Sure, the 2020 election isn't over — yet. But the president's continued backing among his fervent base and a surprisingly strong showing in key battleground states has people in the Trump inner circle contemplating a rematch against Democrats in another four years.
"I think he'll run again if the odds don't go his way now," a Republican close to Trump told Insider.
Six months ago, the idea of Trump seeking the Republican Party nomination again sounded like political fantasy football — a wild idea that still seemed unlikely considering Grover Cleveland is alone among the other 44 presidents in US history to serve in non-consecutive terms.
But Trump has also proven he's not one to give up the spotlight quietly & his celebrity status as an ex-president still eligible for another term means he'd be the instant GOP front-runner in a pack of possible rivals until he categorically rules out he isn't running.
"I'm not a huge Trump lover or hater, but if you look at his mechanics, he just won the Super Bowl, MVP and an Oscar, even if he loses the race," another GOP strategist said.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
NEW: President Trump could face criminal and civil investigations at both the federal and state levels for many years to come should he lose the White House, and the immunity from prosecution he's so far enjoyed. by @davelevinthal in @Politicsinsider ($) ow.ly/60vQ50Cd2DD
Trouble likely awaits him from multiple places: federal- and state-level investigations, criminal and civil inquiries, and matters involving his businesses, political operations, and tenure as president.
But Trump could take perhaps the most dramatic step there is to avoid legal peril; he could try to issue a pardon to himself, or resign outright from the presidency during the lame-duck period and order his replacement Mike Pence to preemptively pardon him.
As we await the results of the presidential campaign here's a quick spin through the back catalogue of @Politicsinsider stories from the new DC bureau on a possible Biden transition worth another look. ($ubscribe!) ow.ly/npRU50CcZQH
A possible Democratic sweep has some of lawmakers eyeing an idea years in the making: Put the Federal Election Commission, the nation's crippled political $ regulator, out of its prolonged misery. Then reanimate it stronger than ever. by @davelevinthal ($) ow.ly/QnVo50CabYD
"It's the most dysfunctional agency I know, and unless you think a damaged commission with party loyalists lined up in it is a desirable outcome, you want significant reform," Rep. David Price, a North Carolina Democrat, told @Politicsinsider
The FEC in 2020 hasn't had enough commissioners to enforce laws or regulate the 1000s of political committees & actors under its purview. It's "completely off the rails" to conduct elections without a fully functioning FEC, said Rep. Derek Kilmer, a Washington Democrat.
NEW: Rudy Giuliani spent all year planning for his star turn. He would be featured in a documentary on his efforts to uncover the true Hunter Biden story, dropping the film in Sept in time to influence 2020. It didn't go as planned. by @tomlobianco ($) ow.ly/hscy50C7GzE
Trump's lawyer courted donors for the movie in private meetings across the country (often drunk, as 2 Republicans noted) and set up interviews overseas with former Ukrainian officials who he was certain would blow open a scandal involving the 50-year old adult son of Joe Biden.
But Giuliani's team couldn't find investors. Fellow Republicans expressed deep skepticism that the former New York mayor could really deliver. Then September came and went without any documentary.
Healthcare executives have a clear favorite for the White House, and it's not the person who gave them a big tax cut three years ago. by @leonardkl ($) in @Politicsinsiderow.ly/64Wh50C7shb
America's top healthcare bosses are pouring cash into Democratic candidate Joe Biden's campaign and the outside groups supporting him, an Insider analysis of Federal Election Commission records and data compiled by the Center for Responsive Politics shows.
Insider reviewed the campaign-spending records for executives at 100 major healthcare companies this election cycle, including drugmakers, insurers, health-tech companies, and hospitals.
Notable journalists from The New York Times, Washington Post, & Atlantic were surprised to learn from @Politicsinsider that federal records showed they had made political contributions. In fact, mistakes happen. Part 3 of our @davelevinthal series. ($) ow.ly/O49a50C72xO
The Democratic congressional campaigns of Rep. Rosa DeLauro of Connecticut and Conor Lamb of Pennsylvania acknowledged incorrectly attributing a campaign contribution to media columnist Margaret Sullivan.
Several journalists say they believed they used ActBlue — a fundraising platform that primarily serves Democratic political committees and left-leaning nonprofits — to make charitable contributions. Federal records indicate they made political donations.