he joins the group. Has he been radicalized? He is curious about the job and he likes the money
Read 6 tweets
22 Oct
US election is a clash of two fantasy worlds. I would say two television series. Question is do viewers change the channel
Or better put: which channel can keep the show from being swamped by reality?
Read 4 tweets
18 Oct
I can’t quite believe all these analysts saying the second wave took everyone by surprise
After rising for months, footfall in cafés, restaurants, retail and leisure venues started in early October to decline again in many European cities, including Paris, London, Amsterdam, Berlin and Madrid.
Read 4 tweets

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