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Data Orbital Profile picture
@Data_Orbital
Nov 5, 2020 • 38 tweets • 24 min read • Read on X
BALLOT RESULT THREAD: Pima County - 5,614 ballots 50.8/47.3 Trump to Biden. Overall, this is a strong County for Biden. Good sign for Trump.
Maricopa County 74,547 ballots. 57.6/40.7 Trump to Biden. President nets 12,644. A bit below our 14,000 projection but good progress for the President. #AZ
We expect one more update from Maricopa tonight at 1am eastern. Stay tuned! #AZ #Election2020
Maricopa County (final update for the evening) - 57.9/40.5 Trump to Biden total ballots counted 62,002. Net gain of 10,783 for President Trump. Trump is still in line with what he needs to catch up statewide. #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
Midday Updates: Graham, Greenlee and Yuma. 53.6/44.2 Trump to Biden. 2,759 ballots and a net increase for Trump of 261 ballots. Graham and Greenlee exceeded our projections and Yuma underperformed. #AZ #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter
Update: Navajo - 56/39 Trump to Biden. 1,185 total ballots. We had the President winning the remaining ballots 55/45 here so an over performance. #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter #AZ
CORRECTION - Navajo was 58/39 Trump to Biden!
Coconino County - 50.9/46.4 Biden to Trump. Total 4,225 ballots. Trump over performs our projections of 55/45 Biden to Trump. #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
Pinal County - 65/34 Trump to Biden. 8,345 total ballots counted. This was a bit behind our projections for Trump in Pinal. ~31,000 ballots left to count. #AZ #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter
CORRECTION: Trump to Biden margin was 67.9% to 31.3% (36.6% margin). Much closer to our initial projection of Trump winning by 40%. #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
Mohave County - 81/17.4 Trump to Biden. 5,833 ballots counted. Our projections showed Trump needing to win by 60% here and he won by 63.7%. #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter #AZ
Update: Navajo had another drop today now 56.2/41.6 Trump to Biden with 2,808 votes reported (only ~700 left here). Yavapai 70.6/25.6 Trump to Biden with 5,169 votes reported (~3,400 left here). Trump exceeded our projections in both counties #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
HUGE UPDATE: Pima County 51/46 Trump to Biden. 28,344 total votes. This county is a blue county that Biden is winning overall by 17%. This exceeded our projections of 45/55 Trump to Biden. #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
Cochise - 56.4/40.7 Trump to Biden with 6,136 total votes. This underperformed our expectations for Trump by a bit.
Apache - 81.2/17.8 Biden to Trump with 2,223 votes counted. This was an over performance for Biden. Should be less than 1,000 ballots left in Apache #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter #AZ
Gila County - 73.5/23.6 Trump to Biden with 2,023 votes. This is an over performance for Trump from our projections. #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
Yuma County - 48.2/48.7 Trump to Biden with 4,846 votes counted. Statewide margin now 39,424 and 1.26% for Biden. #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
PIMA UPDATE - 50.4/46.4 Trump to Biden with 7,219 votes counted. Yesterday’s margin for Pima was 5% for Trump. The statewide margin is now 39,070 and 1.24% for Biden. We expect another 226,000 ballots to be counted. #AZ #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter
Cochise Update - 62.48/34.16 Trump to Biden with 2,172 votes counted. New statewide margin is 38,455 and 1.22% for Biden. #AZ #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter
Yavapai County - 75.37/20.93 Trump to Biden with 2,976 votes. Statewide margin is now 36,835 and 1.17% for Biden. #AZ #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter
Coconino County - 50.16/47.06 Trump to Biden with 612 votes. Statewide margin is now 36,816 and 1.17% for Biden. #AZ #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter
MARICOPA UPDATE - 53.37/43.7 Trump to Biden with 71,932 votes. This margin was an improvement for Trump from this mornings 5.64% but not enough to overtake the lead. Statewide margin now 29,861 and .92% for Biden. #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
Pinal County Update - 62.5/35.28 Trump to Biden with 6,970 votes. This netted Trump 1,898 votes. Pinal has ~22k ballots left to count. Maricopa Update in 14 minutes! #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
MARICOPA UPDATE - 56.39/40.76 Trump to Biden with 47,870 votes. This netted Trump 7,479 votes. Margin for this drop was 15.62%, much better than either of yesterday’s updates. Statewide now 20,484 margin for Biden. #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter #AZ
Sorry for the radio silence yesterday! Our team took a much deserved break to spend time with family. We will post Saturday's updates now and continue to update until all the votes in #AZ are counted! #ElectionTwitter #Election2020
SATURDAY:
Apache - 57.9/40.6 Biden to Trump w/ 3,301 votes
Coconino - 58.1/38.6 Trump to Biden w/ 303 votes
Maricopa - 56.4/40.8 Trump to Biden w/ 47,870 votes
Pinal - 64.4/33.3 Trump to Biden w/14,057 votes
Yuma - 51.7/46.6 Biden to Trump w/ 1,750 votes
#AZ #Election2020
There are ~108k ballots left, of which ~45k are provisional. Current statewide margin for Biden is 18,610 and .56%. We expect the margin to continue to tighten as additional ballots are counted. We expect Maricopa this afternoon and others likely, as well. #Election2020 #AZ
Rural County Updates:
Apache - 62.4/36.2 Biden to Trump with 3,038 votes
Navajo - 60.7/37.3 Trump to Biden with 244 votes

The Apache update is an over performance for Trump and has tightened our final expected margin. 4pm most Maricopa update coming! #AZ #Election2020
Maricopa County:
54.7% Biden
43.7% Trump
6,862 Total Votes Counted

Statewide Margin - 18,610 for Biden
#AZ #Election2020
Rural Counties:
Pinal - 63.9/33.5 Trump to Biden with 13,417 votes
Apache - (combined total of both updates today)
62.9/35.6 Biden to Trump with 6,291

Statewide margin - 16,952 (.51%)

~81k ballots left to count (of which, ~45k provisional)

#ElectionResults2020 #AZ
Rural County Update:
Small updates from Apache, Navajo, Pinal and Santa Cruz counties. 59.3% Biden to 38.2% Trump with 692 votes.

Statewide Margin - 17,131 and .52% for Biden

#ElectionTwitter #AZ #Election2020 #ElectionResult2020
La Paz County:

74.6% Trump
23.6% Biden
787 total votes counted

Statewide margin: 16,730 for Biden

#ElectionResult2020 #Elections2020 #AZ
Cochise County:

67.4% Trump
29.6% Biden
3,437 total votes counted

Statewide margin: 15,432 for Biden

#Elections2020 #ElectionResults2020 #AZ
Mohave County:

83.6% Trump
13.9% Biden
592 total votes counted

Statewide margin: 15,020 for Biden

#Elections2020 #AZ #ElectionResults2020
Multiple County Update:

Coconino - 52.3/44.9 Trump to Biden with 419 votes
Yavapai - 78.5/21.6 Trump to Biden with 181 votes

Statewide margin: 14,886 for Biden

Maricopa update coming in 47 minutes!

#ElectionResults2020 #AZ #Election2020
Maricopa County:

Trump - 49.96%
Biden - 47.77%
Total votes counted - 6,397

Statewide margin: 14,746 for Biden

#Election2020 #ElectionResults2020 #AZ
Pima County:

Trump - 50.6%
Biden - 46.9%
Total cotes counted - 7,142

Statewide margin: 14,468 for Biden

#Election2020 #ElectionResults2020 #AZ
Pinal County:

Trump - 63.3%
Biden - 35.3%
Total votes counted - 910
Ballots left to count in Pinal - 135

Statewide margin: 14,213 for Biden

#Election2020 #ElectionResults2020 #AZ

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More from @Data_Orbital

Data Orbital Profile picture
Nov 6, 2020
MARICOPA UPDATE: 51.4/45.78 Trump to Biden with 61,789 votes counted. There are ~238,000 ballots left to be counted. #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
Santa Cruz - 56.78/41.87 Biden to Trump with 1,409 votes counted. Statewide margin now 43,779 and 1.41% in Biden’s favor. #Election2020 #AZ #ElectionTwitter
Update: While the margin will continue to tighten, with the updates from this morning it has become unlikely that President Trump can overtake Biden and win #AZ #Election2020 #ElectionTwitter
Read 5 tweets
Data Orbital Profile picture
Nov 2, 2020
BREAKING: Final survey before #Election2020 shows President Trump within .6% of VP Biden and Senator McSally within 1.1% of Mark Kelly. dataorbital.com/the-blog/break…
AZ Presidential race is tightening because less Republicans are voting for Biden (down from 13% to 7.5%) and President Trump doing better with Independent voters. We believe President Trump will win AZ. Image
US Senate race is tightening because previously Undecided voters are breaking late towards Senator McSally, especially Independent voters. With momentum shifting in Senator McSally’s favor, we move this race from Leans Democrat to Toss-Up. Image
Read 4 tweets

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