On his main issue, Trump actually lost ground *among his own party*, setting aside the backlash it's caused among Democrats. Nativists' arguments failed spectacularly, far more than I could have expected these past 4 years pewresearch.org/politics/2018/…
Remember when hating refugees was a main campaign platform for Trump in 2016. He's had 4 years to sell it, and it's failed big time! pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019…
They are stealing jobs? They are killing Americans? Pluralities or majorities of Republicans didn't buy it even at the height of this guy's presidency. A total whiff by NumbersUSA-CIS-FAIR & Trump pewresearch.org/politics/2018/…
Deporting Dreamers? Nah. Ending chain migration? Eh, not feeling it. Difficult to generate much enthusiasm when your own party thinks your main policy goals are duds news.gallup.com/poll/235775/am…

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More from @David_J_Bier

6 Nov
During the transition, do you think DHS officials are going to say things like: "Here's how we're still separating families, where we are spending the money for imprisoned immigrant food and health care, how we're blocking asylum applicants, how we pick journalists to target...
"Here's how we target Muslims for additional screening, put Yemenis in 'administrative processing' to drop their visa apps, oh, we gave all premium processing fees to this contractor for this failed online system. Oh, and we secretly changed the H-1B standards over here...
"Look, here's the dumpster for initial DACA apps that we dumped in violation of SCOTUS. Let me show you how we arrest "illegals" living in homes in CA w/o any evidence they crossed the border (just call them human smugglers!), here's how we invent evidence of 'gang ties"...
Read 17 tweets
30 Oct
Absolutely stunning OIG report finding that Nielsen instructed ports to turn away asylum seekers despite capacity to accept. I have repeatedly argued that her statements to Congress were false about this, but now we know she LIED oig.dhs.gov/sites/default/…
My first post on the subject: cato.org/blog/obama-tri…
My latest post using FOIA-ed data to show that they had far more capacity to process: cato.org/blog/officials…
Read 8 tweets
17 Apr
Here is the research and writing that @CatoInstitute has published about COVID-19 and immigration.

1. Immigrants Aid America During COVID-19 Crisis
cato.org/blog/immigrant…
2. Immigrants Are About 1/3 of California’s “Essential Workers”

cato.org/blog/immigrant…
3. Research Provides No Basis for Pandemic Travel Bans
"Rather than pinning all its hopes on a Chinese travel restriction, the U.S. government should have spent those early moments preparing a vigorous domestic response to the virus—which it failed to do."
cato.org/blog/research-…
Read 8 tweets
30 Mar
Cato published my paper about the employment-based green card backlog today. For the first time, it's over 1 million petitions for workers, investors, and their families. Many health care workers stuck in these lines cato.org/publications/i…
3/4 of the backlog is from India with the numbers increasing rapidly.
More than 200,000 petitions for Indians in the EB-2 and EB-3 skilled worker categories would expire due to the death of the worker if they could find a way to stay in line for the 89 year-wait that they are facing.
Read 5 tweets
1 Oct 19
1/ Some people are vigorously fighting a bill to end country caps because it will spread the pain caused by too few green cards to every applicant, not just Indians. They say, "Just increase green cards instead!" Here's how the politics of this works out in practice:
2/ They fight tooth and nail to protect their preference, and Sen Durbin stops the bill. Durbin goes to Sen Lee and says, "Can we up green cards?" Lee says, "No." Do bill opponents fight tooth and nail *now*, to get Lee to change his mind? No, b/c it doesn't actually affect them
3/ I'm totally perplexed by those who claim that they want to "unify" all immigrants to fight for more green cards. But as long as the country caps exist, only Indians will have any reason to actually fight for that. As long as everyone else is fast-tracked, they don't care
Read 4 tweets
2 Jul 19
CNN poll shows that facts on the ground do affect the public's opinion of whether the border situation is a "crisis" cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2019/image…
A strong divide over what kind of crisis it is cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2019/image…
Strong opposition to the government's treatment of migrants
Read 5 tweets

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