Rachel Bitecofer 🗽🦆 Profile picture
Nov 4, 2020 13 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1. The hot take that "D's need to learn to talk to the other side of the electorate" is absolutely the WRONG take.

I mean my god. Biden, Lincoln, the outside groups: they threw the best persuasion messaging in the history of persuasion campaigns at them.

What Ds need to do is
2. is come to terms that when it comes to the electorate, the very 1st thing that matters is party ID, and this includes Indie leaners. This data is from June, but last night's results make clear that it reflects the actual results as well. Right leaning Indies- which make up Image
3. a disproportionate share of the overall Indie pool, are closet Reps: they are not persuadable no matter how much you cater to them or whether or not Cindy McCain is on your side. The Biden campaign, all of the Senate Dems, and the House Dem candidates bet their candidacies
4. on a couple of assumptions most imp is that they should focus their arguments on issues & not on nationalized referendum campaigns, which is the way that the GOP runs their down-ballot races. Also, in case you haven't noticed, Trump lies directly to people bc he knows they are
5. stupid & will never find out. Did I state that plainly enough? You want to know why Rs are willing non-college voters? They tell them what they want to hear. The Ds talk to everyone like they have a master's degree. Trump talks to them as they are: Walmart shoppers. I realize
6. that sounds elitist and condensing- its meant to. Some 60+ million of them just cast ballots for Donald Fucking Trump & if you ask them why, probably 40 million of them will tell you reasons that are literally exact opposite truths like "he drains the swamp" or "he's a
7. "successful businessman" or my personal fave, "he's the only honest man in Washington." If Dems want to learn how to "reach voters on the other side" then they need to realize that these people would tell you "yes" they read news & then report "The National Enquirer" as their
8. as their paper of choice. Now, IDK if its just that I'm one of fewer academics that come from the real, unpolished, bottom 50% world, and not the romanticized bullshit painted by J.D. Vance of working-class America- the real one where people have 3 kids from 3 different women
9. and get angry when 1 of them is reticent to let them visit their kid when they get out jail. AGAIN. In THAT working class, sexism, racism, xenophobia, and bigotry run rampant: and not only are these "isms" prevalent, there is a belief that they shouldn't have had to be buried
10. (see how that relates back to their culture war champion?) That the old days were far superior bc they could just call someone a f&g or slap their female co-worker in the ass is they were in the mood. There was a hierarchy, a caste as @Isabelwilkerson notes, and they were at
11. the top of it. Everything else might be a shit sandwich, their job, their house, their marriage, their debt, but that hierarchy & their place at the top of it- as Wilkerson notes in her book, that shit was SOLID.
And now its gone.
And do you know who took it?
The Democrats
12. So, you're not appealing to that. Anyone looking at Maine senate, the state with the most Indies in the nation, but also an electorate that is predominately white and lower educated & thinks we just need a better argument is coming at this the wrong way.

Don't get me wrong-
13. you gotta change the voting behavior of these voters, but you're not going to do it via tweaking issues or talking about this and not that.

Its going to take a complete and total overall of the entire electioneering approach of the party.

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More from @RachelBitecofer

Mar 30
🧵STAT of the Week
Voters Have No Idea What Democrats Stand For

I want to show you something very important.

You know I talk non-stop about how Republicans have intentionally trashed the Democratic Party’s brand, but today I want to focus on how Democrats help them get away with it.Image
Last week David Shor from Blue Rose Research released their election autopsy. You can find the entire presentation this slide comes from here in a conversation between Ezra Klein and David Shor.
But I want to focus on just one key chart in Shor’s data, this. 👇

And I want to talk about it differently than Shor does in his interview. He doesn’t even notice what I am am going to show you. Image
Read 12 tweets
Mar 21
🧵What is the Overton Window and Why Is Elon Musk Breaking It?

Elon Musk Bought Twitter to Make the Unacceptable Acceptable. And It's Working. Image
So many political science terms, so little time.

As I meet with more and more people from the upper tiers of Democratic Party politics it is becoming clear to me that there are key findings from peer-reviewed political science research that simply never trickled down to the general public.
Long time subscribers to this distinguished ‘Stack should know two of those political science concepts well by now: 1. the strength of party identification on public opinion and vote choice for the vast majority of the electorate and 2. the stunningly low levels of civic knowledge of American voters.
Read 15 tweets
Mar 16
🧵STAT(S) Of the Week:
Never Interrupt Your Enemy When They Are Making a Mistake

I think, and I believe many of you must agree, it is best to live and strategize in the world we actually live in and not the one we wished we lived in. Image
Unfortunately, in the real world, even after two months of the terrible headlines we have been reading, the average public still likes Donald Trump way more than Democrats.

He still beats us by 20 points! Image
As I explained in a prior post, some of that low approval rating is coming from Democrats who don’t think the party is doing enough and saw the CR fight as the first chance to put up a fight.

Now, I want you to keep our 29% favorability rating in mind while considering last week and the decision by 9 senate Democrats to vote for the CR rather than shut down the government.
Read 21 tweets
Mar 9
🧵Here's Why Democrats Can't Meet This Moment
And How We Can Fix It

Folks, for a long time I’ve wanted to introduce you to a book that came out a year or two ago by a journalist named Tina Nguyen called The MAGA Dairies.

There are a lot of reasons to read this book and for a long time I’ve held out hoping to get the author onto the podcast to talk about it with me, but I can’t afford to wait any longer.Image
Why?

Because this book is the perfect illustration of how and why the Republican Party has managed to radicalize 50 million people into wanting autocracy AND also the perfect explanation of why Democrats seem completely lost in response.
For quick background, Nguyen is now a professional journalist (or as she calls it, a real journalist) but she got her start in conservative media. Hers is a first person account of how Republicans attract, woo, and then network extensively young conservative talent.
Read 25 tweets
Feb 23
🧵Living History:

Plenty of Parallels between MAGA and the NAZI Movement

Folks, sometimes when I’m waging war against the MAGA Nazis on the twitter machine I come across something I read and then want you to read too.

This is why I am going to copy and paste this short piece from someone who would prefer to remain anonymous (with their permission!)Image
This analysis shows the parallels between MAGA and another fascists movement from 100 years ago who you know as the Nazis.

Here it is:

The comparison to Nazi Germany isn’t just a stretch—it’s a direct historical parallel unfolding in real time. Trump’s playbook is eerily similar to Hitler’s rise to power, and the signs are all there for those willing to see them.
Hitler exploited economic hardship and blamed outsiders and minorities for the country’s problems—Trump does the same with immigrants, refugees, and political opponents.

Hitler rose to power through democratic means, then dismantled democratic institutions from within—Trump is following the same script, stacking courts, gutting federal agencies, and openly threatening to imprison political opponents.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 9
🧵The Tipping Point Is Upon Us:
Will MAGA Simply Ignore the Courts?

Ok folks, we’re three weeks in and have already entered the “constitutional crisis” phase of things.

I want to draw your attention to something critically important in the coming week. The federal courts have started to respond to Elon Musk’s illegal attack on federal agencies and programs like USAID.Image
This is going to create a real litmus test for the survival of our democracy.

Much of what Trump and Elon are doing is so flagrantly illegal, it is hard to imagine much of it surviving judicial review, even at the Supreme Court level.

Yes, the Federalist Society controls the Court, but on occasion at least three of their justices, Gorsuch, Barrett, and Roberts have ruled on the side of the Constitution against Trump. There is one major exception and that is the immunity case where they not only did their best to create an untouchable presidency, but also did it in a way to drag the case out of being tried before the election. So we know they have it in them.
I expect the lower courts to reject most of Trump’s power grab. All we can do is hope that those 3 justices recognize by creating the Imperial Presidency, they are rendering their own power obsolete.

The sitting Vice President went public with what us MAGA watchers already knew: there is a forceful movement within MAGA that argues federal court orders should simply be ignored.Image
Read 10 tweets

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