Why I was constantly urging caution about being too confident:
* People underestimate how much Fox-induced hate of democrats drives decisions now. (Look at @RichLowry who argued - even with NATO near collapse and Covid exploding - to vote Trump to give dems "the finger")...
...literally, to so much of this country, including people who are supposed to be smarter than this like @RichLowry, politics is a game of self-affirmation, having to do with imprinting fantasies of democrats without a care about the real world. This "team" mentality is what...
...is destroying us. It is why, no matter how terrible everything Trump did was, his numbers never budged. The more upset those who opposed Trump became because of his abject incompetence and stupidity, some on the right saw the dem upset at objective reality of chaos as an...
...affirmation that Trump is "great." If you put a chimp into the White House, running under R, and he started wrecking the place, if dems got upset, too many republicans would support it. They hate half the country.
*The multi-billion dollar effort by wealthy conservatives...
...to create a media bubble of an alternative reality to deceive viewers that tax increases for the rich are tax increases for everyone, and that the money raised would go to "undeserving" poor people. Then they harp on all the other lies, solely to secure tax cuts and judges...
...and while these "judges" are nominally about overturning Roe, the main reason they are there is to throw out corporate regulations. This is about rewarding corporate contributors, and nothing else.
*Within that, and infusing a huge section of the support of Trump, is racism...
...so, when you combine "team", lies by conservative media, and racism, you end up here.
The reason dems are so surprised is because we're examining objective reality. And one of those realities is half of our population is bombarded with propoganda that creates an alternate...
...reality, where Q is real, where dems are all socialists, where the Russian attack on democracy is a myth, where the CIA, FBI, etc are plotting to overthrow Trump, where all elections infused with fraud. Reaching people outside of objective reality, who in turn are trained...
...to hate anyone who might present them with evidence, is an impossible position. And before you blame those who live in those alternate realities: No one makes that choice. If you get all your information from the same handful of sources, YOU might be divorced from reality...
...the only way you can be sure is by consuming lots of information from all over the spectrum, including that bubble of deception. People dont know its a lie because they are told endlessly it is the only truth.
But be calm. This outcome was always the most likely.
end
OH! How could I have left this out.
Voter suppression. Has a huge impact.
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Im going to repeat the message I often give to frustrated progressives, but this time for all democrats:
Change doesnt come quickly. It is a process, not an event. This election has hopefully advanced us a step. We stick with massive voting, every time, change continues. Then...
...at some point, like digging slowly through the wall, you hit a tipping point and change occurs rapidly.
Trumpism took over this country because there were things that preexisted in this country that allowed it to fester: Racism, white grievance, disinformation, loss.../2
...of agreed concepts of reality, which has allowed for the reality of who democrats are to be completely fictionalized. (Talk to @davidmweissman - a former Trump voter now democrat - about how the conservative bubble creates a fantasy view of what democrats are.) We are..../3
I cant understand how people are shocked that the polls were
"wrong" and then in the next sentence mention voter suppression. GOP targets democratic voting blocs for suppression. Those blocs get polled, and give responses. And then are blocked from voting. Then, you have...
...relentless weaponization of COVID, with GOP successfully pushing these things: Voting must be inside (where infection higher risk) people dont have to wear masks, people can bring guns. Because the GOP is in fantasy land about Covid, this would have little impact on them...
...but would deter those who live in the real world of Covid and didnt want to risk dying. THEN, you have what is the obvious intentional slowing of the mail in critical democratic voting areas (I have now heard from 4 post offices that they were ordered to slow down. This...
As a decades long financial reporter, @jasonbates22, I hope you are just uninformed & not wildly dishonest. You start from inauguration, not election, when assessing presidents. Second, the Great Recession hit a couple of months before 2008 election and trillions of liquidity...
...out of the market. Put simply, @jasonbates22, there simply wasn’t the cash to bring stock prices up. Banks were shutting down margin loans, sucking even more out. Financial institutions everywhere were collapsing. Your comparison of starting post election is like saying....
...one guy climbed behind the wheel of a car with a blown out engine, the other one jumped into a car already traveling at 40mph, so the second guy is a better driver. Next, you have had massive, massive irresponsible push up of market prices, through reckless fiscal acts...
Which of the following pictures are of the United States, and which are underdeveloped nations that in extreme voter suppression..../1 @GOP @TexasGOP @GregAbbott_TX
Called someone who manages reimbursement at giant health insurance company. Told him Trump said MDs get paid more for saying people died of COVID. THIS is a person who would approve those payments. Response: Laughter.
Then: "You DONT get paid by the cause of death. Ever.../1
...that is zero percent of the time. It's level of care that matters."
Moreover, for this massive company, "When we look at COVID on our reimbursement, it goes under viral pneumonia. If they were in the ICU, they probably got more. But thats also true for kidney failure"....
...now, he said, there is a higher proportion of higher payments for COVID than viral pneumonia, but not because it says "Covid." It's because the treatment course for COVID is far more intense for it. People with COVID who don't die quickly cost a lot if they get into ICU....