1. The hot take that "D's need to learn to talk to the other side of the electorate" is absolutely the WRONG take.
I mean my god. Biden, Lincoln, the outside groups: they threw the best persuasion messaging in the history of persuasion campaigns at them.
What Ds need to do is
2. is come to terms that when it comes to the electorate, the very 1st thing that matters is party ID, and this includes Indie leaners. This data is from June, but last night's results make clear that it reflects the actual results as well. Right leaning Indies- which make up
3. a disproportionate share of the overall Indie pool, are closet Reps: they are not persuadable no matter how much you cater to them or whether or not Cindy McCain is on your side. The Biden campaign, all of the Senate Dems, and the House Dem candidates bet their candidacies
4. on a couple of assumptions most imp is that they should focus their arguments on issues & not on nationalized referendum campaigns, which is the way that the GOP runs their down-ballot races. Also, in case you haven't noticed, Trump lies directly to people bc he knows they are
5. stupid & will never find out. Did I state that plainly enough? You want to know why Rs are willing non-college voters? They tell them what they want to hear. The Ds talk to everyone like they have a master's degree. Trump talks to them as they are: Walmart shoppers. I realize
6. that sounds elitist and condensing- its meant to. Some 60+ million of them just cast ballots for Donald Fucking Trump & if you ask them why, probably 40 million of them will tell you reasons that are literally exact opposite truths like "he drains the swamp" or "he's a
7. "successful businessman" or my personal fave, "he's the only honest man in Washington." If Dems want to learn how to "reach voters on the other side" then they need to realize that these people would tell you "yes" they read news & then report "The National Enquirer" as their
8. as their paper of choice. Now, IDK if its just that I'm one of fewer academics that come from the real, unpolished, bottom 50% world, and not the romanticized bullshit painted by J.D. Vance of working-class America- the real one where people have 3 kids from 3 different women
9. and get angry when 1 of them is reticent to let them visit their kid when they get out jail. AGAIN. In THAT working class, sexism, racism, xenophobia, and bigotry run rampant: and not only are these "isms" prevalent, there is a belief that they shouldn't have had to be buried
10. (see how that relates back to their culture war champion?) That the old days were far superior bc they could just call someone a f&g or slap their female co-worker in the ass is they were in the mood. There was a hierarchy, a caste as @Isabelwilkerson notes, and they were at
11. the top of it. Everything else might be a shit sandwich, their job, their house, their marriage, their debt, but that hierarchy & their place at the top of it- as Wilkerson notes in her book, that shit was SOLID.
And now its gone.
And do you know who took it?
The Democrats
12. So, you're not appealing to that. Anyone looking at Maine senate, the state with the most Indies in the nation, but also an electorate that is predominately white and lower educated & thinks we just need a better argument is coming at this the wrong way.
Don't get me wrong-
13. you gotta change the voting behavior of these voters, but you're not going to do it via tweaking issues or talking about this and not that.
Its going to take a complete and total overall of the entire electioneering approach of the party.
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🚨🔥🧵👇Herding Cats:
The Problem Isn’t Just Structural. It’s Behavioral.
Democrats are not just losing the information war because the other side has Fox News and a billion-dollar propaganda ecosystem. That’s a big part of it, sure—but it’s not the whole story. The comms asymmetry isn’t just structural. It’s behavioral. It’s psychological. It’s us.
Let me break this down for you, because until we understand the real problem, we’re not going to fix it. And if we don’t fix it, we’re not just going to lose elections. We’re going to lose democracy.
1. Democrats Want to Be Smart. That’s a Problem.
Democrats are smart people. Progressives, especially. They value intelligence. They curate it. They showcase it. They want to look smart, and more importantly, they’re terrified of looking stupid. This seems like a good thing—until you realize that effective propaganda often requires you to say things that sound stupid to smart people.
🚨🔥🧵Politicize Everything:
A Blueprint for a Party That Fights.
Let me start with the obvious: Republicans politicize everything. They politicize natural disasters. They politicize immigration. They politicize murder victims, train derailments, gas prices, egg prices, hamburgers, light bulbs, M&Ms, and your damn stove.
If a dog slips on the ice in Iowa, Steve Bannon’s podcast will have it chalked up to Biden’s America by lunchtime. Fox News will feature it on a five-segment loop under “Border Chaos.” By dinnertime, Ted Cruz is tweeting about how Trump would’ve salted the sidewalk himself.
Meanwhile, Democrats are out here still asking for permission to feel angry.
It’s 2025. If you’re just now figuring out that everything is political, you’re not behind the curve—you are the curve. And the curve is currently being flattened by a fascist movement that figured out 20 years ago that emotion beats policy, fear beats fact, and offense beats defense every damn time.
🧵Make America 1933 Again
The Rise of American Fascism
It can happen here. It already is.
Fascism doesn’t need to show up looking like the History Channel: swastikas, stiff-armed salutes, and jackboots marching down Main Street.
(Learn more 👇and RT so your friends can too!)
Contemporary fascism, here and abroad, wears their Sunday best and clutches a Trump Bible. Fascism in Germany didn’t start with deportations and gas chambers,—it started with the elimination of civil rights and a Big Gov surveillance system focused on “thought crimes.”
And the closer you look at the MAGA movement, the harder it is to avoid the conclusion that America is not just playing footsie with fascism. Millions are in bed with it, spooning it, whispering sweet nothings to it on Truth Social.
Let’s not get coy. There are BIG differences between Trumpism and Hitlerism, of course. But the ideological overlap is substantial—and disturbing.
The Cycle Monday Memo
Live Free. Die fast. Get Digested Slowly
Let’s begin with a quick vibe check. Are you breathing air with an AQI over 300 today? Wearing Crocs in public because it’s too hot for socks but too dangerous to go barefoot? Great. Then you’re ready for this week’s news.
The Elon Musk Civil War: America Party Edition
First up, our favorite discount Bond villain, Elon Musk, declared civil war on the Republican Party this week by suggesting he’s launching the “America Party,” a political vehicle so inspiring it was conceived during a Twitter poll with as much methodological rigor as your drunk uncle asking, “Who wants to go to Waffle House?” at 3am.
Now, Musk says he didn’t actually file an FEC filing for a new party. That’s what his lawyer told him, anyway. So maybe he did, maybe he didn’t. He’s a busy guy juggling at least 6 jobs with a ketamine and video game addiction.
What we know for sure: conservative influencers lost their minds at the idea.
In case you’re wondering how Trump feels about it, he issued his usual sized rant, to which Elon responded: I ain’t reading that.”
Elon Musk has decided America needs a new political party. And not just any party – the America Party, founded on the deeply inspiring and universally unifying mission of… eliminating the national debt??
(Please RT this!)
Don’t get me wrong, there is always decent public support for lowering the debt, theoretically.
Its when you get into the specifics of how to achieve debt reduction, which requires either massive tax increases or massive spending cuts in Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, that support drops massively.